#47 – Tulsa Golden Hurricane 9-4 SU; 10-3
ATS
Fargo’s Take
- Despite a move to the tougher C-USA last
season, Tulsa put together a remarkable season,
going 6-2 in the conference, winning the inaugural
C-USA Championship and defeating Fresno St. in
the Liberty Bowl. After losing the first two games
of the season against Minnesota and Oklahoma,
the Golden Hurricane went on to win nine of their
final 11 games and most of those victories were
not even close. Taking a step back is the norm
for most mid-major teams after successful seasons
but Tulsa has a chance to be even better this
year. The Golden Hurricane return 16 starters
overall plus two more who were former starters,
have a schedule that is very manageable and possess
one of the best young coaches in the game in Steve
Kragthorpe. Repeating in the very tough West Division
will be a challenge but the pieces are in place
for back-to-back championships.
Returning Starters
on Offense – 7 Tulsa finished 39th
in the country in total offense and 23rd in scoring
offense and it really came alive down the stretch,
averaging 39 ppg over its last five games. Junior
quarterback Paul Smith had an excellent season
with 2,835 yards, 20 touchdowns and just six interceptions
while completing 62.4 percent of his passes. He
will be looking for new targets as his top three
receivers have departed but three seniors look
to carry the load. Also gone is leading rusher
Uril Parrish but depth is a plus as the Golden
Hurricane bring back three players who combined
for 1,062 yards and 6.2 ypc. They will be running
behind an offensive line that loses just one starter
as the four returnees are all seniors. The 33.1
ppg averaged last season was the most they have
put up since 1975 and it could be better this
year.
Returning Starters
on Defense – 9 As good as the offense
played down the stretch, the defense played even
better. After allowing 30 or more points in four
of its first five games, Tulsa allowed that much
only once in its final eight games while yielding
just 21 ppg over that eight-game span. The secondary
was one of the best in the country and with everybody
returning, it should remain the strength. Tulsa
finished 17th in passing defense, 11th in passing
efficiency defense and picked off 22 passes, third
in the country. All three starters return at linebacker
led by leading tackler Nelson Coleman. The concern
on the unit is the defensive line as it was bullied
around a lot last season. The rushing defense
finished 77th in the nation and if the Golden
Hurricane can find a way to stiffen up in the
trenches, this defense can be the best in the
conference.
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Schedule
- The non-conference schedule was tough last season
but it didn’t hurt Tulsa going into conference
action. This year, the out of conference games
are much easier but will still prepare it for
the difficult C-USA slate. Two home games will
be easy wins against Stephen F. Austin and North
Texas but the two road games will be challenging
as it heads to BYU and Navy. The conference schedule
starts out with a tough home game against Southern
Mississippi but then its three consecutive weeks
with a little break, comprising of a bye week
and two winnable road games at East Carolina and
Memphis. Following that stretch is where the West
will be decided as the Golden Hurricane host UTEP
and travel to Houston in back-to-back weeks. They
miss Central Florida out of the East Division.
You can bet on…
Despite signing a six-year extension, Kragthorpe
will be in high demand for bigger schools if Tulsa
puts together another solid season. He has led
the Golden Hurricane to bowl games in two of his
first three years and this season will make it
two in a row. Tulsa was one of the most profitable
teams in the country last season, going 10-3 against
the number including a perfect 8-0 ATS in road
games. If there is one drawback to their recent
spread record, it’s that the Golden Hurricane
are just 7-14 ATS in non-conference action. The
games will be difficult to cover this year for
the simple fact that they might be overvalued
based on last season’s performance. It might
be a wise move to lay off early in the season.
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