College Football
Previews - NCAA Football Handicapping - Preview 2006 Betting
Kansas Jayhawks
2006 Preview
Online
Predictions By:
Matt Fargo Kansas Jayhawks Football
Preview Matt Fargo remains the NUMBER
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Spring practices are in the books and fall camps will be
here before you know it so that means getting
an early jump on the 2006 NCAA football season.
Knowing the teams now will save you time in August
and Matt Fargo is here to help you get a grasp
of what to expect this upcoming year. We go from
worst to first in this 2006 College Football Preview.
Fargo’s Take
- Kansas finished 2005 with the most wins
since 1995 and expectations are even higher in
2006. On paper, things look very dicey. The Jayhawks
will be relying on a freshman quarterback to run
the offense while the best defense in the Big
XII last season needs to replace eight starters.
However, there is not a lot of concern with these
issues and coaches are confident that this team
will be better that last year’s Fort Worth
Bowl champs. Freshman quarterback Kerry Meier,
brother of Kansas St.’s Dylan, is an exciting
player that possesses both a strong arm and running
ability and he will benefit from the return of
4/5 of the offensive line. The Jayhawks had the
third best rushing defense in the country last
season and the run stuffing should be the strength
of the unit once again. The Kansas schedule is
the best in the Big XII which will help in trying
to get to a bowl game for the third time in four
years.
Returning Starters
on Offense – 7 The emergence of Meier
in the spring has everyone in Lawrence buzzing
since the quarterback position was a big weakness
last year. He is an incredible athlete and once
he gets comfortable with the offense, great things
could happen. The offensive line is strong and
that not only helps Meier but also the running
game that struggled again last year. Running back
Jon Cornish was a backup last season but ended
up leading the team in rushing and the JUCO transfer
is ready for a breakout season. He averaged a
solid 5.8 ypc in his junior season. The receiving
corps can be considered the weakness as there
are no superstars but there is plenty of experience
to make up for that. The offensive production
came down slightly last year from 2004 but it
will be better this season.
Returning Starters
on Defense – 3 This defense was one
of the best in the country a season ago and with
only three starters coming back, a significant
dropoff would be expected. However, the defense
should be quicker this year and there is some
great experience all over the place. Replacing
Charlton Keith on the defensive line will be difficult
but the three newcomers are all seniors and all
are primed to repeat the solid rushing defense
from last year. The linebackers are young but
extremely quick and could be even better than
last season’s unit. The secondary is the
weakness but that might not be a big concern in
the Big XII. The Jayhawks allowed 22 ppg last
year, 28th in the country but taking out the one
game against Texas and that average drops to 18
ppg which would have put them at 14th in the nation.
The unit might not be that good but there will
not be a huge dropoff like many are expecting.
Schedule
- This is where Kansas caught a huge break and
the favorable schedule helps in many areas. A
soft non-conference slate early in the season
will help Meier get comfortable in the offense
prior to conference action. Three home games against
Northwestern St., La-Monroe and South Florida
are all wins while a game at Toledo is the only
big challenge. Three of the Jayhawks five Big
XII North games are on the road but none of them
are so overwhelming that they cannot be won. Nebraska.
Iowa St. and Missouri are all ranked in front
of Kansas but not so much that upsets cannot occur.
The biggest break on the schedule is that the
Jayhawks miss Texas, Oklahoma and Texas Tech,
the top three teams from the South Division.
You can bet on…
Kansas has an opportunity to either equal or surpass
last year’s win total but it will be up
to Meier to take control of the offense. The easy
schedule at the beginning of the season is a blessing
for that to happen before a run at the wide open
Big XII South commences. Memorial Stadium has
turned into a mini Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence
as the Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS at home over the last
two seasons including a 5-1 mark against the number
as home underdogs. Kansas has seven home games
this year, six of which will be lined and we could
see some excellent value based on the fact that
many see a decline from Kansas. It could be just
the opposite if everyone plays their roles.
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