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Matt Fargo
2-Unit MNF Bucs/Panthers Winner Plus NCAA Hoops!
Football Premium Plays (+26) 329-304 L633 52% NCAAF Premium Plays (+984) 188-164 L352 53% All Premium Plays (+9230) 1895-1797 L3692 51% NCAAB Premium Plays (+9590) 529-405 L934 57% NBA Top Plays (+1941) 157-130 L287 55% |
Monday Night 2-Unit 80.6% ATS Winner!
Matt Fargo went 3-2 on Sunday, picking up 1.6 Units and has now gone 22-13-1 (62.9%) over his last 8 Sundays with his premium plays! Fargo easily won last Monday night with the Oakland/Seattle under and he has another Winner this Monday that is backed up by a 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) Power Situation! Guaranteed to Win! | Monday's 1.5-Unit NCAA Hoops Line Error!
Matt Fargo pushed his lone release on Sunday and is back Monday with a solid Winner! Fargo has gone an amazing 327-240 (57.7 percent) over the last 2+ years and is ready to add to it here! Join Fargo for this easy Winner where the line is completely off base and he explains exactly why it’s off! Guaranteed to Win or it’s Free! |
Fargo's Weekly Package of Winners
Get seven days of Matt Fargo's WINNING SELECTIONS right here! Fargo isn't one of the best handicappers in the world for nothing - CONSISTENT WINNING is the name of the game and Fargo HAS GAME!
| Fargo's 2006 NCAA Football 2nd Half Package
Matt Fargo busted the books for $37,300 in college football for his dime players in 2005 and 2006 saw profits of $10,250 in the first half! Get the rest right here!
| Fargo's 2006-07 NBA Season Package
Matt Fargo buried the books last season, bringing home $11,570 for his dime players and this year will be even bigger! Get every winner through the NBA Finals right here!
| Fargo's 2006-07 NCAA Hoops Season Package
Matt Fargo has gone an amazing 323-234 (58 percent) over the last two years in NCAA Basketball and this year will be no different! Get every game through the Final Four right here!
| Matt Fargo's 2006 NFL Package
Matt Fargo is the master of the gridiron and he is back for another profitable NFL season! Get every winner from the Preseason through the Super Bowl right here!
| Full Year of Every Winner Released!!
Under $5 per day for a proven and documented winner! We are the #1 Overall Football Handicapper and Top 10 All-Time at The Professional Handicappers League. We provide the best information and analysis anywhere backing up our selections.
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| Inside the Boxscores is a weekly feature from Matt Fargo that has been widely recognized as the best summation in college football. He takes an in-depth look at each game and pulls out the most pertinent information that will help you handicap games in the future. College football is filled with quirky plays, misleading scores and surprise endings. Fargo takes you inside the action.
(12) L-S-U 28 (13) TENNESSEE 24
LSU scored the game-winning touchdown with just nine seconds remaining. LSU outgained the Volunteers by 230 total yards but it had four turnovers that led to 17 points for Tennessee. One interception was returned for a touchdown while two other picks occurred inside the Volunteers 35-yard line. The ... cont. |
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| With College hoops kicking off this week, it’s time to once again examine what goes into handicapping this sometimes overwhelming sport.
College basketball is considered by many to be one of the toughest sports to handicap while at the same time, it is also considered to be one of the most profitable. With 225 Division I lined teams, there are usually in upwards of 80-90 games to decipher on any given Saturday during the season. The average sports bettor cannot possibly handicap all of these games especially when the lines aren’t released until the prior afternoon.
The volume of possible action is what makes churning out consistent profits so difficult to some. However, with that many possibilities on the board, s... cont. |
| No Free Picks Available right now, please check back shortly. |
Matt Fargo Sports
2-Unit MNF Bucs/Panthers Winner Plus NCAA Hoops!
Matt Fargo went 3-2 on Sunday, picking up 1.6 Units and has now gone 22-13-1 (62.9%) over his last 8 Sundays with his premium plays! Fargo easily won last Monday night with the Oakland/Seattle under and he has another Winner this Monday that is backed up by a 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) Power Situation!
Fargo pushed his lone release on Sunday and is back Monday with a solid Winner! Fargo has gone an amazing 327-240 (57.7 percent) over the last 2+ years and is ready to add to it here! Join Fargo for this easy Winner where the line is completely off base and he explains exactly why it’s off! |
| MATCHUP | SELECTION | W/L | | ***System Play Crusher*** The Dolphins head home following a big win at Chicago and that momentum carries over this Sunday. Miami is now 2-6 on the season but it really isn’t a bad 2-6. The Dolphins have outyarded six of their eight opponents this year including winning the yardage battle in their last five games. The defense is the main reason for the solid play as Miami is 5th in the league in total defense including 4th in passing defense. The rushing defense is 14th but they are 5th in yard per carry average, a better indicator.
The Chiefs come into this game having won three straight games since getting waxed at Pittsburgh. Two of those wins were at home while the win last week came at a struggling St. Louis team. The offense has scored 30 points in three straight games and based on NFL balances, that won’t continue here. Kansas is cruising along right now but it has two straight home division games coming up which will affect they way it prepares this Sunday.
Why the sudden turnaround on offense last week against the best defense in the league? The offensive line, which has been in disarray much of the season because of problems at right guard, is finding consistency. Against the Bears, the Dolphins had 161 rushing yards and no sacks allowed. Joey Harrington is becoming more comfortable, throwing five touchdowns in his last two games after tossing just one in his first two. They have now outrushed four of their last six opponents.
A source said offensive coordinator Mike Mularkey was given more freedom to construct his own game plan against Chicago with less of an emphasis on the playbook old coordinator Scott Linehan left behind, which could bode well for the future as Dolphins players adjust to their sixth different coordinator this decade. The Chiefs won last week despite getting outgained by 135 yards and they have now been outgained by a total of 379 yards in their last two road games.
In the last two years, the Chiefs are 0-3 in the second of back-to-back road games, losing those contests by an average of 34.3-12.3. This also falls into a league wide situation. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a double digit road win, in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-4 (86.7 percent) since 1983 and is a perfect 10-0 ATS over the last five years. The average line has been even while the average point differential is +8.9 ppg. Play Miami Dolphins 3 Units
| | Obviously the big story here is the return of Steve McNair to Tennessee. While he will certainly be fired up to be facing his old team, he isn’t going to be able to carry the Ravens on his shoulders to pick up the win and more importantly, get the big road cover. Baltimore is looking very good in the AFC North with a two-game lead over Cincinnati but it has been winning recently pretty unconventional. The Ravens were outgained by 110 yards in a win over New Orleans and almost blew a big lead last week against the Bengals.
Tennessee had a two-game winning streak snapped last week at Jacksonville but a return home should help the Titans. They are 1-2 in Nashville with the only real bad loss coming against Dallas. The numbers are against Tennessee but that is the case with the Titans every week ad what needs to be looked at are other factors. Tennessee has lost by at least 31 points twice this season but the following game after those defeats resulted in one and three point losses so it has recovered very well.
One big thing Tennessee has in its favor is that it is a seasoned team already having faced the 4th ranked schedule in the league. Vince Young, the rookie quarterback of the future is coming off a dreadful game last week against the Jaguars but that is to be expected. Prior to that, he had two straight solid efforts with quarterback ratings of 87.4 and 85.6 so while the season has been a long one already, there are some positives. Facing the Ravens defense will be a challenge but Young should be up for it.
After starting the season with two blowout wins over Tampa Bay and Oakland, the Ravens have slipped. They outyarded those two teams by a combined 231 yards but since then, Baltimore is -124 total yards in margin so while going 4-2, it hasn’t been a dominating 4-2. Let’s not forget that Tennessee went 4-12 last season with one of those wins being a 15-point victory over Baltimore at home. The Ravens are better but not that much to be laying a touchdown on the road.
The Ravens have been very successful in creating turnovers but that can’t be counted on every week and it actually sets up Tennessee very well. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense that is forcing 2.75 or more turnovers per game, after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. The average line in those 32 games was 6.3 while the average point differential was just -0.3 ppg. Play Tennessee Titans 1 Unit
| | ***Underdog Special*** The rivals square off for the second time this season with Denver getting the best of the Raiders in Denver four weeks ago. Things are different now as the Raiders have two wins under their belts and while certainly not a great team, they are getting better despite getting shutout last Monday night at Seattle. The running game was the difference there as Oakland continues to shine with its passing defense. The Raiders would like nothing more to avenge that first loss in Denver.
The Broncos are coming off a big road win at Pittsburgh which was their second straight big game, a home game against the Colts being the first. While this game certainly still means a lot for the Broncos, they have a home game against fellow division leader San Diego next week which will be the biggest game of the week as NBC has picked it up as part of the new Sunday night flex schedule. Denver has been outgained in four of its last five games and has outgained only one opponent by more than 42 yards.
Quarterback Andrew Walter has had far more downs than ups in his first six NFL starts. However, he continues to work hard and show signs of improvement toward developing into the team's long-term quarterback. He will be going against a Broncos defense that is vulnerable through the air. Denver owns the league's top scoring defense, having surrendered 98 points in eight games and yet the Broncos also have the league's 29th ranked pass defense.
The defense is also hurting with cornerback Darrent Williams, safety John Lynch, linebackers Al Wilson and Ian Gold and defensive end Ebenezer Ekuban all questionable this weekend. On the other side, the offense has shown some life the past two weeks after not scoring more than 17 points in its first six games. However, the offense is still averaging just 314.1 ypg which is 19th in the league. The Raiders defense kept them in check once and will do so again at home where Oakland is allowing just 292.2 ypg.
The Raiders fall into a very solid contrarian situation on Sunday. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, a team that is averaging 14 or less ppg, after scoring six points or less last game. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential being just -2.6 ppg. The public is lined up behind the Broncos at close to a 3-to-1 clip so that makes the home underdog even that much stronger. Oakland fought hard in the first meeting and will do so again here. Play Oakland Raiders 2 Units
| | Sacramento has blown out its last two opponents at home by 12 and 13 points and are in the midst an 11-day homestand. Meanwhile, the Raptors are coming off a home loss to the Hawks and are playing just their second road game of the season and their first since November 1st. All of this makes the Kings the obvious choice here but that is exactly why we are going against the grain here. Sacramento isn’t exactly going to be fully focused in this one.
The last two wins for the Kings have come against Minnesota, a long time rival, and Detroit, a power in the Eastern Conference so getting up for a third straight game will be difficult. The Kings defense has looked solid this season but the offense is struggling, shooting just 39.9 percent on the season, which is ahead of only Memphis in the entire league. Despite the Raptors struggle on defense, trying to improve offensively will be tough.
The defense of Sacramento and the defense of Toronto are on opposite ends but that sets up a solid contrarian situation favoring the Raptors. Play against home teams after 2 or more consecutive unders, a good defensive team allowing between 88 and 92 ppg against a bad defensive team allowing 102 or more ppg. This situation is 26-3 ATS (89.7 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential being just -3 ppg. Don’t expect another blowout here. Play Toronto Raptors 2 Units
| | The two best teams in the NFC collide on Sunday night and the short price with the Giants is very appealing. Considering the Bears have looked like the Bears of 2002 in two of their last three games, the Giants are ready to leapfrog over Chicago for the top spot in the NFC. The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season last week against Miami and while many would think a bounce back is possible, just look back two games before that and see the stinker put up against Arizona.
The Giants have won five straight games since coming off their bye week and they are looking good on both sides of the ball. The defense is hurting and while that could be a cause for concern against good offensive teams, the Bears do not fit that category right now. The Bears defense is more worrisome considering it is the best in the league but the Giants offense can play along as they are 4th in the league in total offense including 4th in rushing offense.
It’s that rushing offense that will be the difference. The Giants have outrushed their last three opponents and have outrushed opponents on the season by an average of 48.1 ypg. A running back like Tiki Barber can have a huge advantage against the Bears defense since he is such a patient runner. Chicago is very aggressive on defense and it tends to over-pursue which means once Barber gets past the line of scrimmage, he can have some big runs. Chicago allowed 157 yards to Ronnie Brown last week, a similar type of runner.
The Chicago offense has put up some gaudy point totals this season but the Bears are starting to show the inconsistencies that were not around in the beginning of the season. Quarterback Rex Grossman looked like an All-Pro in his first five games but in games against Arizona and Miami, he has looked horrible. In those two games, he has thrown one touchdown pass and seven interceptions while completing just 40.5 percent of his passes. The Giants welcome back cornerback Sam Madison this week.
The Giants passing offense is 12th in the league but can be one of the most dangerous in the league and that sets up well for Sunday night. Play against road teams with a good passing defense allowing 175 or less passing ypg, after allowing 5.5 or less ypa in three straight games. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. The average line has been close to even while the average point differential is +7.3 ppg. This situation is also 13-2 ATS (86.7 percent) over the last five years. Play New York Giants 2 Units
| | ***AFC Game of the Week*** San Diego is now 6-2 on the season but I am still not sold on this team. The defense is still second in the NFL overall but the Chargers have allowed 26.3 ppg in their last three games after allowing just 11 ppg through their first five games. Shawne Merriman is gone which makes things even worse. Playing the 31st ranked schedule in the league has certainly helped San Diego in the first half of the season as four of its wins have come against teams with two wins or less.
Cincinnati started the season 3-0 but the Bengals have dropped four of their last five games and now trail the Ravens by two games after last weeks defeat. They are 2-2 at home but very well could be 3-1 and this game is a must win with two road games on deck followed by a home contest against Baltimore. Unlike San Diego, the Bengals have played teams that actually have a pulse as their schedule has been the 6th hardest in the league through the first half of the season.
A lot of the blame has been thrown at Carson Palmer but he is still having a very good season. His 89.3 passer rating ranks him ninth in the league. He's thrown 12 touchdown passes against six interceptions, a 2-to-1 ratio, and he's completing 61.2 percent of his passes, which ranks him 16th in the league. The offensive line has not been protecting him as well as last season but facing a Merriman-less defense is perfect timing for the Bengals who will also be without linebacker Donnie Edwards.
The receiving corps is back at full strength with Chad Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Chris Henry. Last week was just the second time all season that the trio had played in the same game together. In those two games, Palmer has thrown five touchdowns while in the other six games combined, he has thrown just seven scores. Running back Rudi Johnson has averaged at least 3.8 ypc in each of his last three games after doing so only twice in his first five games.
This is only the Chargers third time they have left California since August 18th, the second week of the preseason. Heading east saw them lose in Baltimore and again in Kansas City. With the travel aspect of San Diego, it brings in a solid situation favoring the Chiefs. Play against teams that are traveling two time zones and playing an early Sunday game. Those teams are a woeful 7-43 ATS (14 percent) since 2000. That includes a 0-7 ATS mark this season. Play Cincinnati Bengals 2 Units
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| With over 12 years of sports handicapping experience, my analysis, information and expert picks give you what you want.... winners! I’m not here claiming to be undefeated over the last 10 years and I’m not going to fill your head with any useless inside information, because it doesn't exist. I do my homework plain and simple and come up with the plays that give us the best chance of winning. When you win, we win. You will see that our angles, statistical analysis and handicapping approaches will make you a consistent winner.
One of the most drawn on adages in sports handicapping is that it’s not a sprint, it’s a marathon. I cannot agree more. Consistency over the long haul is what every sports bettor should be interested in and that is what I provide. When the winning days outnumber the losing days by a large margin, I must be doing something right. Keep three things in mind when looking for sports service - Consistency, Honesty, and Integrity. You’ve found all three right here! | |
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