#27 – Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 7-5 SU;
4-7-1 ATS
Fargo’s Take
- Georgia Tech has the potential to posses
one of the best offenses in the ACC. There is
one key word in that sentence and that is potential.
Despite having some of the best playmakers on
offense last season, the Yellow Jackets actually
got worse on offense, averaging a mere 18.5 ppg,
103rd in the country. The success, or lack thereof,
stems around the play of four-year starting quarterback
Reggie Ball. After a stellar freshman campaign,
Ball has been below average the last two years
and he has one last chance to right the ship.
The Yellow Jackets have been to a bowl game for
nine straight seasons but the last few have been
anything but marquee. They have won exactly seven
games in each of the four years under head coach
Chan Gailey and that likely isn’t going
improve in 2006
Returning Starters
on Offense – 8 Ball has completed
less than 50 percent of his passes for two consecutive
seasons and he has thrown more interceptions (30)
than touchdowns (27) over that span. At this point,
he needs to get better or he will be sitting on
the sidelines. He has one of the best receivers
in the country in junior Calvin Johnson but his
next best target returns with just 14 catches.
Until someone else steps up, Johnson will be double
teamed on every play. The running game will be
turned over to tailback Tashard Choice who has
the ability for a breakout season. He will be
running behind four returning starters on the
offensive line but it is a line that is relatively
small. They are quick, allowing only 10 sacks
last season but being more physical will be the
key. The Yellow Jackets scored 17 or fewer points
in seven of their final nine games.
Returning Starters
on Defense – 5 The defense kept Georgia
Tech around in the majority of its games last
season and it might be asked to do so again. Coming
off a humiliating display against Utah in the
Emerald Bowl, the defense will either carry that
negative momentum into 2006 or rebound to try
to prove otherwise. The best bet is on the latter
as the Yellow Jackets return the bulk of its front
seven from the unit that finished 22nd in total
defense and 23rd in scoring defense. The rushing
defense was the strength a season ago and that
will be the case again this year. The secondary
is likely going to struggle with just one starter
coming back and another possible starter, Joe
Gaston, lost for the season. Pat Clark, Georgia
Tech’s second leading retuning receiver,
has switched to the defensive backfield trying
to give it some depth.
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Schedule
- The schedule is manageable but it doesn’t
start out that way as Notre Dame comes calling
on opening Saturday. Following that are three
additional home contests but those three are all
likely wins against Samford, Troy and Virginia.
The first road contest of the season takes place
at Virginia Tech followed by another home game,
this one against Maryland. Four of the final six
games are on the road, starting with Clemson and
ending with Georgia, both sure losses. Sandwiched
in-between those games are three winnable contests
against NC State, North Carolina and Duke. The
other game in that mix is a home game against
revenge minded Miami (Florida). There looks to
be seven wins on the slate, which is right on
track from previous seasons.
You can bet on…
It will be interesting to see how the season pans
out for Ball. He has so much potential but the
mistakes that he makes are inexcusable at times.
The Yellow Jackets will go as far as he can take
them and another season of sub-.500 completions
likely means we will see highly touted freshman
Jonathan Garner. This is a very inconsistent team
and that shows with its 4-11 ATS run following
a straight up victory. We should see that scenario
pop up in games against Troy, Virginia and then
Virginia Tech in the beginning of the year. Without
an offensive punch, it’s difficult to cover
when favored and that coincides with the Yellow
Jackets current record of 11-19-1 against the
number when laying points.
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