College Football
Previews - NCAA Football Handicapping - Preview 2006 Betting
Boise St.
Broncos 2006 Preview
Online
Predictions By:
Matt Fargo Boise St. Broncos Football
Preview Matt Fargo remains the NUMBER
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Spring practices are in the books and fall camps will be
here before you know it so that means getting
an early jump on the 2006 NCAA football season.
Knowing the teams now will save you time in August
and Matt Fargo is here to help you get a grasp
of what to expect this upcoming year. We go from
worst to first in this 2006 College Football Preview.
Fargo’s Take
- Last season was the first in three years
that the Broncos did not win at least 11 games
but 2005 was still considered a huge success.
Boise St. won the WAC for the 4th consecutive
season and with almost everyone coming back, a
5th title is on the horizon. The offense was explosive
once again but turnovers held the Broncos back.
Quarterback Jared Zabransky threw 16 interceptions
last year but he should cut those down this season,
his third year as a starter. The defense was stout
against the run, finishing 15th or better in the
country for a fourth straight season. The passing
defense was its undoing on that side of the ball
but there should be improvement in that category.
The biggest concern is the coaching staff as Dan
Hawkins is no longer around and all three of the
coaches are in completely new roles for the first
time. There is so much experience on both sides
that it should not make much of a difference at
all.
Returning Starters
on Offense – 9 The play of Zabransky,
who has tossed 28 interceptions the last two seasons,
is the major concern on offense. The passing offense
was 62nd in the country last year, rather low
for Boise St. standards. Zabransky will have the
services of his top three receivers from last
season as well as four starters from the offensive
line. The line allowed only 19 sacks last year
and also led the way for the rushing game that
averaged 202.5 ypg, 19th in the nation. Three
of the top four rushers are gone but sophomore
Ian Johnson is back. He was second on the team
with 663 yards and averaged a healthy 5.6 ypc.
The offense won’t miss a beat since new
head coach Chris Peterson served as the offensive
coordinator under Hawkins. The Broncos averaged
close to 13 ppg less than what they averaged in
2004 but we should see a big increase in 2006.
Returning Starters
on Defense – 9 With nine starters
returning on defense, the unit should improve
upon its 51st ranking in both total defense and
scoring defense. The strength will once again
be up front as three of the top four from the
defensive line are back as well as some amazing
depth. Leading tackler Korey Hall is back to man
the linebacking unit making the front seven the
best in the WAC once again. All four starters
return in the secondary but that can be a vicious
circle since the unit finished 100th in the country
in passing defense. They did however come in at
68th in passing efficiency defense and there have
been some position changes that should put the
right people in the right places. After allowing
25.7 ppg and 24.4 ppg the last two seasons, the
Broncos should knock the average back down to
fewer than 20 ppg.
Schedule
- The Broncos never shy away from a tough non-conference
schedule, i.e. Georgia and Oregon St. last season
but it is a little more manageable in 2006. Oregon
St. is on the slate once again but the Beavers
must travel to Bronco Stadium, a place where they
lost by 19 points two years ago. Also on the out
of conference schedule is Sacramento St. and Wyoming
as well as its toughest test, a game at Utah.
The WAC does have some improving teams this year
but the Broncos are head and shoulders above most
of them. The biggest tests will naturally come
from Hawaii and Fresno St. but Boise St. catches
both of those games on the blue turf. There is
one game on the schedule that the Broncos better
be weary of and that is the season finale at Nevada,
a game that could decide the WAC Champion.
You can bet on…
The Broncos can run the table this season as the
majority of their difficult games are at home.
An undefeated season is not that far fetched but
in order for Boise St. to crack the BSC party,
it needs more consistent play from Zabransky.
Remember this team went undefeated in 2004 before
losing to Louisville in the Liberty Bowl so even
getting to a BSC bowl with an unblemished record
is no guarantee. The Broncos are a covering machine,
going 49-26-2 against the number over the last
seven years and that run should keep going with
both units to show likely improvements. Boise
St. is 26-9 ATS as a home favorite over that seven-year
span and being favored in all six of its home
games this season will present more cash-making
opportunities.
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