College Football
Previews - NCAA Football Handicapping - Preview 2006 Betting
Oregon Ducks
2006 Preview
Online
Predictions By:
Matt Fargo Oregon Ducks Football Preview
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Spring practices are in the books and fall camps will be
here before you know it so that means getting
an early jump on the 2006 NCAA football season.
Knowing the teams now will save you time in August
and Matt Fargo is here to help you get a grasp
of what to expect this upcoming year. We go from
worst to first in this 2006 College Football Preview.
Fargo’s Take
- For the second time in five years, Oregon
got no love from the BSC computers. After getting
the shaft in the 2001 BCS Championship, the Ducks
went 10-1 last season yet did not get invited
to a BSC game, subsequently losing to Oklahoma
in the pre-New Year’s Day Holiday Bowl.
What will it take for the Ducks to get some respect?
They will surely get it this season if they can
go on the road and defeat USC, California and
Arizona St., the top three teams in the Pac Ten.
It likely won’t happen so another minor
bowl is in the cards for the fourth time in five
years unless something remarkable takes place.
The offense will be potent once again as its 34.5
ppg last season was the second most in school
history. The top ranked defense in the Pac Ten
from last season has to be retooled so we could
see some fun games from the Ducks in 2006. Translating
them into wins might be a different story.
Returning Starters
on Offense – 7 Quarterback Kellen
Clemens is gone but all is not lost. Junior Dennis
Dixon started four games in place of the injured
Clemens and he not only produced but gave the
Ducks an option of running the ball from the quarterback
spot. He completed over 66 percent of his throws
while tossing six touchdowns and just three interceptions.
Leading rusher Terrance Whitehead and leading
receiver Demetrius Williams both need to be replaced
but help is on the way. Sophomore tailback Jonathan
Stewart is a star in the making while receiver
James Finley is capable of a breakout season.
The strength of the unit is on the offensive line
as all five starters are back. This unit is being
tabbed as one of the three best in the country.
Don’t expect much of a dropoff on the offensive
side in 2006.
Returning Starters
on Defense – 6 Finishing tops in
the conference in defense was a huge accomplishment
last year but an even bigger one will be to come
even close to that this season. A lot of cogs
to that defense are gone including All-American
defensive tackle Haloti Ngata who often saw double
and triple teams coming his way. The line does
bring back two experienced ends, both starters
in 2005 while two of the three linebackers also
return. The biggest concern is in the secondary
where both cornerbacks need to be replaced including
Aaron Gipson, who led the country in interceptions
a season ago. It is quite possible that three
redshirt freshmen will have the top four spots
at the corners. Free safety J.D. Nelson needs
to provide leadership to the group. Oregon has
allowed fewer ppg in each of the last four years
but it will take a special effort to keep that
run going.
Schedule
- As mentioned earlier, the Ducks face a huge
test this season, both in and out of the conference.
They have three non-conference games this year
but only one of those, a home game against Portland
St. is a sure win. The other two, a game at Fresno
St. and a home contest against Oklahoma could
both go either way. Oregon starts the season with
a Pac Ten game at home against Stanford and following
the game against the Sooners, it has back-to-back
road games at Arizona St. and California. Besides
the game at USC, all of the other conference games
are manageable but five of the nine Pac Ten games
are away from Eugene and that includes the season
finale at Oregon St. in the Civil War. Overall,
the six road games are the most since 2003.
You can bet on…
If Dixon continues where he left off last season,
Oregon will be in very good shape to win the games
its supposed to win and possibly pulling off some
upsets along the way. This is probably the most
difficult schedule since 2001 but we all know
what happened that year as a tough seven-point
home loss to Stanford kept the Ducks from a shot
at the National Championship. Oregon is 17-8 against
the number since 2001 when playing on the road
and that includes a 9-4 mark as a road underdog.
Four of the first five games could see the Ducks
in that role but the first three are all against
teams that Oregon defeated last season so there
could be some revenge factors that need to be
looked at as well.
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