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Three new coaches will help determine the outcome of a division that lacks offense

Aug. 11, 2006

By Jason Brough
Bodog Nation Contributing Writer

It’s known as the “Black and Blue Division” for the intensity of its rivalries, but last year the biggest bruises in the NFC North were to the egos of its offensive coordinators. The Bears, Vikings, Lions and Packers combined for just 1,118 points in 2005. Chicago emerged as the division winner based on its defense - the best in football.

Brian Urlacher

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What does 2006 hold for the cities of Chicago, Minnesota, Detroit and Green Bay? Let’s take a look.

Chicago Bears - 2005 Record: 11-5 SU; 9-5-2 ATS
Odds to win 2007 NFC North Championship: 2/3

It starts with defense in Chicago. Depending on if quarterback Rex Grossman stays healthy, it might end there too.

The Bears allowed just 202 regular-season points (12.6 per game) last year. That was far and away the best mark in the NFL. Indianapolis was well back in second, surrendering 15.4 points per game.

Perhaps the team’s most impressive performance came in Week 15 at home to Atlanta. In a 16-3 thrashing of the Falcons - a game that featured the triumphant return of Grossman to the struggling Chicago offense - the Bears gave up just 231 yards while linebacker Brian Urlacher displayed his menacing closing speed, racking up 11 solo tackles at frigid Soldier Field. Right down to the weather, it was textbook Bears football.

While there’s very little to worry about on the defensive side of the ball, with just eight regular-season games under his belt, Grossman still has a few things to learn about leading an offense.

"I know I've only played eight games so far. It's not a lot, but it still is eight games," Grossman said to FOXSports.com. "I know this offense. I've studied my ass off this whole offseason. I feel comfortable. I process everything a lot faster. I'm a lot better than I was a year ago. A lot more calm, not as eager to prove something to everyone."

Grossman’s confidence aside, the addition of veteran QB Brian Griese should provide both a mentor for the fourth-year player out of Florida and an insurance policy for the team.

One positional battle to keep an eye on is in the backfield. Thomas Jones had a career year in 2005 (1,335 yards, 4.3 ypc) but his failure to show up for a voluntary camp this summer resulted in coach Lovie Smith handing the top job to second-year pro Cedric Benson, who, incidentally, is sidelined for two to three weeks with a sprained left shoulder.

The Bottom Line

The defense is set. If the Bears can find a way to put more points on the board, they’ll take the division. If they can’t score, they might still win the division, but they won’t go far in the playoffs.


Minnesota Vikings - 2005 Record: 9-7 SU; 9-7 ATS

Odds to win 2007 NFC North Championship: 5/2

The sex cruise is old news. Daunte Culpepper is in Miami. Head coach Mike Tice is gone. In other words, it looks like the Minnesota Vikings can finally focus on football.

Brad Childress takes over the coaching duties in Minneapolis and he’ll rely on the oldest quarterback in the league, Brad Johnson, to lead a West Coast offense that features a generous supply of short passes and ball-catching running backs.

Running back Chester Taylor, inked to a four-year, $14.1-million contract on March 12, will be granted the privilege of running behind newly signed offensive guard Steve Hutchinson.

"He's just so athletic," said Arizona's Darnell Dockett of Hutchinson to The Pioneer Press. "He's over 305 pounds, and he's flexible and strong, and he doesn't make mistakes. He'd make any running back look good, no disrespect to Shaun Alexander. I don't see how Seattle let him go.”

The Bottom Line

Johnson will be 38 on Sept. 13. After him on the depth chart? Mike McMahon. Case closed.


Green Bay Packers - 2005 Record: 4-12 SU; 5-9-2 ATS

Odds to win 2007 NFC North Championship: 4/1

First-year head coach Mike McCarthy, formerly the offensive coordinator in San Francisco, has a lot to work on in Green Bay. That said, he’s also got a lot to work with.

Brett Favre is back to lead a group of players young enough to be his sons (well, not quite). The youth movement includes rookie guards Daryn Colledge and Jason Spitz as well as linebacker and fifth overall pick A.J. Hawk.

"I really feel like as far as talent is concerned, this is the most talented team I've been a part of as a whole, but the most unproven and inexperienced team I've ever played on," Favre was widely quoted as saying. "If we can somehow put it together, there's a lot of talent out there. If you compare us to the year we won the Super Bowl or two years previous to '96, we weren't a very talented team. We weren't under-talented, but we were very experienced."

Colledge and Spitz will be under the microscope big time after a 2005 season in which Favre threw a league-leading 29 interceptions. The picks were partly a result of poor decision-making on the gunslinger’s part, but also because the offensive line couldn’t support a running game. (Injuries to Ahman Green and Najeh Davenport didn’t help either.)

The Bottom Line

All hope is not lost for the Lambeau faithful. While the Pack are still a long shot to make the playoffs, it has the talent to surprise. As with all young teams consistency will be the challenge.


Detroit Lions - 2005 Record: 5-11 SU; 9-7 ATS
Odds to win 2007 NFC North Championship: 5/1

The third new coach in the NFC North is Rod Marinelli, previously an assistant coach in Tampa Bay. Marinelli is a tough nut who won’t soon put up with any of the garbage that’s been a Detroit football staple of late. Evidence of the new era: oft tardy receiver Mike Williams is now listed as a third-teamer on the depth chart.

Jon Kitna is the current favorite to be the starting quarterback, ahead of Josh McCown, and he’ll have plenty of weapons at his disposal, especially in the receiving corps with Roy Williams and Charles “All Potential, No Results” Rogers. If new offensive coordinator Mike Martz can achieve buy-in to his system, plus commit to a running game with talented back Kevin Jones, the Lions should certainly improve on last year.

As has been the case in Detroit, however, “if they can” typically turns into “but they can’t”, so no one will blame bettors for taking a wait-and-see approach to the Lions.

The Bottom Line

The Lions haven’t been to the playoffs in six years. It will take a coach-of-the-year performance for Marinelli to end the slump.

TOP PHOTO: Brian Urlacher is the feature player on the best defense in football. (AI Wire photo)

Note: All NFL lines subject to change.

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