Monday Night Football Gamble

contests, and to avoid losing five straight games they're going to have to get past the scorching-hot (and 5-0) Chicago Bears at Cardinals Stadium on Monday night.

Rookie QB Matt Leinart got the start for Arizona last week against the Kansas City Chiefs, and he at least looked like an improvement on Kurt Warner. Leinart went 22-of-35 for 253 yards passing, with two touchdown strikes and an interception in the 23-20 defeat; the Chiefs scored 13 points in the final quarter to pull out the Week 5 road win.

So Leinart will be given Arizona's starting duties again this week, and it's very possible that Warner's time as the No. 1 guy in the desert is already over. The veteran has even started dropping hints about retiring at the end of the year, especially if he's a backup.

But no matter who starts for the Cards, do they really have much of a chance against the Bears on Monday night? Oddsmakers and bettors certainly don't think Arizona has a shot - Chicago opened as a 10-point road favorite, and most books had moved that line to 11 points by the end of the week. The game's total moved up from 37 to 40 points.

Based on the Bears' play so far this year, though, that 11-point spread might not be much of a challenge. Four of Chicago's five wins this season have been blowouts: 26-0 over Green Bay, 34-7 over Detroit, 37-6 over Seattle, and 40-7 over Buffalo last week. The only team that stayed close was Minnesota, who lost just 19-16 in Week 3 action.

Last week's win over the Bills was almost a shutout for the dominant Bears defense - only a late touchdown pass by Buffalo QB J.P. Losman removed the donut from the scoreboard. Rex Grossman went 15-of-27 for 182 yards passing in the rout, with two touchdown tosses and zero INTs. Thomas Jones rushed for 109 yards on 22 carries.

Chicago has also been a good option for bettors this season - they're 4-1 against-the-spread overall through five contests, 1-1 ATS on the road, and 4-1 ATS as the favored team. Arizona has been a good option as well - if you've been betting on them to lose. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS overall this year, 1-2 ATS at home, and 1-2 ATS as the dog.

And for a team with a dominant defense the Bears have been involved in a surprising number of OVER plays this year - Chicago has a 3-1-1 OVER/UNDER record so far in 2006, thanks to scoring 31.2 points-per-game (while allowing just 7.2 points-per-game). Arizona has an OVER/UNDER mark of 2-2-1 through five games, and they've been scoring at a rate of 17.6 points-per-game (and allowing 23.8 points-per-game so far).

The last time these teams met was on November 30, 2003 in Chicago. The Bears picked up an easy victory in that game, winning by a final score of 28-3. Chicago easily covered the 4.5-point spread at home, and the combined score was an UNDER result.

Here is the official Week 6 injury report for the Bears:

Chris Harris S Out Week 6 (Quadricep)
Leon Joe LB Questionable Week 6 (Hamstring)
Mark Bradley WR Questionable Week 6 (Ankle)
Adewale Ogunleye DE Questionable Week 6 (Hamstring)

Here is the official Week 6 injury report for the Cardinals:

Larry Fitzgerald WR Doubtful Week 6 (Hamstring)
Kendrick Clancy DT Doubtful Week 6 (Ankle)
Milford Brown G Doubtful Week 6 (Ankle)
James Darling LB Doubtful Week 6 (Calf)
Robert Griffith S Probable Week 6 (Ankle)

After playing in Arizona on Monday night the Bears can look forward to a bye week. The Cards, meanwhile, play next week against the Raiders at Network Associates Coliseum.

monday night football gamble - chicago at arizona 7:00 PM

Monday Night Football Matchup
Chicago At Arizona
October 16th, 2006 - The University Of Phoenix Stadium
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