(Courtesy of My
Sportsbook) - Raiders fans should keep two
NFL records at the forefront of their minds
as they watch their team in 2005: The league
record for most points in a season is 556, set
by a 1998 Minnesota Vikings team that was denied
a trip to that year's Super Bowl by the Atlanta
Falcons.-The NFL mark for most points allowed
in a season is 533 by the 1981 Baltimore Colts,
a club that went 2-14, including 14 losses in
a row, and gave up 31 or more points an incredible
10 times. The record that the 2005 Oakland Raiders
draw nearer to will likely determine their success
level during the second season of Norv Turner's
tenure. The Silver and Black added wideout Randy
Moss in the offseason, and Moss will combine
with three talented holdovers - Jerry Porter,
Ronald Curry, and Doug Gabriel - to give the
Raiders arguably the deepest and most talented
receiving group in the league. In addition,
the club's commitment to offensive excellence
netted sturdy free agent running back LaMont
Jordan, who will keep opposing defenses honest
with a downhill running style that has seen
him average nearly five yards per carry as a
pro. At least 12 opposing defensive coordinators
have bitten their fingernails down to the nub
wondering how they're going to stop this team.
Their counterparts on the offensive
side, however, aren't quite as worried. The
Raiders come off a season in which they gave
up 27.6 points per game (only the 49ers were
worse) and ranked 30th in the league against
the pass. They switched part-time from a 3-4
defense to the more Warren Sapp-friendly 4-3
in the offseason, but did little in the way
of acquiring first-rate talent to assist Sapp
and other stars-when-they-feel-like-it like
cornerback Charles Woodson on that side of the
ball. Foes will face the Raiders knowing they'll
need to rack up points to beat them, which means
relentlessly exploiting the many defensive weaknesses.
At the very least, Oakland figures to be fun
to watch in 2005. Whether the Raiders bring
that entertainment within spitting distance
of the postseason is the major question, and
one that will become obvious with one look at
the "points for" and "points
against" columns of the end-of-season standings.
Below we take a capsule
look at the 2005 edition of the Oakland Raiders,
with a personnel evaluation and prognosis included
therein:
Oakland
Raiders |
2004 RECORD:
5-11 (4th, AFC West) |
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE:
2002, lost to Tampa Bay, 48-21, in
Super Bowl |
COACH (RECORD):
Norv Turner (5-11 in one season with
Raiders, 54-70-1 overall) |
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR:
Jimmy Raye |
DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR:
Rob Ryan |
OFFENSIVE STAR:
Randy Moss, WR (49 receptions, 767
yards, 13 TD with Minnesota) |
DEFENSIVE STAR:
Warren Sapp, DT (42 tackles, 2.5 sacks)
|
OFFENSIVE TEAM
RANKS: 32nd rushing, 8th passing,
18th scoring |
DEFENSIVE TEAM
RANKS: 22nd rushing, 30th passing,
31st scoring |
FIVE KEY GAMES:
at New England (9/8), Kansas City
(9/18), San Diego (10/16), Denver
(11/13), Miami (11/27) |
KEY ADDITIONS:
QB Andrew Walter (3rd Round, Arizona
State), RB LaMont Jordan (from Jets),
WR Randy Moss (Vikings), DE Derrick
Burgess (Eagles), DT Ed Jasper (Falcons),
DT Kenny Smith (Saints), DT Anttaj
Hawthorne (6th Round, Wisconsin),
LB Jay Foreman (Texans), CB Renaldo
Hill (Cardinals), LB Kirk Morrison
(4th Round, San Diego State), CB Fabian
Washington (1st Round, Nebraska),
CB Stanford Routt (2nd Round, Houston)
|
KEY DEPARTURES:
QB Rich Gannon (retired), RB J.R.
Redmond (not tendered), RB Amos Zereoue
(not tendered), RB Tyrone Wheatley
(released), TE Doug Jolley (to Jets),
TE Roland Williams (released), OL
Frank Middleton (released), DT John
Parrella (released), LB Napoleon Harris
(to Vikings), S David Terrell (not
tendered), S Marques Anderson (released),
CB Phillip Buchanon (to Texans), DB
Ray Buchanan (released) |
|
QB: Kerry
Collins (3495 passing yards, 21 TD, 20 INT) started
the final 13 games of the 2004 season following
a season-ending neck injury to Rich Gannon (524
passing yards, 3 TD, 2 INT), and failed to endear
himself to Raiders fans by going 3-10 over that
stretch. Collins' 20 picks were tied for the most
in the league, and were the highest total of his
career. Collins has the arm to run Oakland's vertical-based
offense, but must cut down on the mistakes. Marques
Tuiasosopo has one start in four seasons with
the Raiders, and will remain the backup, at least
in the short-term. The Silver and Black used a
third-round draft choice on strong-armed, 6-foot-6
Andrew Walter (Arizona State), and Walter is likely
the team's quarterback of the future.
RB: The Raiders
finished dead last in the league in rushing
a year ago, and brought in LaMont Jordan (479
rushing yards, 15 receptions, 2 TD with the
Jets) to rectify that situation. Jordan was
the backup behind Curtis Martin for four years
in New York, but was productive when called
upon. Justin Fargas (126 rushing yards, 11 receptions,
1 TD) was a disappointment last season, but
with Tyrone Wheatley (327 rushing yards, 4 TD)
and Amos Zereoue (425 rushing yards, 39 receptions,
3 TD) both gone, Fargas will have the backup
job to himself. Fullback Zack Crockett (232
rushing yards, 16 receptions, 2 TD), who can
also play tailback in a pinch, will begin his
seventh season as a Raider. Chris Hetherington
(3 receptions) started two games last season,
and will likely back Crockett. Omar Easy, who
played 15 games with the Chiefs last season,
could stick as a third fullback and practice
squad player.
WR/TE: Randy
Moss (49 receptions, 13 TD with the Vikings),
who has 91 touchdowns in seven NFL seasons,
remains one of the league's most potent offensive
weapons. Moss is expected to thrive in a lineup
that already included Jerry Porter (64 receptions,
9 TD), who was just two yards short of his first
1,000-yard season a year ago. Ronald Curry (50
receptions, 6 TD) had a breakout season despite
missing the final four games with a torn Achilles,
and will be the third receiver if he can bounce
back from that injury. Doug Gabriel (33 receptions,
2 TD), who started five games last season, will
take over the No. 3 role if Curry falters. Three
more holdovers - Alvis Whitted (9 receptions,
2 TD), Carlos Francis, and Johnnie Morant (1
reception) could be contending for just two
roster spots. At tight end, the team parted
with Doug Jolley (27 receptions, 2 TD) on draft
day, meaning Courtney Anderson (13 receptions,
1 TD) and Teyo Johnson (9 receptions, 2 TD)
should be the main men there. Zeron Flemister,
who was a part-time starter with the Redskins
for four years but sat out last season with
a torn ACL, could stick as a third tight end.
OL: The Raiders
were happy with the play of a pair of rookies
- center/guard Jake Grove and tackle Robert
Gallery - a year ago, and are hoping to make
the duo a staple of their offensive line for
years to come. Grove is slated to play center
on this year's club, and Gallery will man the
right tackle slot. Left tackle Barry Sims and
right guard Brad Badger are the other holdovers
from last year's starting unit, and both are
solid. At left guard, Langston Walker will look
to solidify himself into a full-time starting
role after opening a total of nine games in
his first three seasons with Oakland. Adam Treu
was a 16-game starter at center last season,
but should be resigned to a backup role in 2005.
Former Pro Bowler Ron Stone missed 11 games
due to injury a year ago, and factors in as
a backup as well. Holdover reserve Chad Slaughter
should beat out former Bills starter Robert
Hicks, who hasn't played in an NFL game since
2000, for a spot as a backup at tackle. Seventh-round
draft choice and tackle Pete McMahon (Iowa)
appears headed to the practice squad.
DL: The addition
of massive tackles Warren Sapp (42 tackles,
2.5 sacks) and Ted Washington (41 tackles, 3
sacks) along the defensive front was supposed
to be a boon to the Raider defense last season,
but it never quite panned out that way. Sapp
was out of place in the 3-4 front, which prompted
the team to put in some 4-3 fronts in the offseason,
in which Sapp can simply bull-rush overmatched
guards. Sapp and Washington are expected to
start on the interior, and prototype 3-4 end
Bobby Hamilton (57 tackles, 1 sack) will be
brought in when the club needs to stop the run.
When the Raiders go to a 4-3 look, they'll use
'tweener ends Tyler Brayton (45 tackles, 2.5
sacks), Akbar Gbaja- Biamila (14 tackles, 1
sack) and offseason acquisition Derrick Burgess
(24 tackles, 2.5 sacks with the Eagles) to come
off the edge. That group, which will also be
a part of the outside linebacker picture in
the 3-4, will have to bolster a unit that generated
just 25 sacks a year ago, the second-lowest
figure in the league. Backups on the interior
should include Tommy Kelly (20 tackles, 4 sacks),
Terdell Sands (22 tackles), and sixth-round
draft choice Anttaj Hawthorne (Wisconsin). Former
Falcon Ed Jasper (34 tackles, 2 sacks with the
Falcons), and one-time Saints starter Kenny
Smith, who missed all of last year with a torn
rotator cuff, could be subject to the final
cut due to a crowded line picture.
LB: Oakland
plans on beginning the season with converted
ends like Brayton and Grant Irons (12 tackles,
1 sack) playing outside linebacker in 3-4 sets,
which could spell disaster when it comes time
for those players to cover running backs and
tight ends out of the backfield. A season-ending
knee injury to Sam Williams (27 tackles), the
projected starter at one OLB slot, could hasten
the team's more permanent move to a 4-3. Until
that time, both inside linebackers Danny Clark
(129 tackles, 2 sacks) and Tim Johnson (41 tackles,
1 INT) will be on the field at the same time,
with former Texan Jay Foreman (70 tackles with
Houston) and third-round draft choice Kirk Morrison
(San Diego State) vying to crack the rotation
there as well. On the outside, Brayton, Irons,
Foreman, Gbaja-Biamila, Burgess, and even oft-injured
DeLawrence Grant (20 tackles, 2 sacks) could
appear.
DB: There will
be major changes in the secondary, as cornerback
Phillip Buchanon (59 tackles, 3 INT) and safeties
Marques Anderson (72 tackles, 1 INT) and Ray
Buchanan (91 tackles, 1 INT) each of whom started
at least 10 games a year ago, have all been
shipped out. The one holdover is cornerback
Charles Woodson (73 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 1 INT),
whose skills are still terrific but whose desire
has been called into question. The Raiders are
counting on Woodson having a bounce-back year,
and on either third-year man Nnamdi Asomugha
(45 tackles, 1 sack) or rookies Fabian Washington
(1st Round, Nebraska) and Stanford Routt (2nd
Round, Houston) stepping up to play opposite
Woodson. Asomugha, who had seven starts last
season, was slightly ahead of Routt at the midway
point in the preseason, with Washington a distant
third in the battle. Also in to lend a hand
at corner will be former Cardinal Renaldo Hill
(45 tackles, 1 INT, 1 sack with Arizona) and
holdover Denard Walker (45 tackles, 1 INT).
The safety picture is no clearer. Derrick Gibson,
who missed all of 2004 with a shoulder injury,
is being tabbed to start on the strong side,
with second-year man Stuart Schweigert (52 tackles)
counted on to step up at free safety. Schweigert
made just three starts last season. Special
teamer Jarrod Cooper (16 tackles, 1 sack) and
Keyon Nash, who has appeared in two NFL games
since being selected in the sixth round of the
2002 draft, have the most experience of any
of the backup safety candidates. At least one
of the backup cornerback candidates is likely
to be moved to safety.
SPECIAL TEAMS:
Punter Shane Lechler (46.7 avg.) has led the
NFL in average for the past two seasons, but
was expected to miss most of the preseason after
sustaining a hamstring injury in the team's
first warm-up contest. Lechler should be back
in time for the regular season. Kicker Sebastian
Janikowski (25-28 FG, 31-32 XP) comes off perhaps
the most consistent season of his five- year
career. Doug Gabriel (21.5 avg.) is back to
handle kickoff returns, and will be in the mix
to take over for the departed Buchanon on punt
returns. Rookie speedster Fabian Washington
is also being considered as a punt returner.
PROGNOSIS:
The Raider offense has the potential to be the
most potent in the NFL, without question. Opposing
defenses will have to pick their poison in figuring
out whom to stop, and Collins and offensive
coordinator Jimmy Raye must learn how to properly
exploit the defensive holes that will undoubtedly
be present. The trick will be keeping everyone
happy, as Moss, Porter, Curry, Gabriel, and
Jordan are all going to want touches. Providing
the team is winning, things should go smoothly
in that regard. Unfortunately, the defense is
such a mess that an increased number of victories
are far from a foregone conclusion. Not only
is the talent spotty at end, linebacker, and
particularly in the secondary, but there is
nothing resembling a clear vision on what scheme
the unit will even play. It won't be hard to
score on Oakland, which will drive down the
margin of error for Collins and the offense
every week. Collins has never been known for
his outstanding decision-making ability, which
spells trouble. The Raiders have enough offensive
talent to creep toward .500, but they also have
enough defensive problems to allow at least
the Chargers and Chiefs to pass them by in the
AFC West. Defense wins championships, and the
Raiders could be about to find that out the
hard way. |