(Courtesy
of My
Sportsbook) - To be a Patriots fan means to possess
a reflexive ability to shrug your shoulders in the
face of adversity. Since the 2001 season, when head
coach Bill Belichick inserted a green 24- year-old
quarterback named Tom Brady to replace injured perennial
Pro Bowler Drew Bledsoe, and promptly watched that
youngster lead the franchise to a Super Bowl title,
appearances of chicken littles in Patriot Nation have
been scarce.
In 2003, the complete lack of a running
game wasn't enough to sink New England. The Pats adjusted
by throwing on just about every down, and won their
second title in three years. In 2004, when the club
was down to the likes of Earthwind Moreland and converted
receiver Troy Brown at the cornerback position, Belichick
and company soldiered on, outlasting the Eagles in
Super Bowl XXXIX to become the NFL's first back-to-back
champs since the 1997-98 Broncos.
And even in an offseason that has seen
offensive coordinator Charlie Weis bolt to take the
Notre Dame job; defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel
head to the banks of Lake Erie to take over the Browns;
Pro Bowl linebacker Tedy Bruschi suffer a stroke that
will keep him out of football for at least 2005; and
fellow ILB Ted Johnson abruptly retire on the eve
of training camp, it is still somehow implausible
to predict doom for the New England Patriots. A third
consecutive Super Bowl crown would be unprecedented
in NFL annals. Is there anyone, even those who reside
outside of the picturesque New England landscape,
who would dare doubt the Patriots' ability to capture
that piece of history? Below we take a capsule look
at the 2005 edition of the New England Patriots, with
a personnel evaluation and prognosis included therein:
2004 RECORD: 14-2
(1st, AFC East)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2004,
defeated Philadelphia, 24-21, in Super Bowl
COACH (RECORD): Bill
Belichick (53-27 in five seasons with Patriots, 89-71
overall)
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Belichick
DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR:
Eric Mangini
OFFENSIVE STAR: Tom
Brady, QB (3692 passing yards, 28 TD, 14 INT)
DEFENSIVE STAR: Rodney
Harrison, SS (138 tackles, 3 sacks, 2 INT)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS:
7th rushing, 11th passing, 4th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 6th
rushing, 17th passing, t2nd scoring
FIVE KEY GAMES: at
Pittsburgh (9/25), San Diego (10/2), at Denver (10/16),
Indianapolis (11/7), at N.Y. Jets (12/26)
KEY ADDITIONS: QB
Doug Flutie (from Chargers), WR David Terrell (Bears),
WR/KR Tim Dwight (Chargers), PR-RB Chad Morton (Redskins),
G Logan Mankins (1st Round, Fresno State), LB Chad
Brown (Seahawks), LB Monty Beisel (Chiefs), S Antuan
Edwards (Rams), CB Chad Scott (Steelers), CB Duane
Starks (Cardinals)
KEY DEPARTURES: WR
David Patten (to Redskins), G Joe Andruzzi (to Browns),
LB Tedy Bruschi (sitting out 2005 season following
stroke), LB Ted Johnson (retired), CB Ty Law (released),
NT Keith Traylor (released), LB Roman Phifer (released)
QB: The Patriot offense
will have little to worry about with Tom Brady at
the controls, as the 28-year-old signal-caller only
seems to get better and better. Brady is now 57-14
(.803) as an NFL starter, including a perfect 9-0
in the postseason, and comes off his third Pro Bowl
citation in 2004. The depth chart behind Brady is
a bit more uncertain, as incumbent No. 2 Rohan Davey
figures to be challenged by local favorite and free
agent pickup Doug Flutie. Flutie has 66 NFL starts
under his belt compared to Davey's zero, but will
turn 43 during Week 7 and may have little to nothing
left in the tank. Matt Cassel (USC), whom New England
used a seventh-round draft pick on, had just 33 collegiate
pass attempts as a backup to Carson Palmer and Matt
Leinart and looks like prime practice squad material.
RB: The presence of
running back Corey Dillon (1635 rushing yards, 15
receptions, 13 TD) gave the New England attack an
important new dimension in 2004, and Dillon earned
selection to the Pro Bowl after establishing a career
high in rushing yards. Dillon will turn 31 during
the season, so there will be some question about whether
he can match that success. Backup Kevin Faulk (255
yards, 26 receptions, 3 TD) is a reliable change-of-pace
and good pass- catcher, and should continue to spell
Dillon. Fullback Patrick Pass set career highs in
rushing yards (141) and receptions (28) last season,
and is expected to step back into his normal role.
WR/TE: The New England
receiving corps will have a different look, as David
Patten (44 receptions, 7 TD) defected to the Redskins,
and David Terrell (42 receptions, 1 TD with Chicago)
and Tim Dwight (2 receptions, 1 TD with San Diego)
were brought on to offer depth. Terrell is seen as
a big-league talent that has never produced as a pro,
and should have plenty of opportunities to get open
as part of a receiving group that includes Super Bowl
XXXIX MVP Deion Branch (35 receptions, 4 TD) and David
Givens (56 receptions, 3 TD). Veteran Troy Brown (17
receptions, 1 TD) was re-signed in the offseason,
but both he and Bethel Johnson (10 receptions, 1 TD)
could have trouble cracking a crowded receiver rotation.
At tight end, Daniel Graham (30 receptions, 7 TD)
had a productive 2004 but could be beaten out by second-year
man Ben Watson, a 2004 first-round draft pick who
missed all but one game following a knee injury last
year. With Watson back, veterans Christian Fauria
(16 receptions, 2 TD) and Jed Weaver (8 receptions)
could be battling for one spot.
OL: The loss of guard
Joe Andruzzi (to the Browns), who started every game
for New England over the past two seasons, will be
the most significant change on the line. Veteran Russ
Hochstein, who has been a spot starter over the past
two seasons, is the favorite to take over at left
guard, though the team would like first-round draft
choice Logan Mankins (Fresno State) to settle into
a starting job sooner rather than later. Tackles Matt
Light (left side) and Brandon Gorin (right side) were
steady down the stretch last year, as were center
Dan Koppen and right guard Steve Neal. Tackle Tom
Ashworth started the first six games of 2004 before
succumbing to a back injury, and should be in line
for backup duties this year. Mankins and fellow draft
pick Nick Kaczur (3rd round, Toledo) figure to be
among the reserves.
DL: With changes afoot
in both the linebacking corps and secondary, pressure
will be on the defensive line to again perform at
a high level. Right end Richard Seymour (39 tackles,
5 sacks) is the key to the unit's success, and will
be seeking a fourth consecutive Pro Bowl citation.
Fellow end Ty Warren (48 tackles, 3.5 sacks) could
be on the verge of greatness, and nose tackle Vince
Wilfork (42 tackles, 2 sacks) will look to build on
an impressive rookie campaign. With Keith Traylor
gone, Wilfork will be backed by the undersized Dan
Klecko, who has played both fullback and linebacker
in his time as a Patriot. The other backup of note
is Jarvis Green (21 tackles, 4 sacks), who will push
Seymour and Warren in the end rotation.
LB: No position will
be under more scrutiny in training camp than linebacker,
where Ted Johnson and Tedy Bruschi have left a giant
void in the middle of new coordinator Eric Mangini's
3-4 alignment. Ideally, the team would like to plug
free agent pickups Monty Beisel (51 tackles with the
Chiefs) and Chad Brown (37 tackles with the Seahawks)
in at the inside linebacker slots, but Beisel has
never started an entire pro season and Brown has been
injury-plagued over the past three campaigns. Special
teamers Don Davis (32 tackles) and Larry Izzo (25
tackles) will have to be ready. New England is in
better shape at outside linebacker, where Mike Vrabel
(71 tackles, 5.5 sacks), Willie McGinest (51 tackles,
9.5 sacks), and Roosevelt Colvin (32 tackles, 5 sacks)
form one of the best OLB rotations around.
DB: The departure
of Pro Bowl cornerback Ty Law (28 tackles, 1 INT)
would have been considered much more significant had
the Patriots not soared through the second half of
2004 and on to a Super Bowl title without him. The
starting Super Bowl duo of Randall Gay (34 tackles,
2 INT) and Asante Samuel (36 tackles, 1 INT) will
be penciled in until further notice, though the added
presence of veterans Duane Starks (58 tackles, 3 INT
with Cardinals) and Chad Scott (29 tackles, 1 INT
with Steelers), along with a now-healthy Tyrone Poole
(13 tackles, 1 INT) could place that status in jeopardy.
The team looks set at safety, with Rodney Harrison
on the strong side and Eugene Wilson (67 tackles,
4 INT) on the weak serving as one of the top tandems
in the NFL. Antuan Edwards (65 tackles with Dolphins
and Rams) and rookie James Sanders (4th round, Fresno
State) will provide depth at safety.
SPECIAL TEAMS: Kicker
Adam Vinatieri (31-33 FG, 48-48 XP) and punter Josh
Miller (42.0 avg.) are both back, though punt and
kickoff coverage will be a concern for special teams
coach Brad Seely. The presence of Tim Dwight (24.4
kickoff return avg. with the Chargers), who has 322
career returns and five touchdowns, could spell the
end for Bethel Johnson (24.8 kickoff return avg.)
and/or Kevin Faulk (6.7 punt return avg.) in the return
game. The Pats also brought Chad Morton (22.4 kickoff
return avg. with Redskins) in to compete for a job
on special teams.
PROGNOSIS: It is easy
to come up with enough question marks that could potentially
add up to the Patriots' downfall - the loss of two
respected coordinators, two talented inside linebackers
in Bruschi and Johnson, the absence of Ty Law, and/or
the assumed complacency that comes with back-to-back
Super Bowl titles chief among them. But none of the
naysayers can stack all those would-be problems up
against the expertise and sheer will of Belichick
and still believe New England won't find a way to
get it done. They'll be challenged by the likes of
the Colts, Steelers, Ravens, Chargers and perhaps
Jets in the AFC, but anyone who bets against the Patriots
doing what it takes to get to Detroit for Super Bowl
XL has simply not been paying attention.
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