(Courtesy
of My
Sportsbook) - It
all came apart pretty quickly for the Jacksonville
Jaguars in 2004. Jack Del Rio's team
looked to be cruising towards a playoff berth
following Week 7, when they stunned the Indianapolis
Colts, 27-24, on the road to run their record
to an AFC South-best 5-2. Surely, any team that
could go into Indy and win was more than a mere
pretender. Strange how an injury can separate
the wheat from the chaff. During a 20-6 loss
to Houston the following week, quarterback Byron
Leftwich sustained a partial tear of the lateral
collateral ligament in his left knee. Leftwich
was never quite the same thereafter, and neither
was his team. The loss to the Texans began a
1-4 stretch for the club, a run that included
a demoralizing 18-15 home loss to the lowly
Titans and a 17-16 home defeat at the hands
of the Steelers in primetime. When those pesky
Texans came into ALLTELL Stadium in Week 16
and blanked the Jags, 21-0, a once-promising
season was officially on the skids.
Avoiding a similar fate will
be the Jaguars' objective in 2005. Leftwich
is healthy, and the league's 29th-ranked scoring
offense is expected to receive a jolt following
the hiring of offensive coordinator Carl Smith.
Smith has installed a vertical-style passing
offense, one meant to take advantage of his
quarterback's strong right arm. On the other
side of the ball, the Jags signed a much-needed
pass rusher in Reggie Hayward, who should combine
with Pro Bowl tackles Marcus Stroud and John
Henderson to make up one of the league's most
formidable defensive lines. With a more substantial
foundation in place, Del Rio and company are
counting on not coming apart for a second straight
year. Below we take a capsule
look at the 2005 edition of the Jacksonville
Jaguars, with a personnel evaluation and prognosis
included therein:
Jacksonville
Jaguars |
2004 RECORD:
9-7 (2nd, AFC South) |
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE:
1999, lost to Tennessee, 33-14, in
AFC Championship |
COACH (RECORD):
Jack Del Rio (14-18 in two seasons
with Jaguars, 14-18 overall) |
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR:
Carl Smith |
DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR:
Mike Smith |
OFFENSIVE STAR:
Byron Leftwich, QB (2941 passing yards,
15 TD, 10 INT, 148 rushing yards,
2 TD) |
DEFENSIVE STAR:
Donovin Darius, SS (87 tackles, 5
INT) |
OFFENSIVE TEAM
RANKS: 16th rushing, 19th passing,
29th scoring |
DEFENSIVE TEAM
RANKS: 11th rushing, 16th passing,
7th scoring |
FIVE KEY GAMES:
Seattle (9/11), Denver (10/2), Houston
(11/6), at Tennessee (11/20), Indianapolis
(12/11) |
KEY ADDITIONS:
RB Alvin Pearman (4th Round, Virginia),
WR/TE Matt Jones (1st Round, Arkansas),
T Khalif Barnes (2nd Round, Washington),
DT Tony Williams (from Bengals), DT
Martin Chase (Giants), DE Reggie Hayward
(Broncos), DE Marcellus Wiley (Cowboys),
LB Nate Wayne (Eagles), DB Kenny Wright
(Texans), DB Terry Cousin (Giants),
CB Scott Starks (3rd Round, Wisconsin)
|
KEY DEPARTURES:
FB Marc Edwards (released), T Bob
Whitfield (to Giants), LB Jason Gildon
(not tendered), LB Tommy Hendricks
(released), CB Juran Bolden (released),
CB Dewayne Washington (released) |
|
QB: Byron
Leftwich (2941 passing yards, 15 TD, 10 INT) displayed
magical talent at times during 2004, but also
suffered from the inconsistency that generally
plagues young starters. The Jaguars are expecting
Leftwich to take a giant step in his third year
in the league, but to do so, he will have to pick
up new offensive coordinator Carl Smith's vertical-based
offense in an expedient fashion. David Garrard
(374 passing yards, 2 TD, 1 INT) started two games
when Leftwich was injured in 2004, and went 1-1.
He should keep his No. 2 job. Quinn Gray, the
third-stringer a year ago, will have to hold off
former Oklahoma star Nate Hybl in order to maintain
his spot on the roster.
RB: Running
back Fred Taylor (1224 rushing yards, 36 receptions,
3 TD) enters his eighth NFL season facing plenty
of questions about his health, after the Jags'
all-time leading rusher missed the final two
games of 2004 with a knee injury and had arthroscopic
surgery in January. Even if healthy, the 29-year-
old Taylor will have to show improvement over
a 2004 campaign that saw him find the end zone
a scant three times, 14 fewer than he had as
a rookie in 1998. LaBrandon Toefield (169 rushing
yards, 28 receptions, 1 TD) will have to be
ready if Taylor struggles, but might face a
stiff test from fourth-round draft choice Alvin
Pearman (Virginia) in the quest for the No.
2 job. Former tailback Greg Jones (162 rushing
yards, 3 TD) is expected to shift permanently
to the fullback position. Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala
(69 rushing yards, 1 TD), a hard worker and
fan favorite, can back up either the tailback
or fullback positions.
WR/TE: On paper,
the Jaguars' starting receivers on opening day
will likely be veteran Jimmy Smith (74 receptions,
6 TD) and 2004 first-round draft choice Reggie
Williams (27 receptions, 1 TD). But it is inconceivable
that the team will hold 2005 first-rounder Matt
Jones (Arkansas) out for long, and will likely
find a way to get his athleticism on the field.
Jones was a quarterback for four seasons at
Arkansas, but is being converted because of
the matchup problems that his 6-6, 242-pound
frame and 4.5 speed will undoubtedly cause down
the field. In the mix as backups for the second
straight year will be Troy Edwards (50 receptions,
1 TD), Ernest Wilford (19 receptions, 2 TD)
and Cortez Hankton (9 receptions, 2 TD). Sixth-round
draft choice Chad Owens (Hawaii) projects as
a return man. At tight end, the Jaguars need
Kyle Brady (14 receptions, 1 TD) to shake off
an injury-plagued 2004 and return to form. If
he can't, George Wrighster (10 receptions, 1
TD) and Todd Yoder (14 receptions) will both
get a chance to win the job. There was speculation
that Jones could be moved to tight end at some
stage, but he likely lacks the requisite blocking
skills.
OL: Left guard
Vince Manuwai, center Brad Meester, right guard
Chris Naeole, and right tackle Maurice Williams
each started all 16 games for the Jaguars last
season, and all four should have little trouble
re-claiming their spots in the starting lineup.
As a unit, the group gave up just 32 sacks in
2004. The major change in the trenches could
come at left tackle, where Mike Pearson is attempting
to recover from a knee injury that limited him
to four games a year ago. Ephraim Salaam did
a credible job filling in for Pearson, but both
players will have to contend with the threat
of second-round draft choice Khalif Barnes (Washington).
The two odd men out in that battle will have
a chance to stay as backups, and 2004 reserve
Mike Compton is also a good bet to stick. Brent
Smith, who started one game with the Jets in
'04, is also vying for a backup job at both
tackle and guard.
DL: Back are
defensive tackles Marcus Stroud (54 tackles,
4.5 sacks) and John Henderson (75 tackles, 5.5
sacks), a pair of Pro Bowlers who make up arguably
the top interior tandem in the NFL. The presence
of both players helped mask the problems of
a pass rush that was bitten hard by the injury
in '04 bug and never achieved anything in the
way of consistency. To remedy that problem,
the Jags went out and signed Reggie Hayward
(43 tackles, 10.5 sacks with the Broncos) and
Marcellus Wiley (38 tackles, 3 sacks with the
Cowboys) in the offseason, and both will have
a chance to win starting jobs at end. Hayward
is basically assured of a spot in the starting
lineup, but the declining Wiley could lose out
to holdovers Paul Spicer (5 tackles) or Bobby
McCray (24 tackles, 3.5 sacks). Spicer missed
the final 14 games of 2004 with a leg injury.
Backups at tackle should include part-time 2004
end starter Rob Meier (22 tackles), and former
Bengal Tony Williams (16 tackles with Cincinnati).
LB: There will
be no turnover at the linebacker spots for Jacksonville,
as Mike Peterson (126 tackles, 5 sacks) is back
in the middle, Akin Ayodele (92 tackles, 2 sacks)
returns to man the weak side, and second-year
pro Daryl Smith (52 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT)
handles the strong side. Peterson and Ayodele
were both 16-game starters in 2004, and Smith
got the nod in 13 games. To add depth, the Jags
signed former Eagle Nate Wayne (30 tackles,
1 sack with Philadelphia), who should be the
first player off the bench in the event of an
injury to one of the starting three. Moving
back to his natural position of linebacker is
Greg Favors (36 tackles, 5.5 sacks), who was
shifted to end and tied for the Jacksonville
lead in sacks a year ago. Jorge Cordova, a third-
round pick out of Nevada in 2004 who missed
all of his rookie season due to a knee injury,
will be used as a situational pass rusher at
the outside linebacker position. Sixth-round
pick Pat Thomas (N.C. State) has a chance to
make the team as a special teamer.
DB: Back to
lead the secondary is strong safety Donovin
Darius (87 tackles, 5 INT), who had a monster
year despite a public rift with the team about
his contract. With a new deal in place, Jacksonville
is expecting Darius to be even better in 2005.
Lining up next to Darius is free safety Deon
Grant (65 tackles, 2 INT), who started all 16
games a year ago. Back to man one cornerback
slot is Rashean Mathis (63 tackles, 5 INT),
who looks to be a rising star in the league.
There will be change at the other corner, however,
as Dewayne Washington (76 tackles, 2 INT), a
16-game starter last season, was released in
the offseason. The club is hoping that David
Richardson, who appeared in just two games as
an undrafted rookie out of Cal Poly last season,
can win the job, but signed veterans Terry Cousin
(49 tackles, 2 sacks with the Panthers) and
Kenny Wright (46 tackles, 3 INT with the Texans)
in the event that Richardson fails to make the
leap. Providing additional depth at corner will
likely be 2005 third-round pick Scott Starks
(Wisconsin), along with holdovers Kiwaukee Thomas
(12 tackles) and Chris Thompson. Backups at
safety include Deke Cooper (24 tackles, 1 sack,
1 INT), special teams ace Nick Sorensen, and
fifth-round draft choice Gerald Sensabaugh (North
Carolina).
SPECIAL TEAMS:
Kicker Josh Scobee (24-31 FG, 21-21 XP) did
a steady job during his rookie season of 2004,
but will face pressure in training camp from
Seth Marler, who kicked for the Jags in 2003
but missed all of last year with a strained
quadriceps. Punter Chris Hanson (42.8 avg.)
also has competition in camp, from former Viking
Eddie Johnson. David Allen (9.6 punt return
avg., 19.1 kickoff return avg.) will be given
the opportunity to handle both punt and kickoff
returns again, but rookie Chad Owens (Hawaii)
will have a chance to unseat him. Owens scored
five touchdowns off of punt returns during his
senior year.
PROGNOSIS:
The Jaguars are seen as a team on the rise,
but their ascension to what would be the franchise's
first postseason bid since 1999 is predicated
on a few things falling the right way. First,
Leftwich and his receivers have to make a successful
transition from Bill Musgrave's west coast attack
to the vertical style favored by Carl Smith,
who spent last season tutoring Matt Leinart
as USC's quarterbacks coach. The Jags were 29th
in the league in scoring offense a year ago,
and have gone 50 games without breaking the
30- point barrier. Second, either Fred Taylor
or one of the rushers will have to give the
team a consistent threat out of the backfield.
Jacksonville running backs scored just six rushing
touchdowns last season (including two by Taylor),
and that's not going to cut it. Finally, an
otherwise strong defense needs something in
the way of a pass rush, meaning players like
Hayward, Spicer, Wiley, and Cordova must step
up. If the club can make improvements in those
three areas, they should finish second in the
AFC South and might even throw a scare into
the Colts. If not, don't be surprised to see
Jacksonville passed by Houston in the division
and playoff races. |