2006/07
NFL Playoffs Since our launch in 1997,
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NFL
Playoff Preview - Philadelphia (11-6) at New Orleans
(10-6)
by: MySportsbook.com
(My Sportsbook) -
The 2006 season has already been a magical ride
for the New Orleans Saints. Now the NFL's best
rags-to-riches story has the opportunity to accomplish
an unprecedented feat when it hosts the high-flying
Philadelphia Eagles in an NFC Divisional Playoff
this Saturday at the Superdome.
The Saints' remarkable one-year
turnaround from a three-win campaign filled with
adversity to the NFC South championship has re-energized
a franchise that had been wallowing in mediocrity
for years, as well as a city that sorely needed
something to be proud about. The team still has
one more obstacle to overcome, however, and that's
a history of postseason failures.
New Orleans has won only
one playoff game in its existence, a 31-28 triumph
over the St. Louis Rams in a Wild Card matchup
in 2000, the last year the Saints reached the
second season. The club is just 1-5 lifetime in
postseason play, including a 1-3 mark at the Superdome.
The Saints will put that
dubious record up against a Philadelphia squad
that has been the conference's hottest team down
the stretch. The Eagles vaulted to the NFC East
title by winning their final five regular-season
games, then topped the rival New York Giants,
23-20, this past Sunday on a last-second David
Akers field goal to advance to the divisional
round.
While New Orleans has never
advanced to the NFC Championship game, Philadelphia
has played in four of them since Andy Reid took
over as head coach in 1999. The Eagles have won
four straight Divisional Playoff games and are
a splendid 7-1 in the first two postseason rounds
under Reid.
Philadelphia wouldn't have
even made the playoffs without the strong play
under center of quarterback Jeff Garcia, who took
over for an injured Donovan McNabb in mid-November
and helped fuel the Eagles' late-season resurgence.
Garcia has deftly engineered
the NFL's second-ranked offense that trailed only
the Saints' high-powered unit for the most total
yards in the regular season. New Orleans also
finished atop the league in passing yards, while
the Eagles ended up third overall in that category.
Both potent offenses were
clicking when these two teams met at the Superdome
back in Week 6, a contest in which the Saints
pulled out a hard-fought 27-24 victory when veteran
kicker John Carney drilled a 31-yard field goal
on the game's final play.
New Orleans received a bye
last week as the conference's No. 2 seed, but
does come in having lost two of its three most
recent contests, although head coach Sean Payton
rested nearly all of his regulars in a meaningless
defeat to Carolina in the regular-season finale.
The Saints were firing on all cylinders the previous
week, however, when they dismantled the Giants
in an impressive 30-7 win at the Meadowlands.
SERIES HISTORY
Philadelphia leads the all-time
regular season series with New Orleans by a 14-9
margin and had won the last five matchups between
the teams, a streak dating back to 1992, before
the Saints' Week 6 triumph. The Eagles are 6-3
all-time at the Superdome, which includes a 36-20
victory there in a 1992 NFC First-Round Playoff.
Prior to that October win,
New Orleans hadn't defeated Philadelphia since
a 13-6 triumph at Veterans Stadium in 1991. The
Saints' most recent home win in the series occurred
in 1989.
Reid is 2-1 in his career
against New Orleans and 8-5 lifetime in postseason
games. Payton, who was recently named the 2006
Associated Press Coach of the Year for orchestrating
the Saints' dramatic about-face in his first season
at the helm, will be making his playoff debut
as a head coach.
EAGLES OFFENSE VS. SAINTS DEFENSE
While Garcia has deservingly
received a lot of the credit, the player probably
most responsible for Philadelphia's late run of
success has been running back Brian Westbrook
(1,217 rushing yards, 7 TD). The versatile 27-year-old
turned in a huge performance in last week's Wild
Card win, rushing for 141 yards and a touchdown
on just 20 attempts. Thirty-five of those yards
came on the game- winning drive. Westbrook runs
behind an outstanding offensive line, headlined
by All-Pro guard Shawn Andrews, that paved the
way for 185 yards on the ground against the Giants.
The Eagles, who finished 11th overall in rushing
yards (124.0 ypg) during the regular season, ran
the ball only 19 times in their earlier game with
New Orleans but averaged a sturdy 5.2 yards per
carry.
The Saints ranked just 23rd
in stopping the run (128.9 ypg) and allowed an
average of 4.9 yards per rush, the second-worst
mark in the league. The defense should get a boost
up front for Saturday's tilt, however, as ex-Eagle
Hollis Thomas (43 tackles, 3.5 sacks) will be
back at his starting defensive tackle spot after
serving a four-game suspension for violating the
NFL's steroid policy. If veteran strong safety
Omar Stoutmire (56 tackles, 2 INT), who missed
the last three regular-season games with a knee
injury, is able to return, that would help as
well. The linebacking corps, consisting of the
underrated outside duo of Scott Fujita (96 tackles,
3.5 sacks, 2 INT) and Scott Shanle (97 tackles,
4 sacks) and another former Eagle, Mark Simoneau
(61 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) in the middle, has
generally been effective.
Reid's offseason free-agent
signing of Garcia (1,309 passing yards, 10 TD,
2 INT), thought to be finished after enduring
two straight unproductive campaigns in Cleveland
and Detroit, has turned out to be a season-saving
move. The 36-year-old has been exceptionally efficient
and a strong leader in the huddle. Garcia didn't
put up big numbers last week, completing 17-of-31
throws for 153 yards with a touchdown, but he
managed the game well and didn't turn the ball
over. Reggie Brown (46 receptions, 816 yards,
8 TD) caught seven of those passes for 73 yards
and was a big factor in Philly's narrow loss to
the Saints back in October. The second-year wide
receiver compiled a career-best 121 yards on six
catches, including a 60-yard touchdown connection
with McNabb, in that game. Westbrook (699 yards,
4 TD), who led the team with 77 receptions, and
tight end L.J. Smith (50 receptions, 611 yards,
5 TD) also play key roles in the Eagles' west
coast attack. Saturday's game also marks the return
of Donte' Stallworth (38 receptions, 725 yards,
5 TD) to New Orleans. The former first-round pick
spent his first four NFL seasons with the Saints
before being traded to Philadelphia in August
and missed this year's earlier meeting with a
hamstring injury.
New Orleans doesn't force
a lot of turnovers on defense, as evidenced by
the club's low total of eight interceptions during
the regular season, but the unit has been strong
versus the pass all year long. The Saints yielded
the third-fewest passing yards (178.4) for the
year and limited opposing quarterbacks to a 56
percent completion percentage. Mike McKenzie (33
tackles, 2 INT, 10 PBU) put together a very good
season on one corner, while 33-year- old Fred
Thomas (55 tackles, 1 INT, 10 PBU) is still adequate
on the opposite side. The secondary benefits from
an outstanding tandem of pass-rushing ends in
Pro Bowler Will Smith (49 tackles, 10.5 sacks,
3 forced fumbles) and Charles Grant (64 tackles,
6 sacks, 3 forced fumbles). Tackle Brian Young
(46 tackles, 5.5 sacks) is a quick, high-motor
guy who can also apply consistent heat from the
interior.
SAINTS OFFENSE VS. EAGLES DEFENSE
LaDainian Tomlinson may have
won the league's MVP award, but it's hard to say
that any player has meant more to his respective
team than Drew Brees has to the Saints. The gritty
quarterback has been sensational as the director
of the NFL's most dangerous offense and was hands-down
this year's most significant offseason free-agent
signing. Brees (26 TD, 11 INT) led the league
with 4,418 passing yards and completed better
than 64 percent of his throws, earning the ex-Charger
first-team All-Pro status. He's had plenty of
support, though. Reggie Bush made the impact expected
of the draft's No. 2 overall pick, as the explosive
running back set a league rookie record with 88
catches totaling 742 yards. New Orleans' other
first-year sensation, 6-foot-4, 230-pound wideout
Marques Colston (70 receptions, 8 TD), racked
up a team-best 1,038 receiving yards and could
present a serious matchup problem for a smallish
Philly secondary that struggled containing another
big target, the Giants' Plaxico Burress, last
Sunday. Brees may be without his most experienced
receiver on Saturday, however, as Joe Horn (37
receptions, 679 yards, 4 TD) is still bothered
by a partially torn groin muscle that caused the
four-time Pro Bowler to miss the final four games.
Devery Henderson (32 receptions, 745 yards, 5
TD) isn't the reliable route-runner Horn is, but
the speedy youngster has developed into a dangerous
big-play threat. A sturdy line anchored by terrific
left tackle Jammal Brown has yielded a mere 23
sacks all year long.
The Eagles finished a very
solid ninth overall in pass defense (191.7 ypg)
and accumulated 19 interceptions during the regular
season, but the secondary suffered a serious blow
when Pro Bowl cornerback Lito Sheppard (30 tackles,
6 INT, 13 PBU) dislocated his right elbow in the
Wild Card win. Roderick Hood (21 tackles, 1 sack)
is a capable fill-in on the left side, but whether
the unit has the necessary depth to combat the
Saints' multiple-receiver looks is a question
yet to be answered. Philadelphia has no such concerns
at free safety, where the fiery Brian Dawkins
(93 tackles, 4 INT, 1 sack) is a ferocious hitter
and an invaluable team leader. The Eagles failed
to sack Brees back in October, and the defensive
end group of Trent Cole (62 tackles, 8 sacks),
Juqua Thomas (25 tackles, 6 sacks) and former
Saint Darren Howard (35 tackles, 5 sacks) will
need to generate consistent pressure if Philly
is to hold New Orleans' high-octane attack in
check.
While New Orleans is a pass-oriented
team, the Saints do have the ability to run the
football despite finished the year tied for 18th
in the league in rushing yards (110.1 ypg). The
offense features a two-back attack, with Bush
(565 rushing yards, 6 TD) the lightning and powerful
veteran Deuce McAllister (1,057 rushing yards,
10 TD) providing the thunder. The system has managed
to keep both players fresh, and it showed when
both Bush and McAllister eclipsed the 100-yard
mark in the Week 16 win over the Giants. McAllister
was the more effective runner in the October matchup
with Philadelphia, compiling 64 yards on 12 carries
to Bush's 26 on 11 attempts.
One down note in last
week's playoff win was the 137 rushing yards the
Eagles surrendered to Tiki Barber in the New York
back's curtain call. Defending the run has been
a sore spot for Philadelphia for much of this
season, reflected in the club's No. 26 overall
standing in rushing yards allowed (136.4 ypg).
The Eagles did limit the Saints to 98 yards on
the ground on 30 attempts back in October, however.
The best run stuffer among the front seven is
middle linebacker Jeremiah Trotter (112 tackles,
1 INT), while rookie Omar Gaither (62 tackles,
1 INT) has played pretty well since winning a
starting job on the weakside late in the season.
The defense could use more consistency up front
from tackles Darwin Walker (36 tackles, 6 sacks)
and Mike Patterson (52 tackles, 1.5 sacks), though.
SPECIAL TEAMS
Akers
is a three-time Pro Bowler and a proven performer
in the clutch, as evidenced by last week's outing
against the Giants. The left-footed kicker hit
on all three of his field-goal tries, including
a season-long 48-yard boot, and calmly knocked
down the high-pressure attempt that sent Philly
into the next round.
The Saints have a good one
of their own in Carney, who remains an elite kicker
even though he'll turn 43 in April. The grizzled
veteran turned in a terrific 2006 season, connecting
on 23-of-25 field-goal attempts and making 6-of-7
kicks from 40 yards or beyond. He was also a perfect
10-for-10 at the Superdome.
Both Westbrook and Bush are
terrific return men who will likely see action
in punting situations on Sunday. Westbrook had
a 65-yard punt runback for a touchdown called
back on a holding penalty in last week's victory.
Bush, who averaged a respectable 7.7 yards per
punt return, produced one of New Orleans' most
memorable plays of the season when he raced 65
yards for the go-ahead score in a 24-21 victory
over Tampa Bay in Week 5.
Reno Mahe takes care of most
of the Eagles' returns and averaged 22.2 yards
per kick and 9.4 a punt during the regular season.
Thirty-five-year-old Michael Lewis remains an
outstanding special teams performer for New Orleans
and averaged 24.7 yards bringing back kickoffs.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
Many observers feel
this game will determine the NFC champion, even
though the possibility of a road matchup with
the top-seeded Chicago Bears possibly looms for
the winner. While that remains to be seen, Sunday's
showdown should provide plenty of excitement from
two offenses that are very adept at putting up
yards and points. The Eagles have the edge on
experience, but the Saints will have the support
of a raucous home crowd that's waited a long time
for a game such as this. In the end, New Orleans'
wealth of offensive weapons will prove to be too
much for a wounded Philadelphia secondary to overcome.
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