Thursday December 1st, 2004 Page updated at 7:30am
NFL Picks For Week 13
By: Ciaran McDermott
Football Handicapper For WagerOnFootball.com

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Non-spread scoring system - NFL 2004 Week 13 NFL Picks
NFL Picks Posted Thursday Of Each Week

More Weeks 1 . 2 . 3 . 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8 . 9 . 10 . 11 . 12 . 13 . 14 . 15 . 16 . 17

Non-spread scoring system - NFL 2004 Week 13 NFL Picks

2004-05 NFL Week 13 Predictions - Wager On Football NFL Picks
Sun Dec 6, 2004	Away				Home
1:00 PM EST	Minnesota (7-4)		vs		Chicago (4-7)
1:00 PM EST	Carolina (4-7)		vs		New Orleans (4-7)
1:00 PM EST	San Francisco (1-10)		vs		St. Louis (5-6)
1:00 PM EST	Atlanta (9-2)		vs		Tampa Bay (4-7)
1:00 PM EST	Houston (5-6)		vs		New York NYJ (8-3)
1:00 PM EST	New England (10-1)		vs		Cleveland (3-8)
1:00 PM EST	Arizona (4-7)		vs		Detroit (4-7)
1:00 PM EST	Tennessee (4-7)		vs		Indianapolis (8-3)
1:00 PM EST	Buffalo (5-6)		vs		Miami (2-9)
1:00 PM EST	Cincinnati (5-6)		vs		Baltimore (7-4)
4:05 PM EST	Kansas City (3-8)		vs		Oakland (4-7)
4:05 PM EST	Denver (7-4)		vs		San Diego (8-3)
4:15 PM EST	Green Bay (7-4)		vs		Philadelphia (10-1)
4:15 PM EST	New York NYG (5-6)		vs		Washington (3-8)
8:30 PM EST	Pittsburgh (10-1)		vs		Jacksonville (6-5)
Monday, Dec 7th, 2004 Wager On Football - NFL Handicapping - NFL Sportsbooks
9:00 PM EST	Dallas (4-7)		vs		Seattle (6-5)
In 2003 We were right 68% of the time, picking straight up.

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Some Handicapping Insight

WEEK 13 SUNDAY, DECEMBER 5

CAROLINA AT NEW ORLEANS

The defending NFC champs have certainly not played like it this year, but the Carolina Panthers have won three straight and could still sneak into the playoffs.
The Panthers, trying to turn their season around after starting 1-7, face a slumping New Orleans team that is also 4-7. The Saints will try to improve on their 2-4 record at home.
The Saints are favored slightly by the bookmakers, who opened the game at -2. They are 4-7 ATS on the season, while the Panthers bring a 6-5 ATS mark to the table. The total has been set at 47.
The Panthers come off a 21-14 win against Tampa Bay, a game where they were a 1.5-point underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 39.5.
The Saints got the ATS result they wanted last game, but they are looking for the straight-up result as well this week at home.
They lost 24-21 to Atlanta as a 9.5-point underdogs. The battle for the total went under.
Some trends to consider:
Carolina are 1-5-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
Carolina are 7-19-0 SU in their last 26 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
Carolina are 2-5-0 OU in their last 7 games away against New Orleans
Carolina are 4-2-0 ATS in their last 6 games against New Orleans
New Orleans are 4-2-0 OU in their last 6 games against Carolina
New Orleans are 2-4-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Carolina
New Orleans are 2-5-0 OU in their last 7 at home
New Orleans are 2-5-0 OU in their last 7 games at home against Carolina
Next up:
Carolina home to St. Louis, Sunday, December 12
New Orleans at Dallas, Sunday, December 12

NEW YORK GIANTS AT WASHINGTON

Washington has been pathetic. The Giants appear to have tanked the season.
Both NFC East teams come off weak efforts as they try to salvage the 2004 season. Historically, games between these teams have been sloppy with turnovers galore, which could mean value on the total.
New York comes in as a small road dog, as the line opened at 2.5 in favor of the host Redskins, who are 4-7 ATS this season. The Giants are 5-6. The OVER/UNDER opened at 33.
Tom Coughlin's team was busy last game losing to Philadelphia 27-6 as 7-point underdogs. The 33 points sent that game under the total of 37.5 and rookie QB Eli Manning was mauled all second half.
Meanwhile, Washington comes off a 16-7 loss against Pittsburgh, a game where they were a 10.5-point underdog. The game went under the closing total of 36.
Washington has battled to get its passing game on track to no avail so far. They average just 152.8 yards per game through the air, among the bottom three in the league. More production is needed from the receivers this week.
Some trends to consider:
New York are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
New York are 1-5-0 ATS in their last 6 games
New York are 1-5-0 SU in their last 6 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
New York are 1-5-0 OU in their last 6 away
Washington are 5-1-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 10 points
Washington are 4-2-0 OU in their last 6 games against New York
Washington are 5-11-0 ATS in their last 16 home games against New York
Washington are 3-7-0 ATS in their last 10 games
Next up:
NY Giants at Baltimore, Sunday, December 12
Washington home to Philadelphia, Sunday, December 12

PITTSBURGH AT JACKSONVILLE

The Jags figure they deserve to be in the playoffs and plan to show the AFC leaders why on Sunday.
And if history repeats itself, the money may go to Jag bettors Sunday, as they are 6-2 ATS overall and 7-1 ATS at home in their recent meetings with Pitt.
The Steelers come in a slight 3-point road favorites and look to improve on their 7-3-1 ATS Mark. The Jaguars, 6-5 ATS, will try to bite big as a home dog. Totals bettors see the line opened at 35.
Last time out, at Heinz Field against Washington, the Steelers defeated Washington 16-7, but they did not play well. The game was a Washington cover and an under play.
Jack Del Rio's troops were at Minnesota last game and came away with a 27-16 loss, a game that went under 46.5. Oddsmakers had them as 6-point underdogs in that one.
Jacksonville knows that beating the Steelers depends on stopping the run. Pittsburgh will hit them with a ground game that has averaged 156.7 yards per game this season, #2 in the league.
Some trends to consider:
Pittsburgh are 1-7-0 ATS in their last 8 away games against Jacksonville
Pittsburgh are 1-4-0 OU in their last 5 games
Pittsburgh are 1-4-0 OU in their last 5 games away against Jacksonville
Pittsburgh are 2-6-0 OU in their last 8 away
Jacksonville are 7-1-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against Pittsburgh
Jacksonville are 6-2-0 ATS in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh
Jacksonville are 6-3-0 ATS in their last 9 home games
Jacksonville are 2-4-0 SU in their last 6 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
Next up:
Pittsburgh home to NY Jets, Sunday, December 12
Jacksonville home to Chicago, Sunday, December 12

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Tennessee At Indianapolis

Peyton Manning continues his pursuit of Dan Marino's TD mark against the Tennessee Titans Sunday.
With some glum retirement talk from Steve McNair as a backdrop, Manning will forge on with plenty of rest for his arm after chucking 6 TDs on Thanksgiving in Detroit.
The Colts (7-3-1 ATS) are 10-point favorites and they host a Titans team that has covered just 4 of their 11 games this season. The total opened at 55.
The Titans come off a 31-21 loss against Houston, a game where they were 1-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 44.5.
Meanwhile, at Ford Field, the favorite Colts were winning against Detroit 41-9. The game was a Indianapolis cover and an under play.
This game is likely to come down to the Colts's execution on offence. They rank 1st in the league in scoring and look to sustain their 34.5 PPG average against the Titans's #20-rated defensive unit.
Some trends to consider:
Tennessee are 1-5-0 OU in their last 6 games away against Indianapolis
Tennessee are 1-4-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites
Tennessee are 1-4-0 SU in their last 5 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites
Tennessee are 3-7-0 ATS in their last 10 games
Indianapolis are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 at home
Indianapolis are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 games
Indianapolis are 4-1-0 SU in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points
Indianapolis are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points
Next up:
Tennessee home to Kansas City, Monday, December 13
Indianapolis at Houston, Sunday, December 12

Dallas At Seatte on Monday Night Football

So much for all that preseason hype of the Seahawks for the Super Bowl.
With another loss to the Bills, the Seahawks are just 6-5 despite a soft schedule. Add the softy Cowboys to the mix and Seattle needs this to keep pace in the playoff chase.
The Seahawks open up down a touchdown on the betting line and need to cover those points to improve on their 4-7 ATS mark. The Cowboys, 4-7 ATS, get 7 points to work with as a road underdog. Totals bettors see the line opened at 43.5.
Last time out, the Cowboys defeated Chicago 21-7 as 3.5-point favorites on Thanksgiving Day. That contest went under the closing total.
Mike Holmgren's troops were at home last game and came away with a 38-9 loss, a game that went over 38. Oddsmakers had them as 5.5-point favorites in that one.
The Seahawks have earned the reputation of being a team that can strip your chances by forcing turnovers on defence. Dallas knows all about their opponent's 2nd place rank in takeaways and will be looking to protect the ball when they visit this week.
Some trends to consider:
Dallas are 1-6-0 ATS in their last 7 away games
Dallas are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Dallas are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
Dallas are 1-4-0 SU in their last 5 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
Seattle are 5-0-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 10 points
Seattle are 7-1-0 OU in their last 8 games
Seattle are 5-1-0 SU in their last 6 games after scoring less than 10 points
Seattle are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 at home
Next up:
Dallas home to New Orleans, Sunday, December 12
Seattle at Minnesota, Sunday, December 12

Houston At New York Jets

The Texans can creep back to the .500 point on the season Sunday as they travel to New York to face the 8-3 Jets.
Jets QB Chad Pennington's is listed as questionable for this Sunday's game, so Quincy Carter, who is 2-1 as the Jets starting QB, may get the ball again. The Texans will continue to try and right the ship after losing three of their last four games.
The game opened off the board due to the uncertain status of Pennington. New York is 8-3 ATS on the season, while the Texans are 5-5-1.
Last time out, the Texans defeated Tennessee 31-21 as 1-point underdogs. That contest went over the closing total.
Herman Edwards's troops were at Arizona last game and came away with a 13-3 win, a game that went under 37. Oddsmakers had them as 3-point favorites in that one.
Don't expect the Jets to beat itself with turnovers this week. They have allowed just 0.8 turnovers per game so far this season, among the very best teams in the league in that category.
Some trends to consider:
Houston are 2-5-1 OU in their last 8 away
Houston are 2-5-0 ATS in their last 7 away games
Houston are 2-3-1 OU in their last 6 games
New York are 4-1-0 SU in their last 5 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
New York are 9-3-0 ATS in their last 12 games
New York are 5-2-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
New York are 6-3-0 ATS in their last 9 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites
Next up:
Houston home to Indianapolis, Sunday, December 12
NY Jets at Pittsburgh, Sunday, December 12

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Buffalo At Miami

After a dreadful start, the Bills are in business going 4-1 since Willis McGahee was named their starting running back.
The Bills have won two straight behind two nice performances by Drew Bledsoe and open as road favorites to win at Miami.
The Bills (7-4 ATS) are 3-point favorites and they face a Dolphins team that has covered just 4 of their 11 games this season but who come off a win against the woeful 49ers. The total opened at 35.
The Bills come off a 38-9 win against Seattle, a game where they were a 5.5-point underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 38.
The Dolphins come off a 24-17 win against San Francisco, a game where they were a 1-point underdog. The game went over the closing total of 38.5.
Miami has struggled with its ground game in the absence of pot-head Ricky Williams, averaging just 81.6 yards per game on the season, 31st worst in the league.
Some trends to consider:
Buffalo are 1-5-0 OU in their last 6 away
Buffalo are 3-7-0 ATS in their last 10 away games against Miami
Buffalo are 3-6-0 ATS in their last 9 games against Miami
Buffalo are 8-15-0 SU in their last 23 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Miami are 5-0-0 OU in their last 5 games
Miami are 16-6-0 SU in their last 22 games after being .5 to 3 point underdogs
Miami are 7-3-0 ATS in their last 10 home games against Buffalo
Miami are 6-3-0 ATS in their last 9 games against Buffalo
Next up:
Buffalo home to Cleveland, Sunday, December 12
Miami at Denver, Sunday, December 12

Atlanta At Tampa Bay

The 9-2 Atlanta Falcons can nail down the NFC South title with a win over the fading Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday.
The Falcons have won four straight and have only allowed 45 points in their last three games as they face the former Super Bowl champs.
Oddsmakers like the Bucs in this one, opening the line at 1 in favor of Tampa Bay. They are 4-6-1 ATS this season, while the Falcons are 5-6. The total, which is 5-6 to the OVER in Buccaneers games and 3-8 to the OVER in Falcons games, has been set at 38.5.
Jim Mora, jr.'s team was busy last game winning against New Orleans 24-21 as 9.5-point favorites. The 45 points sent that game just under the total of 46.
Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes off a 21-14 loss against Carolina, a game where they were a 1.5-point favorite. The game went under the closing total of 39.5.
The Falcons bring one of the league's best running games into this contest. They average 162.6 yards per game and boast the 1st place running game.
Some trends to consider:
Atlanta are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games after being 7.5 to 10 point favorites
Atlanta are 2-7-0 OU in their last 9 games
Atlanta are 3-9-0 OU in their last 12 away
Atlanta are 2-6-0 ATS in their last 8 games against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 games at home against Atlanta
Tampa Bay are 10-3-0 OU in their last 13 games against Atlanta
Tampa Bay are 6-2-0 ATS in their last 8 games against Atlanta
Tampa Bay are 7-3-0 ATS in their last 10 home games against Atlanta
Next up:
Atlanta home to Oakland, Sunday, December 12
Tampa Bay at San Diego, Sunday, December 12

Kansas City At Oakland

The fading Chiefs will be fighting to end a 4-game losing skid when they visit the Oakland Raiders Sunday at Network Associates Coliseum.
And they do it against their hated rivals, who pulled off a stunner in the snow at Denver last weekend.
Uncertainty over the availability of RB Priest Holmes and QB Trent Green kept linesmakers from posting early odds on this game. Oakland is 4-7 ATS, while the Chiefs are 3-8.
The Chiefs led after the half last game, then watched their advantage disappear in the second half against San Diego. They lost as a 2.5-point favorite. The closing total of 52 played over.
Norv Turner's team was busy last game winning against Denver 25-24 as 11-point underdogs. The 49 points sent that game over the total of 45.
Fans can expect Kansas City to try to force the ball down the throats of the Raiders' run defence. They come in with the league's #3 rushing attack, averaging 150.2 yards per contest.
Some trends to consider:
Kansas City are 1-8-0 ATS in their last 9 away games
Kansas City are 1-4-0 ATS in their last 5 games
Kansas City are 4-2-0 OU in their last 6 games
Kansas City are 4-2-0 SU in their last 6 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Oakland are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 games
Oakland are 5-2-0 OU in their last 7 games at home against Kansas City
Oakland are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games against Kansas City
Oakland are 2-6-0 ATS in their last 8 games
Next up:
Kansas City at Tennessee, Monday, December 13
Oakland at Atlanta, Sunday, December 12

Denver at San Diego

San Diego can extend its win streak to 6 games Sunday and improve upon its sparkling 9-1-1 mark ATS when Denver pays a visit.
Both teams have a chance to improve their showing within the AFC West division. San Diego is 8-3 (3-1 in the division), while the Broncos sit at 7-4 (3-1 in the division) and come off a damaging home upset at the hands of Oakland.
Denver gets its chance to win as a road dog after the line opened with them as 2.5-point underdogs. They are 4-5-2 ATS, while the Chargers are 9-1-1. The total opened at 47, which could be surpassed if the Chargers recent trends (9-2 past 11) hold up.
After losing last week, Mike Shanahan's team looks to bounce back with a solid showing on the road Sunday in San Diego. They were 11 point favorites in that game, which went over the total of 45.
San Diego won at Kansas City last game as a 2.5-point underdog against the Chiefs, winning 34-31. The total sailed over.
Expect the league's #2 offence to get points on the board and generate trouble for the Broncos defence. Averaging 29.0 points per game, the Chargers can run up the score if they get on a roll.
Some trends to consider:
Denver are 2-7-1 OU in their last 10 games
Denver are 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 away games
Denver are 3-5-2 ATS in their last 10 games
Denver are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against San Diego
San Diego are 5-0-0 ATS in their last 5 games
San Diego are 5-0-0 OU in their last 5 at home
San Diego are 6-1-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
San Diego are 6-1-0 ATS in their last 7 games after being .5 to 3 point underdogs
Next up:
Denver home to Miami, Sunday, December 12
San Diego home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, December 12

Green Bay At Phili

The Packers have won 5 straight, while the 10-1 Eagles have won 3 straight.
Something has to give Sunday and if revenge plays a part, Brett Favre has lots of impetus to win. His ill-advised toss for an INT in last year's playoff game sank the Packers and allowed the Eagles into the NFC title game.
The Eagles opened as 6-point favorites, while the total opened at 47. If Favre tries to pass too much, he will play into the strength of the Philly defense which is blitz and motion.
The Packers hope their 45-point explosion last game in a win Monday vs. St. Louis was no fluke and that their defence can keep Philadelphia in check. Last game went over the closing total and saw the Packers as the ATS winner.
Andy Reid's team hopes to build upon a 27-6 win over New York. They were 7-point favorites and covered the spread. The game went under the total.
Green Bay will look to air it out this week and they continue to boast one of the league's best aerial attacks games. They are averaging 275.5 yards per game through the air and boast the #3 pass offence.
Some trends to consider:
Green Bay are 1-4-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Philadelphia
Green Bay are 1-4-0 OU in their last 5 games against Philadelphia
Green Bay are 17-9-0 OU in their last 26 away
Green Bay are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games
Philadelphia are 5-0-0 SU in their last 5 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
Philadelphia are 5-0-0 SU in their last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Philadelphia are 9-1-0 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
Philadelphia are 7-1-0 ATS in their last 8 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Next up:
Green Bay home to Detroit, Sunday, December 12
Philadelphia at Washington, Sunday, December 12

San Fran At St. Louis

If the 49ers can't beat the Dolphins, who can they beat?
Oddsmakers don't believe the answer is the Rams, installing them as early 10.5-point favorites, despite playing on a short week and despite a pathetic showing in a Monday Night loss at Lambeau.
San Francisco fumbled five times in the fourth quarter of their loss to Miami, a battle of the league's worst teams.
The 49ers come off that 24-17 loss against Miami, a game where they were 1-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 38.5.
The Rams lost to Green Bay 45-17 as 7-point underdogs. That contest went over the closing total.
It's not Christmas yet, but when it comes to gift giving, San Francisco is charitable with the turnovers. The 49ers have turned it over 2.5 times per game this year, rated 30th in the league.
Some trends to consider:
San Francisco are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites
San Francisco are 1-5-0 SU in their last 6 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
San Francisco are 3-12-3 ATS in their last 18 away games
San Francisco are 2-6-0 SU in their last 8 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites
St. Louis are 6-1-0 OU in their last 7 games
St. Louis are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 games at home against San Francisco
St. Louis are 11-5-0 OU in their last 16 at home
St. Louis are 2-4-0 ATS in their last 6 home games
Next up:
San Francisco at Arizona, Sunday, December 12
St. Louis at Carolina, Sunday, December 12

Cincinnati At Baltimore

The 5-6 Cincinnati Bengals will try to make it two wins in a row in Baltimore Sunday versus a Ravens team looking to rebound from a poor outing in Boston.
The Ravens are optimistic that starting running back Jamal Lewis, who missed last weeks tilt with the Patriots, will be good to go for Sunday.
Oddsmakers like the Ravens in this one, opening the line at 6 in favor of Baltimore. They are 8-3 ATS this season, while the Bengals are 4-6-1. The total, which is 9-2 to the OVER in Ravens games and 5-6 to the OVER in Bengals games, has been set at 37.
Cincinnati's offence went wild last game, running up 58 points against Cleveland and there will be lots of OVER bettors Sunday if fans see that trend continuing. They were favorites in that game.
After scoring just 3 points in a loss against New England, Brian Billick needs more production from his offence. The Ravens also play into revenge Sunday, after handing Cincinnati a 23-9 defeat in the last meeting back on September 26, 2004.
Baltimore has battled to get its passing game on track to no avail so far. They average just 130.5 yards per game through the air, among the bottom three in the league. More production is needed from the receivers this week.
Some trends to consider:
Cincinnati are 1-6-0 ATS in their last 7 away games
Cincinnati are 1-5-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Baltimore
Cincinnati are 1-4-0 SU in their last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Cincinnati are 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 games
Baltimore are 5-0-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against Cincinnati
Baltimore are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Baltimore are 6-1-0 ATS in their last 7 games
Baltimore are 5-1-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Cincinnati
Next up:
Cincinnati at New England, Sunday, December 12
Baltimore home to NY Giants, Sunday, December 12

Minnesota At Chicago

The 7-4 Minnesota Vikings will try to keep their two-game winning streak alive in Chicago this week versus the lowly 4-7 Bears.
The Vikings welcomed the return of Randy Moss last week, who caught a touchdown pass after returning from a hamstring injury that kept him out for two weeks. The Bears hope that Brian Urlacher can return to the field this week and add a much needed boost to their defense.
The Vikings come in favored by a touchdown and look to improve on their 7-4 ATS Mark. The Bears, 5-6 ATS, get 7 points to work with and will try to bite big as a home dog with newly signed former starter Jeff George in tow. Totals bettors see the line opened at 44.
Minnesota won at home against Jacksonville last game as 6-point favorites, tallying a score of 27-16. The total sailed under.
Meanwhile, at Texas Stadium, the underdog Bears were losing to Dallas 21-7. The game was a Dallas cover and an under play.
Chicago has battled to get its passing game on track to no avail so far. They average just 131.7 yards per game through the air, among the bottom three in the league. More production is needed from the receivers this week.
Some trends to consider:
Minnesota are 2-6-0 OU in their last 8 games against Chicago
Minnesota are 2-5-0 SU in their last 7 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
Minnesota are 3-7-0 SU in their last 10 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Minnesota are 3-7-0 ATS in their last 10 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Chicago are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 games
Chicago are 4-7-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against Minnesota
Chicago are 5-9-1 ATS in their last 15 games
Chicago are 4-8-0 SU in their last 12 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Next up:
Minnesota home to Seattle, Sunday, December 12
Chicago at Jacksonville, Sunday, December 12

New England At Cleveland

The top of the AFC East meets the bottom of the AFC North as the New England Patriots journey to Cleveland to face the Browns Sunday.
And the Browns will be starting the post-Butch Davis era, after their bench boss resigned this week.
The Patriots are road favorites, opening as 8-point chalk, with an opening total of 41. They are 8-2-1 ATS this season and 5-5-1 OU. The Browns are 4-7 ATS and are 4-7 OU.
Last time out, at Reliant Stadium against Baltimore, the Patriots as favorites defeated Baltimore 24-3. The game was a New England cover and an under play.
The Browns lost a crazy 58-48 to Cincy last weekend as 4.5-point underdogs. The 106 points were a record total, sending that game flying over the total of 39.
The Patriots have won four straight since dropping their first game of the season, while the Browns have lost five straight and may be without starting QB Jeff Garcia again.
Some trends to consider:
New England are 2-4-0 OU in their last 6 games
New England are 6-2-1 OU in their last 9 away
New England are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 games
New England are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Cleveland are 5-2-0 OU in their last 7 games
Cleveland are 4-2-0 ATS in their last 6 home games
Cleveland are 2-5-0 OU in their last 7 at home
Cleveland are 2-5-0 ATS in their last 7 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Next up:
New England home to Cincinnati, Sunday, December 12
Cleveland at Buffalo, Sunday, December 12

Detroit At Arizona

Two 4-7 teams will fight to keep their slim playoff hopes alive Sunday as the Arizona Cardinals face the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have lost five straight since starting the season 4-2, while the Cardinals are looking to put an end to their own two-game losing streak.
The Lions are favored, opening as 4-point chalk, with an opening total of 39. They are 5-6 ATS this season and 5-6 OU. The Cardinals are 6-5 ATS and are 6-5 OU.
Last time out, at Sun Devil Stadium against New York, the Cardinals as underdogs lost to New York 13-3. The game was a New York cover and an under play.
Steve Mariucci's troops were at home last game and came away with a 41-9 loss, a game that went under 54. Oddsmakers had them as 9.5-point underdogs in that one.
Both have been inconsistent, showing flashes that they may be ready to shed their 'loser' reputations, then reverting back into that mode the next week.
Some trends to consider:
Arizona are 3-15-0 SU in their last 18 games after scoring less than 10 points
Arizona are 3-12-0 ATS in their last 15 away games
Arizona are 4-14-0 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring less than 10 points
Arizona are 2-5-0 SU in their last 7 games after being .5 to 3 point underdogs
Detroit are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 games against Arizona
Detroit are 3-7-0 OU in their last 10 at home
Detroit are 2-6-0 ATS in their last 8 games after being 7.5 to 10 point underdogs
Detroit are 1-4-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 10 points
Next up:
Arizona home to San Francisco, Sunday, December 12
Detroit at Green Bay, Sunday, December 12

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