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Non-spread scoring system - NFL 2004 Week 12 Predictions

2004-05 NFL Week 12 Predictions - Wager On Football NFL Picks
Thur Nov25 Sun Nov 28, 2004	Away				Home
12:30 PM EST	Indianapolis (7-3)		vs		Detroit (4-6)
4:15 PM EST	Chicago (4-6)		vs		Dallas (3-7)
1:00 PM EST	Jacksonville (6-4)		vs		Minnesota (6-4)
1:00 PM EST	Tennessee (4-6)		vs		Houston (4-6)
1:00 PM EST	San Diego (7-3)		vs		Kansas City (3-7)
1:00 PM EST	Baltimore (7-3)		vs		New England (9-1)
1:00 PM EST	Philadelphia (9-1)		vs		New York NYG (5-5)
1:00 PM EST	Washington (3-7)		vs		Pittsburgh (9-1)
1:00 PM EST	Tampa Bay (4-6)		vs		Carolina (3-7)
1:00 PM EST	Cleveland (3-7)		vs		Cincinnati (4-6)
4:05 PM EST	New Orleans (4-6)		vs		Atlanta (8-2)
4:15 PM EST	Buffalo (4-6)		vs		Seattle (6-4)
4:15 PM EST	New York NYJ (7-3)		vs		Arizona (4-6)
4:15 PM EST	Miami (1-9)		vs		San Francisco (1-9)
8:30 PM EST	Oakland		vs		Denver
Monday, Nov 22, 2004 Wager On Football - NFL Handicapping - NFL Sportsbooks
9:00 PM EST	St. Louis		vs		Green Bay
In 2003 We were right 68% of the time, picking straight up.

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Some Handicapping Insight

Rams Brave Green Bay Weather
The Green Bay Packers will put their five-game winning streak on the line Monday night when the 5-5 St. Louis Rams come to town.
The 6-4 Packers are tied with the Minnesota Vikings for first place in the NFC North division.

No spread or total was posted for this game as of Wednesday morning. Green Bay is 4-5-1 ATS on the year, while the roadies are 4-6.

Last time out, at Ralph Wilson Stadium against Buffalo, the Rams as favorites lost to Buffalo 37-17. The game was a Buffalo cover and an over play.

Mike Sherman's team was busy last game winning against Houston 16-13 as 3-point favorites. The 29 points sent that game under the total of 49.

If St. Louis has been ignoring their pass defence in practise this week, it could prove to be a big mistake. Green Bay will challenge them with a passing attack that has averaged 281.5 yards per game this season.

Some trends to consider:
St. Louis are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
St. Louis are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites
St. Louis are 6-16-0 ATS in their last 22 away games
St. Louis are 6-16-0 SU in their last 22 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites
Green Bay are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 games
Green Bay are 16-6-0 SU in their last 22 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
Green Bay are 16-6-0 SU in their last 22 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites
Green Bay are 8-3-0 OU in their last 11 games against St. Louis

Next up:
St. Louis home to San Francisco, Sunday, December 5
Green Bay at Philadelphia, Sunday, December 5

National Football League Game Capsules For Week 12 NFL Games

WagerOnFootball.com - Online Football Sportsbook Review

Final Score: Carolina 21, Tampa Bay 14

Charlotte, NC (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Jake Delhomme threw a 40-yard touchdown pass to Keary Colbert for the winning score with 20 seconds remaining, as the Carolina Panthers pulled out a 21-14 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Bank of America Stadium. Delhomme, meanwhile, completed 14-of-21 passes for 213 yards with a pair of scores to Colbert, who had three catches for 72 yards. Nick Goings ran for 106 yards for Carolina (4-7), which won its third straight game. Brian Griese finished 27-of-39 for 347 yards with a pair of touchdowns and one interception for the Bucs (4-7), who could have moved back into playoff contention with a win but instead lost for only the second time in their last five games.

Final Score: Houston 31, Tennessee 21

Houston, TX (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - David Carr threw for 201 yards and a pair of third-quarter touchdowns to rally Houston past Tennessee, 31-21, in an AFC South battle at Reliant Stadium. Carr completed 21-of-30 passes, including 11-of-13 in the second half, as the Texans (5-6) fought back from a 21-3 second-quarter deficit to snap a three-game losing streak. Domanick Davis ran for 129 yards, including a 41-yard touchdown with 1:34 to play that sealed Houston's second win over their division rivals this season. Steve McNair threw for 227 yards and three touchdowns for the Titans (4-7), but committed three costly second-half turnovers to aid the Texans' comeback. McNair, who finished 25-of-34 from the air, lost two fumbles and was intercepted once. Antowain Smith rushed 21 times for 90 yards for Tennessee, which had won two of three coming in.

Final Score: Minnesota 27, Jacksonville 16

Minneapolis, MN (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Daunte Culpepper ran for a touchdown and threw for a score to Randy Moss, as the Minnesota Vikings held on for a 27-16 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars at the Metrodome. A 77-yard fumble return for a touchdown by Kevin Williams in the closing minutes denied another comeback attempt by Jacksonville and sealed the Minnesota win. Moss was back in the lineup after missing three full games and most of two others with a hamstring injury. He started the game and appeared to move somewhat gingerly at times, but finished with four catches for 40 yards and scored the go-ahead touchdown to cap a nearly 9 1/2-minute drive to start the third quarter. Culpepper completed 19-of-27 passes for 235 yards and ran seven times for an additional 19 yards in the victory. The Vikings (7-4) have won two straight after a three-game slide and moved one-half game ahead of Green Bay in the NFC North. Fred Taylor ran for 147 yards on 22 carries for the Jaguars (6-5), who have lost two in a row to fall two games behind first-place Indianapolis in the AFC South. The Jaguars had quarterback Byron Leftwich back in the starting lineup after he had missed two games with a knee injury. He completed 19- of-34 passes for 235 yards with a touchdown, but coughed up the ball with his team in position to post another last-minute victory.

Final Score: Philadelphia 27, NY Giants 6

East Rutherford, NJ (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Brian Westbrook scored two touchdowns and Donovan McNabb threw for a score and rushed for another as Philadelphia captured its fourth straight NFC East title with a 27-6 victory over the New York Giants. David Akers kicked two field goals for the Eagles (10-1), who became only the fifth team to clinch a division title in 11 games since the 16-game schedule was implemented in 1978. Andy Reid tied Greasy Neale for the franchise record with his 66th victory as the Eagles head coach. Reid is now 66-34 overall since taking over in 1999. The Eagles' defense, which has not allowed a touchdown in the last two games, sacked Giants rookie quarterback Eli Manning five times and picked off two passes. McNabb finished with 244 yards on 18-of-27 passing and rushed five times for 30 yards. Westbrook gained 74 yards on the ground and added five receptions for 53 yards. Manning, making his second career start, struggled to a 6-of-21 performance for 148 yards. Steve Christie accounted for all the scoring with a pair of field goals for New York (5-6), which has lost four straight. Tiki Barber rushed for 110 yards on 19 carries in the loss, despite suffering a leg injury and sitting out for several series.

Final Score: Cincinnati 58, Cleveland 48

Cincinnati, OH (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Rudi Johnson rushed for a career-high 202 yards and two touchdowns, including the go-ahead score, helping the Cincinnati Bengals to a 58-48 victory over the Cleveland Browns in the highest scoring game since the 1970 merger. Washington and the New York Giants still hold the mark for the most combined points in league history via the Redskins' 72-41 victory on November 27, 1966. Carson Palmer overcame three interceptions to throw four touchdown passes for the first time in his young career as the Bengals (5-6) picked up their third win in four games. Chad Johnson had 10 catches for 117 and a score while T.J. Houshmandzadeh had two touchdown receptions. The Browns (3-8), losers of five straight, could have easily folded on a number of occasions but fought hard for embattled head coach Butch Davis after week-long rumors of his imminent firing. Kelly Holcomb, making his first start of the year, also reached a personal milestone with five scoring tosses in place of the injured Jeff Garcia. Holcomb finished 30-of-39 for 413 yards with two interceptions

Final Score: San Diego 34, Kansas City 31

Kansas City, MO (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Nate Kaeding kicked a 43-yard field goal with 2:24 left in the fourth quarter to lift San Diego to a thrilling 34-31 win over Kansas City at Arrowhead Stadium. Drew Brees went 28-of-37 for a career-high 378 yards with two touchdowns for the Chargers (8-3), who have won five straight games. San Diego now leads the Broncos by one game in the AFC West Division as Denver fell to the Raiders Sunday. The two frontrunners in the division will square off next Sunday in San Diego. Antonio Gates had seven receptions for 92 yards and two scores while Kassim Osgood also had 92 receiving yards for the Chargers, who snapped a seven-game losing streak in Kansas City. LaDainian Tomlinson rushed for only 46 yards, but had two scores and also added 10 receptions for 57 yards in the win.

Final Score: Pittsburgh 16, Washington 7

Pittsburgh, PA (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Jerome Bettis ran for 100 yards and a touchdown to lead Pittsburgh over Washington, 16-7, at Heinz Field. Ben Roethlisberger completed 9-of-20 passes for 131 yards for the Steelers (10-1), who are off to their first 10-1 start since 1975 when the team finished 12-2 and won Super Bowl X. Pittsburgh has an NFL-best nine-game win streak. Patrick Ramsey was 19-of-34 for 138 yards with a touchdown and an interception for the Redskins (3-8), who suffered their fourth loss in five games. Steelers running back Duce Staley missed his fourth straight game with a bruised hamstring allowing Bettis to reach the 100-yard make in four consecutive contests. In the four games in Staley's absence, Bettis has rushed for 481 yards and has 11 touchdowns on the season.

Final Score: Atlanta 24, New Orleans 21

Atlanta, GA (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Michael Vick connected with Alge Crumpler for a 20-yard touchdown toss with only 1:22 remaining in the fourth quarter to lift Atlanta to a 24-21 win over New Orleans at the Georgia Dome. Vick ended 16- of-29 for 212 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for the Falcons (9-2), who have won four straight games. Vick also rushed for 69 yards and a score on 10 carries. Crumpler caught four passes for 103 yards with the score in the win. Aaron Brooks completed 19-of-34 passes for 189 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for the Saints (4-7), who have dropped two straight contests. Deuce McAllister rushed for 100 yards and a score on 23 carries, while Joe Horn caught nine passes for 101 yards with a touchdown in the loss.

Final Score: New England 24, Baltimore 3

Foxboro, MA (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Corey Dillon rushed for 123 yards and a touchdown, as the New England Patriots easily handled the Baltimore Ravens, 24-3, at Gillette Stadium. Adam Vinatieri had three field goals and Jarvis Green recovered a fumble for a score for the Patriots (10-1), who have won four straight contests and remain two games up on the New York Jets atop the AFC East. The Jets beat the Arizona Cardinals Sunday. Baltimore (7-4) had a three-game winning streak halted and fell three games behind the AFC North- leading Pittsburgh Steelers. New England's defense dominated the game, which was played in pouring rain and on a mud-filled field. The Ravens had just 124 total yards in the contest, and were outscored by New England's defense, 7-3. Dillon recorded his sixth 100-yard rushing game of the season, a career high. Tom Brady was 15-of-30 for 172 yards, with no touchdowns and no turnovers in the win.

Final Score: Miami 24, San Francisco 17

San Francisco, CA (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - A.J. Feeley threw a pair of touchdown passes, including one to Randy McMichael in the fourth quarter that put Miami in front for good, as the Dolphins defeated the San Francisco 49ers, 24-17, at Monster Park. Feeley finished 17-of-33 for 159 yards and was intercepted once. Derrick Pope scored on a fumble recovery in the closing minutes to seal the win for Miami (2-9). Chris Chambers also caught a touchdown pass for the Dolphins, who halted a three-game losing streak and gave interim head coach Jim Bates his first NFL victory. San Francisco quarterback Tim Rattay completed 23-of-38 passes for 181 yards. He was sacked eight times and lost a pair of fumbles. Derek Smith accounted for one of the 49ers' touchdowns when he returned a fumble for a score early in the fourth quarter. Maurice Hicks added a late scoring run for San Francisco (1-10), which has dropped six in a row.

Final Score: NY Jets 13, Arizona 3

Tempe, AZ (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Quincy Carter returned from an early head injury to hit Santana Moss for a 69-yard touchdown as the New York Jets defeated the Arizona Cardinals, 13-3, at Sun Devil Stadium. Carter exited after getting hit by Arizona tackle Darnell Dockett during the game's first possession. He missed three series, then completed seven of his eight pass attempts in the second half to finish 8-of-12 for 133 yards. Moss had five catches for 109 yards in all for the Jets (8-3), winners of back-to-back games since dropping three of their previous four. Curtis Martin added 99 yards on 24 carries and Doug Brien accounted for the rest of New York's scoring with a pair of field goals. The Cardinals (4-7), losers of two in a row, weren't the only team to use two quarterbacks. Josh McCown, Arizona's starter for the first nine games until getting benched, came in after Shaun King's critical interception early in the fourth quarter.

Final Score: Buffalo 38, Seattle 9

Seattle, WA (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Willis McGahee ran for 116 yards and a career- high four touchdowns on 28 carries to lead the Buffalo Bills to a 38-9 rout of the Seattle Seahawks at Seahawks Stadium. McGahee, making his fifth straight start and sixth of the season, surpassed the 100-yard mark for the fourth time and increased his touchdown total to seven for the season. Drew Bledsoe, a Washington native, completed 25-of-37 passes for 275 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions, as Buffalo (5-6) has defeated consecutive NFC West opponents. Matt Hasselbeck ended 19-of-38 for 185 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Seattle (6-5), which has dropped two of three. Shaun Alexander was held to only 39 yards rushing, as the Seahawks are just 3-5 after starting the season with three straight wins.

Final Score: Oakland 25, Denver 24

Denver, CO (Wageronfootball.com - NFL Picks) - Kerry Collins threw for 339 yards and four touchdowns and Langston Walker blocked a field goal in the waning seconds to preserve the Oakland Raiders' 25-24 victory over the Denver Broncos at a snow-covered Invesco Field. Collins finished 26-of-45 passing and led the 23rd game-winning drive either in the fourth quarter or overtime of his career. Jerry Porter had six catches for 135 yards and three scores in the win. Collins gave the Raiders the lead on a fourth-and-goal play from the five-yard line with 1:49 left in the game. The signal-caller hit Porter in the middle of the end zone to put the Raiders up 25-24. Denver quarterback Jake Plummer drove the Broncos down the field for the potential game-winning field goal, but Walker blocked Jason Elam's 43-yard attempt to give Oakland the victory.

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