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This is particularly true when a good team gets blown out. Examine carefully why this took place. Perhaps the team that got hammered received an inordinate number of injuries, or simply had a bad game and turned the ball over six times. You can find that out by checking the boxscore the next day.
Or, perhaps it was a revenge spot for the other team. You can find this out by examining interviews before and after the game. Maybe players were fired up to stick it to the other team, or the coach was riding the players hard in practice.

It’s not always the same two teams, either. With parity prevalent in the NFL, it’s not easy for one team to totally dominate another. Many novice bettors can get too focused on the results of one game, which is a mistake. What’s particularly important from a bettor’s perspective is when a good team gets blown out. This can provide great wagering opportunities for the next week.

Of course, the bigger the embarrassing blowout, the better the possibility that a good team really may be fired up to play well the next week. For the record, since 1989 when an NFL team loses a game by 31 or more points, the following week that team is 79-57-4 against the spread. When that team is an underdog the week after the blowout defeat, the-dog is 56-39-3 against the spread.

Remember that successful sports handicapping isn’t luck. It requires lots of hours, patience and analysis. I always say that luck is the residue of hard work, and in big revenge spots, you’re looking at the bounce-back team to cover the number with ease, which is what all sports bettors prefer.

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