NFL Week 4 Betting Angles - (Thursday
August 31st)
NFL
Preseason Betting Notes: It's no secret
that Week 4 of the NFL preseason is almost as
meaningless as Week 1. The goal is to stay healthy,
take a look at the kids, and decide who to cut.
Remember, the mandatory roster cutdown goes from
75 players this week to just 53 on Sunday. Coaches
want to see who wants to play and who can fill
vital roles on the team, such as an extra defensive
back or special teams.
But there are interesting storylines developing
that will make it important for sports bettors,
as not every team is going to pack it in. For
instance, the Redskins have been brutal on offense
so far. The last three games: losses to the Bengals
(19-3), the Jets at home (27-14), and at New England
(41-0).
Part of the problem is that Washington has a
new offensive system brought in by offensive coordinator
Al Saunders from Kansas City. That means a brand
new playbook, which is going to take time to digest
and execute. Joe Gibbs has been disgusted with
the team's performance on both sides of the ball.
Gibbs hasn't released his game plan for Week
4, but it would be advisable to keep close tabs
on the Redskins this week. If any team needed
an extra game to work on things, it's the Redskins.
The same is true of New Orleans. The Saints are
also learning a new system under head coach Sean
Payton and have been mostly awful.
Payton said, "I'm having a hard time swallowing
it, trust me. I told them afterwards, if you’re
dismissing this as a preseason game you're fooling
yourself. You're fooling yourself, and they know
it." Payton said this week that most of the
starters won't play in Week 4, but watch closely
to see if that changes.
The Saints are on the road this week at Kansas
City, but the Redskins are at home. Think Gibbs
will want a better performance in front of the
home fans? Washington catches a break as they
are playing the Ravens.
Baltimore will give rookie QB Drew Olsen (UCLA)
the most time. Those are the type of angles handicappers
search for, especially in Week 4.
Another team that might be worth a look at playing
well is the Detroit Lions. New coach Rod Marinelli
had the team fly into Oakland last week on the
day of the game to toughen them up, because later
this season they have a short stretch between
games.
The ploy failed, as the Lions had nothing in
a 21-3 loss at Oakland. Marinelli admitted he
wants to toughen his guys up.
He said some regulars on the Lions offense might
play more than usual Thursday against Buffalo.
The No. 1 offense has generated one touchdown
in three games. "We're going to look at that,
how much we want to play these guys," Marinelli
said. "It might be that certain guys play
a little longer. We're anxious to get our rhythm
and get going." Throw in the fact that the
Lions new defensive coordinator is Donnie Henderson,
also a fiery, emotional guy, and the Lions might
offer an emotional betting angle this weekend,
something you rarely find in Week 4.
Pay attention to what Oakland Raiders players
are saying about their game this week at Seattle.
The Raiders are one victory away from their going
undefeated in exhibition games for the first time
in franchise history.
Finally, pay close coverage to personnel changes.
49ers coach Mike Nolan wants a 3-4 defense this
season, but the 49ers are moving back to a 4-3
front this week. The reason is a lack of quality
guys up front. Rookie Melvin Oliver started at
defensive end last week and looked lost at times.
The 49ers allowed 189 rushing yards to the Cowboys.
Successful handicapping means putting small pieces
of the puzzle together like this to find edges
against the number!
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Bryan Leonard is a documented member of The Professional
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