GMAC
BOWL
Wednesday, December 21st 8:00 PM ET - Ladd
Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
Texas-El Paso Miners
vs. Toledo Rockets
This was not the destination
either team had hopes for but it will certainly
provide an entertaining matchup. Both teams
are in the top 20 in total offense in the
country so whoever’s defense steps up
or whoever has the ball last will win, one
or the other. UTEP was poised to make a trip
to the C-USA Championship but the Miners dropped
their last two games and finished a game behind
Tulsa in the West Division. The offense scored
23 and 27 points in those last two games,
the lowest offensive output since week 4.
It was a very similar ending
for Toledo who controlled its own destiny
at the end of the regular season but a home
loss to Northern Illinois took that out of
its hands. The Rockets recovered to defeat
Bowling Green to finish 8-3 but were denied
a return trip to the MAC Championship. Toledo
finished 17th in the country in total offense
and 14th in scoring offense, averaging 445.2
ypg and 34.9 ppg respectively. The running
game was the strength as the Rockets finished
12th in rushing offense and 6th in yard per
carry average.
The Miners were very effective
on offense as well this season despite the
final two games. UTEP ended the regular season
20th in total offense and 21st in scoring
offense. Just the opposite of Toledo, the
Miners rely more heavily on the passing game,
averaging 310.5 ypg, good for 8th in the nation.
The running game was extremely inconsistent
this season as they ran for 145 or more yards
six times but were held to 97 yards or fewer
five times. The total offense went over 400
yards in each of their last four games.
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The defenses of both teams
did not finish strong. Toledo finished 36th
in scoring defense but a trend of allowing
more points in every one of its last seven
games does not bode well. The Rockets closed
the season allowing 3, 14, 15, 21, 21, 35
and 41 points. Two of the three worst efforts
occurred in the last two weeks of the season.
The Miners were erratic most of the season
and it didn’t end well. After allowing
20.3 ppg in its first six games, UTEP allowed
36 ppg in its final four games not counting
the 1-AA game.
Toledo finished this season
going just 2-6 against the number when favored
including a 0-4 ATS mark on the road. The
Rockets also finished 0-3 ATS when favored
by fewer than two touchdowns. UTEP was a favorite
in every game this season so being the underdog
is a new role for the Miners. UTEP was 2-3
ATS on the road. Combined, both went 7-4 under
with a total of 56 or higher while Toledo
was a big under team on the road going 5-1
on the season.
GMAC BOWL
Mobile, Alabama
December 21, 2005, at 8 p.m. ET : ESPN
Ladd Peebles Stadium : 40,646
UTEP (8-3) vs. Toledo (8-3)
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Matt Fargo is a documented member of The Professional
Handicappers League.
Read more of his articles and get his premium
plays here.
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