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Sportsbook Reviews - Detroit SuperBowl XL Preview
By: Q. Smyth Senior Editor for Wageronfootball.com Sportsbook
Review
Thursday February 2nd, 2006 Page Updated at 8:50am
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XL - FEB 5TH 2006 - SUPERBOWL BETTING PREVIEWS
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SuperBowl XL Preview - Seattle
(15-3) vs. Pittsburgh (14-5)
Detroit, MI
- (MySportsbook)
- When the Pittsburgh Steelers last raised the Lombardi
Trophy as Super Bowl Champions, on Jan. 20th, 1980,
current Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was
not yet born. Strong safety Troy Polamalu's mane of
hair wouldn't begin sprouting until he came into the
world 15 months after Super Bowl XIV, and Steelers
running back Jerome Bettis was but a growing seven-year-old.
That trio of superstars and their Pittsburgh
teammates don't have a memory of a Steelers Super
Bowl victory, a fact that the AFC Champions will be
trying to change on Sunday night, when they meet the
Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XL at Detroit's Ford
Field. Bill Cowher's team enters the tilt having won
seven consecutive games, including road victories
over the higher-seeded Bengals, Colts, and Broncos
during the playoffs.
The majority of Seattle's players have
no personal Super Bowl frame of reference either,
as the Seahawks will on Sunday be making their first
such appearance in a mostly mediocre 30-year history.
The NFC Champions will be trying to cap off the best
season in team annals on the highest of high notes.
Head coach Mike Holmgren and company won a franchise-record
13 games during the regular season, setting another
team mark with 11 consecutive victories en route to
the NFC West crown and the No. 1 overall seed in the
conference. Seahawks running back Shaun Alexander
won the NFL rushing title with 1,880 yards during
the regular season, also setting a league single-season
record with 28 touchdowns during the campaign.
The stage for Super Bowl XL will be
four-year-old Ford Field, the sparkling Motor City
facility that is hosting the game for the first time.
The Super Bowl was last held in the Detroit area following
the 1981 season, when the 49ers won their first-ever
world championship by downing the Bengals, 26-21,
at the Pontiac Silverdome.
SERIES HISTORY
Seattle leads the all-time series with
Pittsburgh, 8-6, and has won the two most recent head-to-head
meetings. The Seahawks were 23-16 home winners when
the teams faced off at QwestField in 2003, and they
also prevailed, 29-10, when they last visited the
Steel City, in 1999. The Steelers last defeated the
Seahawks during the 1998 campaign, winning by a 13-10
margin at home.
Holmgren is 4-1 in his career against
Pittsburgh, including 2-0 since taking the helm of
the Seahawks franchise in 1999. Cowher is 2-4 against
Seattle and 1-4 all-time against Holmgren in his career.
The franchises will be squaring off
in the postseason for the first time.
SEAHAWKS OFFENSE VS. STEELERS DEFENSE
Seahawks quarterback Matt Hasselbeck
(3459 passing yards, 24 TD, 9 INT) earned his second
career Pro Bowl citation for his work during the 2005
regular season, when he led the NFC in passer rating
(98.2) and tied for the conference lead in touchdown
passes despite being without his No. 1 wideout Jackson
for most of the season. During the playoffs, the 30-year-old
Hasselbeck has posted a strong 109.6 passer rating
and has thrown three touchdowns without an interception.
Hasselbeck also has 48 rushing yards in the postseason,
including a touchdown against the Redskins in the
divisional round.
Alexander (1880 rushing yards, 15 receptions,
28 TD) is the reigning NFL MVP after winning the league
rushing title and setting a single-season record for
touchdowns. After being knocked out early against
the Redskins with a concussion, Alexander responded
with 132 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 34 carries
against the Panthers in the NFC Championship. Maurice
Morris (288 rushing yards, 1 TD) and fullback Mack
Strong (78 rushing yards, 22 receptions) received
a fair amount of touches while spelling Alexander
during the season, and the duo combined to fill in
for Alexander for most of the Washington contest.
The Pro Bowler Strong has 47 rushing yards on seven
carries in the 2005 playoffs, including a 32-yard
run versus the Redskins.
Jackson (38 receptions, 3 TD) heads
a deep group of receivers that generally features
Bobby Engram (67 receptions, 3 TD) as the other starter
and Joe Jurevicius (55 receptions, 10 TD) in the role
of No. 3 wideout. With Jackson out for 10 games, Engram
finished the regular season atop the team chart in
catches and receiving yards (778), while Jurevicius
paced the club in TD catches. Since Jackson has returned,
Jurevicius and second-year wideout D.J. Hackett (28
receptions, 2 TD) have seen fewer opportunities. Backup
quarterback Seneca Wallace entered the Carolina game
as a wide receiver, catching a 28-yard pass from Hasselbeck.
Jackson has accounted for 15 of the 23 completions
to Seattle wide receivers during the playoffs.
The Seahawks' most reliable pass-catcher
other than Jackson in the playoffs to date has been
tight end Jerramy Stevens (45 receptions, 5 TD), the
6-foot-7 former first-round draft pick who made a
leaping touchdown grab against the Panthers in the
NFC Championship. Stevens has eight catches for 79
yards in the playoffs. Ryan Hannam (13 receptions,
1 TD) has appeared when the Seahawks have used two
tight ends this season, but is not much of a threat
as a receiver. Hannam has two grabs for eight yards
in the postseason thus far.
The Seahawks' offensive line is one
of the best in the business, with left tackle Walter
Jones, left guard Steve Hutchinson, and center Robbie
Tobeck all headed for the Pro Bowl. The right side
combination of tackle Sean Locklear and guard Chris
Gray isn't bad either. Locklear made headlines prior
to the NFC Championship when he was arrested for allegedly
assaulting his girlfriend, but he played against Carolina
and will be in uniform on Sunday night. The Seattle
o-line helped the team finish third in the NFL in
rushing offense (153.6 yards per game), and the Seahawks
were near the top of the league chart in sacks allowed
(27) as well.
Pittsburgh's primary defensive line
group of nose tackle Casey Hampton (42 tackles) and
ends Kimo von Oelhoffen (35 tackles, 3.5 sacks) and
Aaron Smith (39 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT) was literally
at the forefront of a unit that ranked No. 3 in the
league in rushing defense (86 yards per game) during
the regular season. Each member of the three-man front
will be playing in his first Super Bowl. End Brett
Keisel (33 tackles, 3 sacks) and nose tackle Chris
Hoke (6 tackles) are the team's top line reserves,
but both received only limited snaps with the defense
in the regular campaign.
Inside linebackers James Farrior (119
tackles, 2 sacks) and Larry Foote (102 tackles, 3
sacks) were 1-2 on the Steelers in tackles during
the regular season, and both have played well during
the postseason. Farrior has two-and- a-half sacks
and an interception in three 2005 playoff games, while
Foote is tied for the team lead with 19 tackles and
has an interception of his own. The Steelers' pressure
package is heavily dependent on outside linebackers
Porter (56 tackles, 10.5 sacks, 2 INT) and Clark Haggans
(59 tackles, 9 sacks), who were 1-2 on the team in
sacks during the regular season. The Pro Bowler Porter
leads Pittsburgh with three sacks in the postseason.
Pittsburgh's 47 sacks on the regular season ranked
behind only Seattle (50) and Miami (49) in the NFL.
Ike Taylor (91 tackles, 1 INT) and
Deshea Townsend (54 tackles, 3 sacks, 2 INT) were
both good enough to start the entire season at corner
for the Steelers, though neither is particularly renowned
for his playmaking abilities. Taylor posted just his
second interception of the year against Denver in
the AFC Championship. Rookie Bryant McFadden (18 tackles,
1 sack, 1 INT) has appeared frequently as a nickel
corner this season. Pittsburgh's top playmaker in
the secondary is the strong safety Polamalu (91 tackles,
3 sacks, 2 INT), who has been at his best in the 2005
postseason. Polamalu is tied for the team lead with
19 tackles along with an interception (not including
a pick with which he should have been credited against
Indianapolis) and half-a-sack. At free safety, fourth-year
pro Chris Hope (96 tackles, 3 INT) is less heralded
but led the team in interceptions during the regular
campaign. Tyrone Carter (24 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT)
has appeared frequently off the bench in the playoffs,
notching 14 tackles, and Mike Logan (24 tackles) has
seen time when the team has used multi-defensive back
sets as well.
STEELERS OFFENSE VS. SEAHAWKS DEFENSE
Roethlisberger (2385 passing yards,
17 TD, 9 INT) had an outstanding regular season, posting
a 98.6 passer rating and generally displaying the
presence that led him to be named 2004 NFL Rookie
of the Year, but reserved his best play for the postseason.
"Big Ben" is 49-of-72 passing (68.1 percent)
for 680 yards with seven touchdowns and just one interception
through three 2005 playoff games, for a lusty passer
rating of 124.8. The Miami of Ohio product enters
Super Sunday with a career record of 26-4 as a starter.
The Steelers running game has struggled
somewhat during the playoffs, with both Willie Parker
(1202 rushing yards, 18 receptions, 5 TD) and Bettis
(368 rushing yards, 9 TD) averaging well under four
yards per carry. Parker has just 132 yards on 47 carries
(2.8 avg.) on the ground, but did manage to score
his first career postseason TD via the air against
the Bengals in the Wild Card round. Bettis, who will
be playing in his hometown of Detroit, has three touchdowns
to his credit in the 2005 playoffs. Third-down back
Verron Haynes (274 rushing yards, 3 TD, 11 receptions)
has 54 rushing yards and three catches in the playoffs,
and fullback Dan Kreider (7 receptions) has done a
good job blocking for Parker and Bettis.
Each of Pittsburgh's top three receivers
- Ward (69 receptions, 11 TD), Antwaan Randle El (35
receptions, 1 TD), and Cedrick Wilson (26 receptions)
- has had his moments in the 2005 playoffs to date.
Ward leads the Steelers with 10 postseason catches
and has a couple of touchdowns, Randle El has nine
receptions for 97 yards and a score, and Wilson has
shaken off a quiet regular season with eight grabs
for a team-high 196 yards and two touchdowns. With
former No. 4 receiver Quincy Morgan out for the year
with a broken fibula, Nate Washington received a rare
chance to play on offense against the Broncos in the
AFC Championship. Washington, an undrafted rookie
out of Tiffin University, had a 13-yard catch against
the Broncos.
Rookie tight end Heath Miller (39 receptions,
6 TD) gave the Steelers passing game an added dimension
over the middle during the regular season, and has
been a major part of the postseason game plan as well.
Miller has seven catches for 107 yards and a touchdown
in the playoffs, inflicting major damage to the Colts
in the divisional round. The rookie from Virginia
had three catches for 61 yards and a touchdown in
that game. Veteran Jerame Tuman (3 receptions) appears
in two-tight end situations for Pittsburgh, and is
known primarily for his blocking abilities. Tuman
has two catches for 28 yards in the playoffs.
A well-regarded Steelers line is led
by a pair of Pro Bowlers in center Jeff Hartings and
left guard Alan Faneca. The rest of the trench crew
is solid, with left tackle Marvel Smith, right guard
Kendall Simmons, and right tackle Max Starks all holding
their own through the 19-game season. The Pittsburgh
line was known best for its run-blocking abilities,
helping the team rank fifth in the NFL in rushing
offense (138.9 yards per game), but also allowed a
modest 32 sacks on the regular campaign. Roethlisberger
has been sacked five times through three 2005 postseason
contests.
Left end Bryce Fisher (47 tackles,
9 sacks) and right end Grant Wistrom (52 tackles,
4 sacks) are Seattle's usual starters on the edge,
contributing greatly to the team's NFL-best 50 sacks
during the regular season. Fisher led the Seahawks
in sacks, while Wistrom, who played in two Super Bowls
with the Rams in 1999 and 2001, was seen as one of
the line's top run-stoppers. Fisher had a sack against
the Redskins in the divisional round. Former Bear
Joe Tafoya (29 tackles, 1 sack) is the club's top
end reserve. The play of the Seahawks' interior line
may have been the overall strength of the team's defense
in 2005. A rotating group consisting of Rocky Bernard
(52 tackles, 8.5 sacks), Marcus Tubbs (40 tackles,
5.5 sacks), Craig Terrill (18 tackles, 2 sacks), and
Chuck Darby (30 tackles, 2.5 sacks) was arguably the
most productive in the league this season. Bernard
and Darby have combined for three of Seattle's four
sacks thus far in the postseason. Darby played in
Super Bowl XXXVII as a member of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The transformation of Seattle's defense
from a hot-and-cold unit to a consistently productive
group had much to do with the emergence of a pair
of rookie linebackers - Tatupu (104 tackles, 4 sacks,
3 INT) and Leroy Hill (72 tackles, 7.5 sacks). Tatupu,
the middle linebacker and better-known member of the
group, led Seattle in tackles by a wide margin and
was tied for second on the team in interceptions.
Hill, a third-round pick out of Clemson, was a bigger
surprise, taking over starting duties when Jamie Sharper
was injured and ranking among team leaders in sacks.
The third member of the starting LB group is outside
man D.D. Lewis (62 tackles), who battled injury problems
in 2005 but was a credible run-stopper when healthy.
Kevin Bentley (31 tackles) has recently been the Seahawks'
No. 1 backup at linebacker.
Marcus Trufant (64 tackles, 1 sack,
1 INT) is considered the best of the Seahawks' cornerbacks,
and the former first-round pick out of Washington
State will likely be matched with Ward. On the other
side, veteran Andre Dyson (20 tackles, 1 INT) is the
likely starter, with Jordan Babineaux (74 tackles,
3 INT) appearing often in nickel situations. Dyson,
who missed the final month of the regular season with
an ankle injury, started the NFC Championship against
Carolina. Kelly Herndon (54 tackles, 2 INT) will probably
see most of his time in the dime formation. Strong
safety Michael Boulware (73 tackles, 4 INT, 2 sacks)
has emerged as the secondary's top playmaker, and
Marquand Manuel (71 tackles) has performed capably
at the free safety slot since taking over for the
injured Ken Hamlin in October. Boulware and Manuel
both had interceptions against the Panthers in the
NFC Championship game. Etric Pruitt (7 tackles) can
back up either safety slot, and sees most of his action
on special teams.
SPECIAL TEAMS
Seattle kicker Josh Brown (18-25 FG)
has made four short field goals during the postseason,
missing on his only attempt of more than 40 yards
when his 49- yard try against the Panthers was short.
Brown is 5-of-8 on kicks of 50 yards or greater this
season, but connected on just three of his final seven
field goal tries during the regular season. Brown
had two game-winning field goals in 2005, a 50-yarder
to beat the Cowboys on Oct. 23rd and a 36- yarder
to down the Giants in overtime four weeks later. The
Nebraska product also missed a potential game-winner
against the Redskins on Oct. 2nd. Four of Brown's
89 regular season kickoffs went for touchbacks. Punter
and 13-year NFL veteran Tom Rouen (41.6 avg.) will
be playing in his third Super Bowl, having won two
rings as a member of the Denver Broncos in 1997 and
1998. Rouen, who played for the Steelers briefly in
2002, is averaging 42.3 yards per punt during the
2005 postseason, slightly better than his regular
season clip.
After regular punt returner Jimmy Williams
(5.8 avg.) coughed up what could have been a key fumble
against the Redskins in the Divisional Playoff, the
Seahawks placed Peter Warrick (4.8 avg.) in that role
against the Panthers. Warrick didn't fare much better,
amassing a total of seven yards on two returns and
looking tentative, but should continue to handle those
duties in the Super Bowl. Warrick had two punt returns
for scores during his tenure with the Bengals (2000-04).
Josh Scobey (22.5 avg.) has handled all but two of
Seattle's kickoff returns this year, and has yet to
break one for a touchdown. Scobey also lost a fumble
against Washington, but was permitted to keep his
job against Carolina. Scobey's only career kickoff
return for a score came in 2003 as a member of the
Arizona Cardinals, when the Kansas State product led
the NFL in kickoff return yardage.
The Seahawks have proven to be susceptible
to the big return this year, having allowed the Rams'
Chris Johnson to score on a 99-yard kickoff return
in Week 5 and the Panthers' Steve Smith to go to the
house on a punt return in the NFC Championship. The
Hawks were middle-of-the-NFL-pack in both punt return
defense (8.4 avg. per return) and kickoff return defense
(22.0 avg.) during the regular season. Scobey (23
special teams tackles) and backup linebacker Isaiah
Kacyvenski (21 tackles) were 1-2 on the team in special
teams tackles during the regular campaign.
Pittsburgh kicker Jeff Reed (24-29
FG) has missed just three kicks of shorter than 50
yards this season, but did not make a field goal of
longer than 44 yards during the regular season. Reed
is 3-of-3 on field goals during the 2005 postseason,
including a season-best 47-yarder in the first quarter
against the Broncos in the AFC Championship. Reed
hit game-winning field goals against the Chargers
and Ravens during the regular season, and the fourth-year
pro out of North Carolina also had touchbacks on five
of his 84 kickoffs. Punter Chris Gardocki (41.8 avg.)
finished near the bottom of the NFL in punting average
during the regular season, but his one-step approach
basically eliminates the prospect of a blocked punt.
Gardocki, who will be appearing in his first Super
Bowl, has never had a punt blocked during his 15-year
NFL career.
The Steelers boast one of the most
electrifying punt returners in the game in Randle
El (10.2 avg.), who had two punt returns for scores
during the regular season and has five returns for
TDs during his four-year pro career. Randle El has
not broken a punt return longer than 20 yards in the
2005 postseason, but is averaging a healthy 10.5 yards
on eight attempts. Defensive backs Ike Taylor (19.7
avg.) and Ricardo Colclough (21.5) have both seen
time as kickoff returners during the postseason, with
Taylor handling most of those duties in the team's
last two games. Taylor's longest return during the
2005 postseason thus far was a 36-yarder against the
Bengals in the Wild Card round. Backup wideout Quincy
Morgan (25.3 avg.), who was the Steelers' most frequent
kickoff returner during the regular season, was lost
for the year with a broken fibula sustained against
Cincinnati on Jan. 8th.
Pittsburgh allowed 9.1 yards per punt
return during the regular season, the 23rd-best figure
in the league, and were middle-of-the-pack with 21.9
yards per kickoff return allowed. The Steelers have
not surrendered a return for a touchdown since the
Jets' Santana Moss scored on a punt return in a 2004
AFC Divisional Playoff. Backup end Brett Keisel led
the team with 23 special teams tackles during the
regular season, and backup defensive back Chidi Iwuoma
was second with 19 stops.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
The Steelers and Seahawks have
taken far different paths to reach the Super Sunday
stage. Pittsburgh barely made the playoffs and was
forced to beat the AFC's top three seeds on the road,
while Seattle had a postseason berth wrapped up around
Thanksgiving and enjoyed a couple of home games against
Wild Card teams in the playoffs. And though the Seahawks
were the NFC's top seed and have won more games than
the Steelers, it should be Pittsburgh that is a bit
more sure of itself on Sunday night. Pittsburgh has
answered every challenge thus far in the postseason,
and also happens to be both more physical and more
big-game-tested than Seattle. The Seahawks are young
in a few key areas, including at the linebacker position,
and may have some trouble finding their footing in
the most important contest in franchise history. Seattle
is good enough to make this an interesting and competitive
game, but look for the Hawks to make one too many
mistakes down the stretch, and for Cowher and company
to raise the Lombardi Trophy.
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