NFL Betting - Week 6 Odds and Lines
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The sixth week
of the NFL is upon us and by now the trends
have been firmly set. There are twelve more
betting weeks in the NFL season. It’s
never too late to get into the action at BetUS!
Here are this weekend’s
best match-ups:
Oakland
Raiders (+10) vs. San Diego Chargers (-10) - The Chargers served notice to the rest
of the NFL by man-handling the Denver Broncos
on the road last Sunday. They beat the Broncos
by almost 40 points. But, the Raiders get back
their top runner Dominick Rhodes from a four-game
suspension and are coming off a bye week. The
Raiders play both the run and pass well and the
Chargers might have trouble getting up for a
game in which many Raider fans make the trip
down south from the Black Hole. Expect the Raiders
to put up a nice fight in this one. The trend
in the past couple of years has been that the
Raiders cover on the road when the spread is
larger than a touchdown. This year Oakland actually
brings a tough team to San Diego. The BetUS against
the spread line is Raiders + 10. Take them to
beat that!
Tennessee
Titans (+3) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) – The Bucs came back to earth last
weekend by a spanking from the Colts. The Titans
had to play tough to take out Atlanta at home,
but they did exactly what they were supposed
to do. The trend favors the Bucs who are the
home team and definitely deserve the 3 point
NFL against the spread traditional “respect” line.
But, the Bucs don’t have Carnell Williams
or Michael Pittman and Jeff Garcia is coming
off his worst outing of the year. I’m not
sold on the Bucs as a real team yet as their
two best games have come against NFC South also-rans,
the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints.
The strongest trend in the NFL the past two years
has been betting against an NFC team against
a tough AFC team. Expect that trend to hold in
this game and take the Titans and the 3 points.
Washington
Redskins (+3) vs. Green Bay Packers (- 3) – The reverse trend for the Green
Bay Packers held water all season until they
gave up 27 points to the Chicago Bears and got
beat on the square at Lambeau Field last week.
Did that game signal a reverse-reverse trend?
Maybe. In the past two years, the Packers have
been a solid play against, no matter whether
they are giving points or getting points. Now,
they get to play a Washington Redskins team that
showed guts, heart, determination, and the ability
to take out one of the top offenses in the NFL
when they throttled the Detroit Lions last Sunday.
However, the greatest trend in Washington Redskins’ history
is that the Lions are 0 – 20, make that
0 – 21, on the road against the Redskins.
So, there isn’t a lot to go by from last
Sunday’s game. The truth is that when it
comes to the quarterbacks Brett Favre is much
better than Jason Campbell right now. That means
the Packers cover the – 3 BetUS against
the spread.
Carolina
Panthers (projected +5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
(projected - 5) – This line may
change dramatically because Jake Delhomme is
out for the season. So, in fact, is Matte Leinart
for the Cardinals. Kurt Warner, former MVP of
the NFL, might actually play better for the Cardinals
if he is allowed to start. But, that’s
not the only problem for the Panthers. The problem
for the Panthers in this game will be if wide
receiver Anquan Boldin, for the Arizona Cardinals,
makes it back from injury. If he does, expect
the Cardinals to light up the scoreboard against
a Panther secondary that just isn’t very
good. The Saints had numerous opportunities against
the Panther secondary last Sunday, but failed
to capitalize. Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin
are not Devery Henderson and David Patten, and
the Cardinals will roll no matter what the BetUS
line ends up being. Stay tuned for this one!
New
England Patriots (projected – 6) at
Dallas Cowboys (projected + 6) – What a
game! Two of the best offensive teams in football
square off in Texas Stadium as the Cowboys take
on the Patriots. There will be a lot of talk
about how the Patriots are due to fall off the
wagon, but the truth about this game is that
the Patriots’ defense is much more superior
to the Cowboy’s defense. The Cowboys only
real chance of winning this is to slow the game
down and then to keep the Patriots from getting
touches. That won’t happen as the Patriots
bring too many weapons to this dance and finally
NFL bettors get a nice line to work with regarding
the Patriots. Heck, because it’s the Cowboys,
and they’re home, the BetUS against the
spread may go all the way down to the Patriots – 3.
That would be an excellent wager as the Patriots
have been beating tough AFC teams while the Cowboys
have been beating up on soft NFC and AFC teams.
No way the ‘Boys can stop Randy Moss, Tom
Brady, and the rest of the Patriots’ offense.
Trends to Watch For:
Jacksonville is
12 – 1 against the spread
when they score 22 to 28 or more points
Indianapolis is
10 – 3 against the spread
when both teams score more than 20 points
Pittsburgh is 28 – 8
against the spread vs. good passing teams.
Dallas is 1 – 13
against the spread at home when the total line
is greater than 44 points
Seattle is 4 – 12 against the spread after
failing to cover the spread in two out of their
last three games
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Posted on 10/9/2007 2:03:19 PM
NFL Betting - Week 6 Odds and Lines
By D.S. Williamson
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