Free Week 10 NFL Expert Picks

Week 10 has four selections, plus another three games that just missed the cut. There are a lot of big spreads in the games ultimately picked, with Green Bay (+5.5) at Minnesota being the closest contest. Enjoy this weekend’s action.

Editor’s Note: The selections in this column are purely the opinion of the writer, and are not being endorsed by any or all parties.

Games Considered But Not Picked

San Francisco (+6) at Detroit: Considered picking Detroit. Detroit is just 2-6 on the year, but they are coming off a very impressive home win over Atlanta. That win was a great momentum builder, and this team is finally starting to click with the Mike Martz offense.

The 49ers have the better record at 3-5, but they have been dreadful (0-3) on the road, losing their last two games by a combined score of 82-10. I see at least a touchdown win for Detroit, but it is hard to feel totally confidant about this Lions team.

Kansas City (E) at Miami: Considered picking Kansas City. The Chiefs (5-3) are coming off an impressive win at St. Louis, and they are red-hot, winning five of their last six games. Quarterback, Damon Huard has played very steady, but it is the running of Larry Johnson that has made the difference.

Miami (2-6) is getting a lot of respect here because of their win last week at Chicago, and their second half run last year. Kansas City should win this game, but the Miami run defense is good enough to cause some concern.

St. Louis (+3.5) at Seattle. Considered picking St. Louis. Seattle (5-3) was supposed to get running back, Shaun Alexander back this week, but that looks doubtful. Quarterback, Seneca Wallace has played pretty well in replacing Matt Hasselbeck, but now he matches up against one of the NFL’s best in Marc Bulger.

St. Louis (4-4) is on a three game losing streak as the turnovers have stopped coming their way. They also can’t stop the run. Alexander being out helps in that regard, and the Rams can win this game outright by getting into an old-fashioned shoot-out.

NFL Week 10 Selections

Green Bay (+5.5) at Minnesota: Minnesota (4-4) is really struggling right now after a blowout loss versus New England and a woeful road defeat at San Francisco. The Vikings’ offense scored just 10 points total in those games, and there is no reason to think they can explode this week, even at home.

Green Bay is 3-5 on the year and 2-2 on the road. The Packers did lose 24-10 at Buffalo last week, but they dug their own grave by losing the turnover battle, 4-0. Everyone talks about the problems Brett Favre has in domes, but he has played excellent in the Metrodome the last two years. Green Bay has a chance at an upset here. NFL Free Pick: Green Bay

Washington (+7) at Philadelphia: Philadelphia (4-4) is coming off the bye week, and still trying to figure out how they went from one of the best teams in the NFL, to a team on a three-game slide. Philadelphia is still too one-dimensional (passing) on offense, and they are also failing to stop the run.

Washington (3-5) got a fortunate, but big win over Dallas last week, and the momentum should carry over. Wide receiver, Santana Moss is questionable with his hamstring injury, and that means the Redskins will rely on Clinton Portis more than ever. Look for this to be a very close game. NFL Free Pick: Washington

Buffalo (+12) at Indianapolis: Buffalo is 3-5 on the year, but just 1-3 on the road. The Bills are without Willis McGahee for this game, but they need to keep running the ball so that quarterback J.P. Losman is not forced to carry the offense. If he has to, it could be a three interception day.

Indianapolis is coming off an emotional Sunday night win at New England, so you have to be a little concerned about a letdown. However, they beat Houston by two touchdowns last year after a huge win over the Patriots. The Colts are also shooting for an undefeated season. NFL Free Pick: Indianapolis

Dallas (-7) at Arizona: Arizona is the worst team in the league at 1-7. Their coach, Dennis Green seems to have lost his squad, and even the bye-week might not have helped that cause. The return of wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald will help, but their problems are much deeper than that.

The Cowboys are in desperation mode at 4-4, and coming off that disastrous loss at Washington. The good news is that Tony Romo is looking like a huge upgrade over Drew Bledsoe, and Coach Bill Parcells is one of the best at getting his team to focus on the task at hand. The Cowboys should easily handle this inferior Cardinals team. NFL Free Pick: Dallas

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