They appear to be the
clear-cut favorite and should be able to run the
table providing they can get by a trip to Iowa
City on Sept. 30. The following will recap a few
of the highlights from week two and preview the
last week of non-conference play:
- We felt going into the weekend, the Hawkeyes
were over-hyped and we figured they would struggle
to cover the 19-point spread in east New York.
We then received a big edge just before kickoff
when QB Drew Tate was scratched with a strained
abdominal muscle. Syracuse has a solid defense
and played well enough to win the game. However,
they currently have a bonehead coach in Greg Robinson
who used no creativity in overtime and thus deserved
his fate.
Iowa was a completely different team without
Tate and I was surprised the line did not move
much at all. The game was dominated by the defenses
as Iowa amassed just 178 yards through the air.
The Hawkeyes were very lucky to get out of the
dome with a win and thus cannot be disappointed
in their performance. A 7-point win without your
franchise quarterback on the road, regardless
of the opponent, is all that you can ask for.
Next up for the Hawkeyes is a game against in-state
rival Iowa State. State did a number on them last
year and you can bet the Hawkeyes will be up for
this game. This game is currently off the board
because of QB Drew Tate's status, but I would
expect Iowa to open up double-digit favorites.
As for Syracuse, the season is only two games
old and they look dreadful. This administration
must be regretting firing longtime coach Paul
Pasqualoni, who would consistently get the Orange
in a bowl game. Now, they are just hoping to win
a game.
- After hearing a week of criticism for how bad
they looked on offense against Georgia Tech, Notre
Dame was determined to make a statement in South
Bend against a nationally ranked Penn State squad.
The Irish came out firing, scoring the first 27
points of the game and put the Lions on their
heels from the start. I felt this was an overrated
Lions team that just lost too much to graduation
to be a top team in the nation. They returned
just nine starters and very little experience
in the trenches.
Brady Quinn, my Heisman-hyped Irish quarterback,
was 12-of-16 passing for 150 yards and two touchdowns
in the second quarter alone. He has the talent
and he will not put up many performances like
in did in Atlanta one week ago. State did gain
nearly 400 yards of offense, but it was the three
turnovers that led to their demise.
I expect Penn State to be just a .500 team this
year and it will be interesting to see how long
Joe Pa would like to prolong the agony. He had
a perfect opportunity to ride out into the sunset
after his Orange Bowl victory last season, but
declined that offer and instead would like to
go off in his coffin. All-American Paul Posluszny
will need to be the difference for this team to
be successful, but I expect offensive lineman
to gang up on him and force someone else on that
defense to make plays. Next up for the Lions is
a game with Youngstown State. The Penguins went
8-3 last year and should not be taken lightly,
just ask Northwestern. There is no line on the
game because the Penguins are a Div. I-AA opponent.
The Irish are in the Middle of a Big 10 superfecta
and will welcome in Michigan next week. The early
line has ND favored by 7, but I feel the revenge
of the Wolverines will give them all they can
handle. I do expect the Irish to lose one of the
four games against Big Ten opponents, just not
this one.
- Finally, the Game of the Year turned out to
be a dud, as Ohio State's experience paid dividends
in Austin against defending champion Texas. I
felt Ohio State dominated both games with Texas,
but this year they were able to finish drives
and Texas could not produce any big plays against
them. The Horns hung tough for a while, but with
a big play threat, the Buckeyes gradually pulled
away to win this game comfortably.
The most critical player in this game was not
Troy Smith or Ted Ginn Jr. - it was linebacker
James Laurinaitis. Laurinaitis intercepted a pass
to start the second half and had the game-changing
play when he forced a Billy Pittman fumble at
the two-yard line. That fumble led to OSU's first
touchdown, and was a 14-point swing. Had Texas
punched that in for a 7-0 lead, this may have
given young Colt McCoy the confidence needed to
make plays down the field.
Texas did tie the game just before the second
quarter concluded, but then the defense was victimized
by Ginn Jr. for a couple of big plays, including
a 29-yard touchdown pass with just 16 seconds
remaining in the half. That was all she wrote
in this game, as
Out of the three Free Picks I posted on this
site last week, the only one I put with my article
ended up being the only loser. Take Jacksonville
(Pk) over Pittsburgh on MNF next weekend. That's
it for this week and best of luck.
State never looked back and -- unlike the game
last season the Horseshoe -- they were able to
get up two scores on Texas. The Buckeyes truly
are the clear-cut No. 1 team in the land and Troy
Smith is the frontrunner for the Heisman trophy,
although I have not given up on Brady Quinn just
yet.
Next up for the Buckeyes is a game at The Shoe
against in-state rival Cincinnati. State easily
won this game in 2004 and comes in as a 30-point
favorite. The only thing that could allow the
Cats to stay close is that their Coach Mark Dantonio
was the defensive coordinator in Columbus from
2001-2003. As for Texas, they will make a trip
south to Houston to take on Rice. The Horns enter
as a 31-point favorite and I would stay away from
this game. I don't think Texas is as bad as everyone
is saying and they still have a solid chance to
win the Big XII South. However, they will not
run the table and I expect back-to-back road trips
to Lincoln and Lubbock to doom them in for at
least one more loss.
In other action, Northwestern followed the lead
of Colorado by suffering an embarrassing loss
to Div. I-AA New Hampshire. This game was not
close and Pat Fitzgerald has to wonder what happened
to the offense that was always so explosive under
Randy Walker. I feel that loss will keep them
out of a bowl game and thus they lose the all-important
extra month of practice.
Three Thoughts From Around
College Football
1) What
is happening to the Ol' Ball Coach? Through two
games his South Carolina offensive has looked
terrible and produced only one touchdown (on a
trick play). They had a perfect opportunity to
knock out Georgia, yet failed to put a single
point on the board.
2) The
Oregon Ducks are for real. Anytime you go into
a hostile environment like Fresno and come away
with a win, you must be satisfied. They were my
surprise team for this season but have three brutal
games ahead (Oklahoma, @ ASU, @ California). They
will be lucky to only suffer one loss from this
trifecta.
3) It will
be interesting to see what happens to Direct TV
and Dish Network if this gambling ban passes through
the Senate. These companies thrive on pay-per-view
sports, and without gambling who would subscribe
to them? And please don't tell me fantasy players
will. Why would an individual pay for a $300 program
to join a $50 league. These sports packages cater
to gamblers who like to watch their bets live.
Maybe we should take a look at the job impact
before we pass a law.
Doc Sports is a documented member of The Professional
Handicappers League.
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