college
football - Thursday Night CFB-Maryland/West Virginia
preview
Maryland and West Virginia have
played each other every year since 1980 and the
all-time series is knotted at 21-21-2. As even
as this series has been, my first instinct is
to take the 16.5 points Maryland is getting, but
the Terrapins have dropped two straight to the
Big East powerhouse. However, the Mountaineers
have not won three straight over the Terrapins
since 1996-1998. Maryland was in good position
to disallow any winning streaks by its Big East
rivals last season before giving up 24 fourth
quarter points to lose 31-19.
With getting better than two touchdowns, one
factor looking good for Maryland is the fact that
West Virginia hasn’t been tested at all
in its first two games. Tailback Steve Slaton
and quarterback Pat White didn’t even play
the entire game against Eastern Washington last
Saturday. These two highly-touted skill players
will likely start slow in their first real test
of the season.
Due to playing two extremely weak opponents to
begin the season, West Virginia’s has the
top rushing offense in the nation, the third in
total yards, and the sixth in points. Maryland’s
offense has been shaky. The Terps turned the ball
over four times in their season opener to 1-AA
William & Mary and they were outgained by
Middle Tennessee last Saturday. However, Maryland
has proven that its defense will be a formidable
force this season. It was Maryland’s defense
which kept the Terps in nearly every game last
year. The Terps will be pumped up to play a team
that they had beat last season. We will see their
best effort of the season to this point and a
much more aggressive offensive approach by coach
Ralph Friedgen. Hollenbach played a career game
last year
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against the Mountaineers and that will give him
an extra boost of confidence in this one. Maryland’s
quarterback threw for 291 yards on 20-for-31 passing
in last year’s matchup, and I like him to
have a great game again this year as West Virginia
only returns 1 starter in the secondary.
The fact that this game is being played on a
Thursday night also lends me to give the nod to
the Terps as it will give the Mountaineers less
time to prepare for their first test of the season.
Maryland also has to deal with the same time constraints,
but preparation won’t be as critical for
the Terrapins as they know what to expect with
West Virginia. The Mountaineers are going to run
the ball nearly every play. The most important
factor for the Terps is just to play like they
have nothing to lose because they don’t.
Also, not having to wait until Saturday gives
Maryland’s passing attack the advantage
as West Virginia’s inexperienced defensive
backs won’t get as good of a look at the
Terps’ offensive sets as they would in a
normal week.
There’s no doubt that West Virginia is
a good offensive football team and it will move
the ball against Maryland despite Maryland boasting
a solid defense. The Terps will be able to pass
the football against West Virginia however, and
I’ll take them in this one as better than
two touchdown dogs with a small play.
Jimmy Boyd is a documented member of The Professional
Handicappers League.
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