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Own Rob Gillespie will appear here with his weekly
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Rob Gillespie, President of Bodog
Sportsbook, Casino and Poker, has been involved
in sports wagering and gambling since he was a young
child. Whether it was playing five-card stud with
his dad's Navy buddies or running a sportsbook out
of his high school locker, Gillespie has always
had a knack for the gambling game.
Aside from the three-pointer that forced overtime
between Kentucky and Michigan State during the regional
finals, and maybe that one buzzer-beater between
Kansas and Bucknell, there really weren't many last-second,
rim-dancing buzzer-beaters over the course of this
year's NCAA tournament. But there were plenty of
miraculous comebacks and nail-biting overtimes!
Thoughts and key stats
This was a year dominated by parity. You had lower
ranked teams taking out top seeded teams. Early
on, we witnessed a No. 12 team (Wisconsin-Milwaukee)
beating a No. 5 team (Alabama); Bucknell surprised
everyone and took out a No. 3 team (Kansas). Television
ratings were up, handle was up, and teams that had
the big lead going into the second half couldn’t
hang on to win the game, so the momentum switch
was fun to watch.
Favorites straight up were 46-15
(2 games closed at Pick'em)
Round 1 favs were 26-6
Round 2 favs were 10-5 (one Pick'em)
Sweet 16 favs were 4-4
Elite 8 favs were 3-0 (one Pick'em)
Final 4 favs were 3-0
Favorites ATS were 30-33 (2 games
closed at Pick'em)
Round 1 favs were 15-17
Round 2 favs were 9-6 (one Pick'em)
Sweet 16 favs were 3-5
Elite 8 favs were 0-3 (one Pick'em)
Final 4 favs were 3-0
It was interesting to see how much the spreads
affected Round 1 (11 of 32 games had favorite win
but not cover). Six games had pointspreads that
opened, closed or moved through the closing margin
of victory. In other words, getting the best line
on that game by shopping for lines could have made
the difference between win/loss/push in nearly 10%
of the games!
Best games for the book were (in
order):
Round 2 - NC State +4 upsetting UConn
Round 2 - Wisconsin-Milwaukee +3.5 upsetting Boston
College
Elite 8 - Villanova +10.5 covering against North
Carolina
Round 1 - UAB +4 upsetting LSU
Round 2 - Texas Tech +2 upsetting Gonzaga
Best games for bettors were (in
order):
Round 2 - Kentucky -3 over Cincy
Round 1 - Arizona -5.5 over Utah State
Round 1 - Boston College -7 over Penn
Round 1 - Iowa State -1.5 over Minnesota
Elite 8 - Illinois -10.5 over Wisconsin-Milwaukee
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When all was said and done, for the first time
in 25 years we had a championship game between a
No. 1 team and a No. 2 team. North Carolina may
have taken home the hardware, but it was Illinois’
season from the start. They began a season with
a 29-game win streak, held onto the No. 1 ranking,
and tied an NCAA record with 37 wins.
Hard to believe this is Issue #100 already. When
I started 3.5 years ago, I never expected it would
grow to the distribution level it is now. It has
been a lot of fun writing this column but I am running
out of ideas and would like to open it up to some
of the other great people we have at Bodog. Thank
you to all who have read the columns and an even
bigger thanks to the thousands who have written
in over the years. I will still be writing the occasional
column, but the next time you see “From the
Frontlines”, it will have a new look and a
new feel to it.
For now, with the passing of another peak season
and as I hand the reins of this column over to others,
let me leave you with my key tips to being a successful
bettors.
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Sportsbetting tips to keep in mind
As a final wrap up on the NCAA tournament and looking
ahead to the coming weeks, I’ll leave with
you with the following key betting tips that you
can easily apply to all your sports bets:
1. Money management is key. Keep your bets to a
consistent size and small enough to absorb a bad
streak. There is no sense betting $300 a game in
round 1 and going 3-7 only to have to shrink your
bets to $100 in round 2 where you go 5-1 so you
send up 8-8 but down a lot.
2. Shop for lines! Six games in the tourney had
line moves that would have affected the outcome
of your bet. Getting a half point on each of these
6 might have turned an 0-3-3 record (down 3 units)
into 3-0-3 (up 3 units)! What a difference at the
end of the tourney.
3. Don't bet on a game just because it is on TV.
I know it's tough every Monday night in the fall
and during March Madness, but the people who make
a living betting sports know that these games don't
necessarily provide better betting ops than non-TV
games (although they can if the betting public drives
a price up creating value on the other side). If
you really want to have a bet in because you are
going to watch a game, have a look at 1H and prop
wagering as well.
4. Don't branch into bet types or sports you are
not familiar with. Do your homework before expanding
your wagering portfolio.
5. Spend some time learning about moneylines, totals,
first half and half time bets. These present some
excellent betting opportunities and if you only
look at spreads, you are really handicapping yourself.
6. Be careful buying picks. There are some great
guys out there, but there are even more sharks.
Do your homework and try and get a personal referral
where possible. Also, make sure you understand what
the costs are and how much you need to bet/win to
cover the costs.
7. Have fun!
From the Frontlines is getting a new look!
Same name, same great content, but the next time
you see From the Frontlines it will have a new look
and feel to it. Stay tuned...
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Have a great week,
Rob
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Good luck with your wagers!
Please feel free to email me ([email protected])
or the guys at WagerOnFootball.com
with any questions you want answered and I assure
you they will have a good chance of making the column
(or a subsequent one) as I plan on making this a
monthly column. On behalf of me, my family, and
the entire WagerOnFootball.com & Bodog team,
have a great week everyone.
The enjoyment of your wagering experience with
us is my number one priority. Should you have any
questions, concerns, or comments, I will personally
ensure you are satisfied with your Bodog experience.
NFL
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