Sportsbook.com - NFL: Early Super Bowl Line
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If you have a crystal ball this is a good time
to get it out of the closet as Sportsbook.com
has updated its Early
Super Bowl Line .
The current line is AFC
(-11) over the NFC, and that
makes sense from a historical perspective
as half of the Super Bowls over the last
decade were decided by 10 points or more.
The first thing you need to do when examining
this future bet is look at the most likely matchup.
New England (16-0) is the heavy favorite to win
the AFC at 2:7 odds, while Dallas (13-3) is also
a big favorite in the NFC at 4:7 odds.
A New England
and Dallas finale would have major appeal both
from a football and fan standpoint. Dallas
is “America’s Team” and
their five Super Bowl wins tie Pittsburgh and
San Francisco for the most all-time. The Patriots
are the team of the century so far with their
three Super Bowl victories.
On the field,
there are more similarities. New England has
the NFL’s top-rated offense
behind glamour boy quarterback Tom Brady (aka
Mr. Gisele Bundchen) and star receiver Randy
Moss.
Tony Romo (aka Mr. Jessica Simpson) leads the
Cowboys and their third-rated offense, and they
plan to have their great receiver, Terrell Owens,
back from his ankle injury to start the playoffs.
The defenses have also been stingy this year
with each ranked in the Top 10.
So the question
is, if these teams meet in the Super Bowl what
would the final score look like?
Recent history
of New England in the Super Bowl suggests a
close game. The Pats won their three Super
Bowls over St. Louis (2001 season), Philadelphia
(2003) and Carolina (2004) by exactly three
points each. In fairness though, New England’s
offense this year is far superior to any of those
teams, while the defense is just a shade behind
the 2003 and 2004 squads.
New England and
Dallas would be another extremely close matchup.
Of course, the Patriots can’t
rely on Adam Vinatieri for any more game-winning
field goals, but you could expect a score similar
to New England 38, Dallas 34.
New England would have its fourth Super Bowl
in seven years and a record setting 19-0 season,
but the NFC would be cashing in at the betting
window on this wager. However, if New England
faces any other NFC team like Brett Favre and
Green Bay, you could be looking at a two-touchdown
blowout for the Patriots.
The next likely AFC team to play in the Super
Bowl is Indianapolis. The defending champs will
have to go to New England to get it done, but
that is certainly possible given the recent history
between the squads.
If Indianapolis
faces either Dallas or Green Bay in the Super
Bowl, the Colts should be favored by about
a touchdown. If San Diego somehow sneaks in
and goes against Dallas or Green Bay, then
you would be looking at a very close spread.
The worst case scenario from an NFC perspective
is that someone like the NY Giants or Washington
goes on a miraculous run and makes it to the
Big Dance. Their fate would not be pretty there.
So there are some scenarios for the Early
Super Bowl Line . For a look
at all the NFL future odds, please visit
here.
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