Wager On NFL Postseason - San Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts
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The San Diego Chargers (+9) and Indianapolis
Colts (-9) met at
Qualcomm Stadium on Nov. 11 with San Diego posting
a 23-21 victory in their most recent meeting
as the 3½-point underdogs.
It was just one of San Diego's recent money-making
outings against the Colts. The Chargers have
covered the spread in six of eight contests versus
Peyton Manning and company. As well, they are
4-1 ATS (against the spread) in the last five
meetings played in the RCA Dome.
The Chargers also won in Indianapolis in 2005
to deal the Colts their first loss of the season
in their 14th game. In San Diego's 26-17 win
over Indianapolis in that game, Chargers linebacker
Shawn Merriman sacked Manning twice and forced
a crucial intentional grounding penalty.
San Diego earned a date with the Colts by downing
Tennessee 17-6 at home. The Chargers are 6-0
ATS in their last six games following a SU (straight
up) win. They are also 42-20-2 ATS in their last
64 games overall.
- Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games
following a S.U. win.
- Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games
following a ATS win.
- Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
after allowing less than 15 points in their previous
game.
Last week's win in the wild-card round was San
Diego's first playoff win in 13 years and its
seventh consecutive SU victory. The win snapped
a four-game postseason losing streak that dated
to the 1994 season.
Following a 1-3 SU start, the AFC West champion
Chargers has gone 11-2 since, producing an 11-5
SU and ATS record. San Diego has covered the
spread in seven straight games. Offensively,
the Chargers are scoring 25.8 points per game
and collecting 315.3 yards.
The Colts posted a regular season SU mark of
13-3 and 9-7 ATS to earn a first-round bye. Under
home cooking, Indianapolis is 7-3 ATS in their
last ten and they've covered the number in their
last four playoff games.
Defensively, both teams are rock-solid. Indianapolis
has the NFL's top-ranked scoring defense, yielding
just 16.4 points per game. Meanwhile, San Diego's
defense ranked fifth in the league during the
regular season by allowing 17.8 points per game.
The Colts are prone to give up a fare share
of rushing yards, surrendering
106.9 per game on the ground. This may allow
reigning MVP running back LaDainian Tomlinson
to have a solid game, which San Diego needs in
order to have a shot at winning as the underdogs.
In Week 10's game against the Colts, Tomlinson
ran for 76 yards on 21 carries with a touchdown.
Phillip Rivers was horrible, going 13-of-24 for
104 yards and no touchdowns, with two pickoffs,
for a career-low passer rating of 30.6.
Manning, who orchestrates the NFL's third-best
offense that's scoring 28.1 points per game,
went 34-of-56 with two touchdowns in November's
defeat.
- Colts are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning
record.
- Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on
turf.
- Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
NFL odds list Indianapolis the 9-point favorites
with a game total of 46, which may play in favor
to San Diego supporters considering the underdog
has covered the spread in the last four games
between the two.
Analysis: If Tomlinson can exploit the Colt's
below average run defense, San Diego will be
able to keep this game close. As well, the Chargers
are 10-1 ATS in their last eleven games versus
AFC opponents, meanwhile, the Colts are 2-5 ATS
in their last seven against the AFC.
NFL Free Picks: San Diego Chargers +9
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Posted on 1/10/2008 4:16:34 PM
Wager On NFL Postseason - San Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts
By Robby Maddux
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