NFL - NFL - Denver at San Diego (8:00 PM ET – ESPN)
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At this point,
there aren’t a whole lot
of teams wanting to match up with San Diego in
the final two weeks or the playoffs, as the Chargers
are hitting their stride, having won four straight
games outright and ATS.
On Christmas Eve,
the Chargers look for five in a row when they
host Denver, a team that’s
fallen out of playoff contention with losses
in three of its L4.
The hosts are
a nine-point favorite and boast a record of
6-1 SU & ATS at home in ’07,
outscoring teams by a 28.1-15.4 margin. They
will also be looking to extend a three-game SU & ATS
winning streak vs. the Broncos in which they’ve
scored 41.3 PPG.
HC Mike Shanahan’s team wraps up a road
schedule which has seen them go 2-5 SU & 1-6
ATS. The SU winner of this AFC West battle is
19-1-3 ATS.
The Broncos will
kiss 2007 goodbye and hope for a better tomorrow,
but few would relish the role of spoiler like
Mike Shanahan. The offense could find a prime
opportunity to excel against a defense struggling
with injury, but it is the Denver defense that
may stand between the Broncos and victory.
Stopping RB LaDainain Tomlinson has will be
goal #1, a potential downfall for one of the
league’s worst rushing defenses.
The Chargers took way too long to figure out
the RB needed the football more often than not,
and now, despite earning a berth into the playoffs,
the stage is set for further disappointment.
The defense needs LB Shawne Merriman to make
the pass rush work, a facet that enhances nearly
every other aspect of the defense. The offense
has yet to provide a respectable passing game
despite the presence of TE Antonio Gates, and
continued struggles of QB Philip Rivers only
worsens the situation.
Keys to the Game
Denver is out for a taste of revenge after
being pulverized 41-3 at home in Week 5. Since
that embarrassment, the Denver offense started
scoring points to match yardage production as
Cutler became more comfortable with his receivers.
Division games normally bring out the best in
the revenge-minded underdog and the Broncos will
want to turn around 2-9 ATS mark versus AFC West
foes. The San Diego running game has come around
as Tomlinson has made his typical late-season
push. With two division tilts left, San Diego
will want to keep momentum building and are 22-9
ATS when they rush for 125 to 150 yards.
Trends
~ Denver is 21-31-2 ATS on MNF over the last
24 years and San Diego is 15-10 ATS in same
timeframe.
~ The SU winner of this AFC West battle is 19-1-3
ATS.
StatFox Edge – Broncos
cover
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