NFL - New England @ Baltimore (8:35 PM ET – ESPN)
NFL Football
Previews
Click
Here For Sportsbook Updated NFL Odds >>
New England’s quest for perfection was
nearly stopped by Philadelphia, but a 4th quarter
comeback gave the Pats their 11th straight win
to open ’07. A 12th straight, would be
in Baltimore against a Ravens team that has shown
little fight in losing five games in a row SU & ATS.
This is not a good
matchup for Baltimore, as it is 1-6 ATS in
its L7 games vs. teams passing for 253 or more
YPG, and 1-3 against offenses gaining more
than 6 YPP. HC Brian Billick’s
teams have just never had the firepower to keep
up with potent offensive clubs. New England is
expected to be a favorite in the near 20-range
and is on a 9-2 ATS run as road chalk. With a
nine-game difference in ATS records, this is
the largest road-chalk pointspread the NFL has
seen in over 16 years.
Beginning last
week, you could have entered any sportsbook
not named “Hilton” in
Vegas and failed to find the Patriots on the
board. The books have waived the white flag and
admitted what many of us have known: There is
no line of benefit that can be placed on the
Patriots as they currently exist. To get a wager
placed on the opponent would require a line never
before set in the NFL, and still the wager goes
New England’s way. That may be the most
profound compliment to their historical campaign
thus far.
The Ravens have fallen on hard times, sitting
at 4-7 SU with a sickening 1-10 ATS thus far.
The offense is anemic and the defense has failed
to reach what has become the level of expectation
built off the tremendous success of recent seasons.
The loss of Tony Pashos, the durability (or lack
thereof) for Jonathan Ogden, the slow progress
of rookie Ben Grubbs: Those are all offensive
line woes that have to be considered a significant
detriment for the Ravens this season, resulting
in a situation to avoid.
Keys to the Game
Bill Belichick would be wise to try and build
big lead against bumbling Baltimore. As the
Ravens proved in a disconcerting loss to Pittsburgh,
they can become misanthropes and are not above
taking cheap shots when frustrated. On the
presumption Baltimore CBs are healthy, they
at least have the capability to take away Moss.
The Patriots’ ride continues, 13-3 ATS
as a favorite of 10 or more points. For all
Brian Billick’s fantastic history as
a home-team coach, the Ravens are only 7-9-2
ATS as a home dog.
Trends
~ New England is 9-2 ATS as a road favorite over
the last two seasons.
~ Baltimore is 6-16 ATS when they allow 6.0 or
more total yards per play.
StatFox Edge – Patriots
minus points
USE
THESE NFL PREVIEWS TO HELP YOU WITH YOUR NFL
BETTING AT OUR BEST FOOTBALL SPORTSBOOKS ONLINE
FOR THIS SEASON
|
