Triple Crown Wagering - Betus.com Racebook
by: Betus.com
Sometimes it really isn't about whether you win or lose.
In the handicapping world, how you play the game does indeed count for something - thanks to proposition bets.
This Saturday's Preakness Stakes at Pimlico gives horseplayers an alternative to picking a winner out of what should be a competitive field.
Two alternatives, actually.
Time Props
The first of our BetUS.com Preakness props asks
whether the exact winning time of the race will
be "over" or "under" 115.25 seconds. That's 1:55.25 to you and me. Times at the Preakness have grown faster as the horses themselves and the technologies behind their sport have developed.
Over the last ten years,
only three Preakness champions have beaten the
aforementioned time; however, that includes the
last two winners, Bernardini and Afleet Alex.
Determining whether the Preakness will be a slow or fast race is a similar exercise to betting the total in a basketball game. You need to look not only at the speed of the horses involved, but the way they interact and the environment in which they work.
A race with a front-running
sprint specialist ought to be a quick one; this
Saturday, we have the likes of Hard Spun, Flying
First Class and Xchanger pointed at Pimlico.
Weather is another crucial aspect of this prop;
at press time, the forecast for Baltimore called
for mostly sunny conditions throughout the weekend.
No slop - times should drop.
Winning Margin
The other Preakness prop under discussion here
asks whether the winning margin will be "over" or "under" 2-1/4 lengths. That's the margin by which Street Sense won the 2007 Kentucky Derby over Hard Spun and Curlin.
All three horses are expected
to be in the Preakness, with the official draw
slated for Wednesday.
Every race is different, of course, but if things
go as they did at Churchill Downs, we should
see another tight race.
Street Sense had to charge
from 19 lengths back to win the Derby; since
the Preakness is the shortest of the Triple Crown
races at 1-3/16 mile (compared to 1-1/4 mile
for the Derby), Street Sense probably cannot
afford to fall that far off the pace at Pimlico.
Curlin is also more of a "shallow" closer, and Hard Spun's front-running style will almost certainly see him fall back to the pack even over the shorter distance.
On the other side of the
coin, if the Preakness field does include as
many sprinters as we're expecting, that lowers the likelihood of a slow grind with a mass finish like we saw at the Blue Grass Stakes in April.
The Preakness is scheduled for 5:00 p.m. Eastern time on Saturday, with NBC on hand to provide the television coverage.
Note: The complete field for this year's Preakness Stakes will be set on Wednesday, May 16.
Note: The
complete field for this year's Preakness Stakes
was set on Wednesday, May 16.
Keep checking the Locker Room all through the Triple Crown season, as we will cover the trainers, horses and jockeys in each race. You can get your early Preakness Stakes odds at Pimlico Racetrack and place your bets in now in the BetUS sportsbook in the Future / props section, under Horse Futures: 2007 Preakness Stakes.
Posted on 5/16/2007 7:00:42 PM
Betting the Preakness Stakes Props
By BetUS Staff
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