NFL Betting Opinion - The Furious Seven, Wildcard Edition
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We’re going to take a different spin this
week in the Furious Seven. We all know that the
top-seven are New England, Dallas, Indianapolis,
Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Jacksonville and Seattle.
So let’s take a look at the wildcard spots
and see which teams will be filling out the NFC
and AFC playoff spots come January.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-5)
Since they demolished
New Orleans this season, the Bucs can all but
clinch the NFC South with a victory this weekend
over the terrible Atlanta Falcons. Luke McCown
played admirably over the past two weeks, but
the Bucs football betting backers can breath
a sigh of relief with Jeff Garcia projected
to return. We’ll have
more on this game later this week, but be forewarned
about this spread: the Bucs are only 5-5 ATS
against Atlanta in the past 10 games. The last
time they met the dirty birds, however, they
buried them 31-7.
Next game: Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay (-11.5)
9. Cleveland Browns (8-5) and Buffalo Bills
(7-6)
The battle of the
AFC surprises! If you ever predicted in preseason
that Derek Anderson and Trent Edwards would
be the center pieces of a wildcard showdown
in Week 15, you’re either
a damn genius or a dirty, dirty liar. The Browns
are a solid 5-1 SU at home this season, while
the Bills are only 3-3 on the road.
But hope for the
Bills comes in the form of Stanford’s
own Trent Edwards who is 5-1 as a starter and
embarrassed Miami with three passing touchdowns
in the first half. The Cleveland secondary
is still, by far, one of the worst in the league
so this is a moment that Edwards will have
to be at his best yet again. Whomever wins,
will have a decisive edge in a tie-breaker
that could decide who gets that wildcard spot.
Next game: Buffalo vs. Cleveland (-5.5)
10. New York Giants (9-4)
The Giants are this high up because of their
record and for no other reason. They barely beat
a Philadelphia team that looks absolutely horrific,
and are still 8-5 ATS on the season. They can
handle Washington at home this weekend, but then
they face the surly Bills and the deadly New
England Patriots. As inconsistent as Eli has
been, so too have the G-Men. And their betting
backers are understandably nervous heading in
to the final three games of the season.
Next game: Washington vs. NYG (-4)
11. San Diego Chargers (8-5)
When all seemed lost on Sunday against the Titans,
the Chargers responded. Namely, Philip Rivers
responded by driving his team down for the final
score. Granted it helps to have a guy like LaDanian
Tomlinson romping and stomping in the backfield
for you. If Rivers can gain a semblance of consistency,
this Chargers team is going to be dangerous in
the playoffs. The Chargers have Detroit, Denver
and Oakland left on the table and have gone 3-0
ATS during their three game winning streak. Despite
Rivers, they still have the ninth best scoring
offense in the league with 23.7 points per game.
Next game: Detroit vs. San Diego (-10.5)
12. Minnesota Vikings (7-6)
Welcome to the
bandwagon, ladies and gentleman! The Vikings
and the Bills are everyone’s
favorite underdogs this year and for good reason.
They crushed the 49ers in spite of Adrian Peterson’s
worst performance this season with a 27-7 victory.
They are fantastic against the run and can run
the ball with absurd force. They average 172.2
rushing yards a game.
Still, Purple Jesus and company have to get
past an unpredictable Chicago team that is starting
Kyle Orton, then play Washington in the Metrodome
in Week 16. That game will ultimately decide
their fate, and they have to do their best to
keep some distance between them, the Saints and
the Cardinals.
Next game: Chicago vs. Minnesota (-8.5)
13. Tennessee Titans (7-6)
The Titans let
one get away against San Diego after dominating
the Chargers offense for three quarters. They
face the Chiefs, Jets and Colts in to finish
out the season, but their offense has been
erratic. Between Albert Haynesworth, Vince
Yong and Jeff Fischer, there’s a
lot to like about the Titans. But they are 1-4
SU and ATS in their past five games and the Chiefs
have gone 3-1 SU against them in the past four
games. This is a terrible time to implode, but
the Titans are doing it in tremendous fashion.
Next game: Tennessee (-4) vs. Kansas City
14. New Orleans Saints (6-7) and Arizona Cardinals
(6-7)
Can they overcome
that horrendous start to the season, loss of
Deuce and Reggie and a tough game against Arizona
this weekend? That’s
a lot to ask for, but if there’s anything
we know about these Saints, it’s that they
are resilient. The Saints have gone 1-8 ATS in
their last 9 home games, but have gone 4-1 SU
in their last five games when playing Arizona.
The Cardinals, on the other hand, firmly collapsed
against the Seattle Seahawks, who destroyed them
through the air. The Cardinals are 4-13 SU in
their past 17 road games and injuries to Larry
Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Kurt Warner have
slowed down this once dangerous offense. If Arizona
has any chance in this game, it will be through
the air against a pass defense that gives up
252.3 yards per game.
Next game: Arizona vs. New Orleans (-3.5)
> > Check
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Posted on 12/12/2007 11:11:03
AM
NFL Betting Opinion 2007 - The Furious Seven, Week 15
By Tim Furious
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