NFL Football – The Furious
7 After Week 14
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1. New England Patriots (12-0)
Two back-to-back losses against the Eagles and
Ravens has everyone scratching their heads across
the betting community. Are these guys running
out of gas? It sure looks like it. Any time you
get pinned to the ground by the Ravens should
be a red flag. The Patriots are still the favorite
to win the Superbowl, but that undefeated season
looks might vulnerable at this point. A test
against a real NFL football team is on the schedule
this weekend and we will all get to see how legit
Brady and the Bunch are against Pittsburgh.
Next game: Pittsburgh vs. New England (-13)
2. Dallas Cowboys (11-1)
To say that the Cowboys were lucky that Favre
hurt himself is kind of missing the point. Brett
Favre fell victim to his own gun slinging ways
as Wade Philips and his staff devised a way to
shut him down early. For all the flack I have
given the Dallas secondary, they are making up
for it by playing smarter and smarter. Still,
Aaron Rogers came in to throw for 201 yards and
a score.
Tony Romo was making
Romosexuals out of everyone as he dialed in
309 yards for 4 touchdowns and decisively led
his men to victory. It will be Church vs. State
as God’s unofficial team
takes on America’s Team. Dallas is already
a double-digit favorite on the road, and will
be going up against a twenty-eighth ranked Detroit
defense that will be decimated in this matchup.
The Cowboys are officially the team to beat in
the NFC.
Next game: Dallas Cowboys (-11) vs. Detroit
Lions
3. Indianapolis Colts (10-2)
Despite injury after injury after injury, the
Colts still keep coming. After decisively handing
the Jaguars a loss on Sunday, the Colts can essentially
lock in to cruise control for the rest of the
season. They have been mildly unpredictable to
the betting investor, going 7-5 ATS and are playing
conservative ball in light of Marvin Harrison
riding the injury reserve all season.
The scary thing
about the Colts is that we have never seen
them at full-strength once this season. And
they’re still only a two-loss team.
A slew of defensive players are injured, including
Raheem Brock and Tank Johnson, and the aforementioned
Harrison has yet to see action this season. When
the Colts lock up the division for good in a
couple weeks, expect them to throw it in to neutral
and let this team heal up 100%.
Even with the rash of injuries, the Colts are
stampeding away with the third best offense in
the league averaging 28.1 points per game. Their
defense is also third in the league with only
16.4 points per against.
Next game: Indianapolis (-9.5) vs. Baltimore
4. Green Bay Packers (10-2)
Favre went 5-of-14 and notched two picks before
bowing out of the game against Dallas with an
elbow injury. Of greater concern is the defense,
which got absolutely turned inside out by Terrell
Owens and Jason Witten, who combined for 13 receptions
and 223 yards and a score. The Pack have a chance
to strut their stuff against a Raiders team,
and must prove that their rushing defense can
stop Justin Fargas before we hand them anymore
NFC title considerations.
Next game: Oakland Raiders vs. Green Bay (-10.5)
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3)
The Steel Town
Boys continue to jerk the Bengals around by
the neck, winning last week’s
match 24-10. Roethlisberger came out of the gates
slow and erratic, but steadied his play and rose
to the occasion, connecting with Hines Ward for
two scores in the victory. Again they have proven
they play up to the level, or down to the level,
of their opponents.
Which could be
a good thing considering their hosts this weekend.
New England takes their twelve game winning
streak back home and try to defend it against
Pittsburgh, who has usually given the Pats
plenty of trouble. The Steelers are double-digit
road dogs, despite having the best defense
in the league (12.9 points per game). Can Willie
Parker unleash his furious speed against New
England, taking pressure of Big Ben? The Steelers
may have caught the Patriots at the right time
and we’ll have much more on
the game later this week in the locker room.
Next game: Pittsburgh vs. New England (13)
6. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4)
Punish your players with size and steady quarterback
play and you will win football games. That is
becoming the mantra of the Jaguars, who have
a superlative cakewalk at home against the Panthers
this coming weekend. The Jaguars are an impressive
8-4 ATS this season and are 2-1 SU and ATS against
the Panthers all-time.
Next game: Carolina vs. Jacksonville (-10.5)
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-4)
What do a bottle of fine merlot, David Hasslehoff
and the Tampa Bay Bucs all have in common? They
all get better with age. Veterans Joey Galloway
and Ike Hilliard have both crested the dreaded
three-zero, but are producing like fiends. Galloway
burned the house down early with seven catches
for a whopping 159 yards.
With the stunning
comeback victory against New Orleans, the Bucs
and their second-ranked defense have all-but
clinched the NFC South. With their remaining
games featuring the likes of Atlanta, Carolina,
Houston and San Francisco, the Bucs could see
home field advantage during wildcard weekend.
Did you bet on them to make the playoffs like
I told you to at the kick-start off the season?
Probably not. It’s never too late
to hope on the bandwagon if you feel like the
saucy Bucs can challenge either Dallas or Green
Bay for the NFC title.
Next game: Tampa Bay (-3) vs. Houston
8. San Diego Chargers (7-5)
The eighth spot was tough to fill out because
the Browns, Seahawks and Titans are all deserving.
But it has to go to a team that is essentially
raging towards an AFC West title. The arrival
of Chris Chambers has completely changed the
way defenses line up against this team. They
are averaging 24.0 points over their last five
games since being decimated by Adrian Peterson.
The Chargers are
that team. They’re incredibly
difficult to predict, volatile on defense and
maturing into an explosive offense. Yep, they’re
peaking at the perfect time. Taking down the
Titans would do wonders for their confidence
as they continue to gel under the watch of Norv
Turner. This team could be a massive playoff
upset special and that savvy betting investor
will keep an eye on these 7-5 ATS Chargers during
the home stretch. You’ve been warned.
Next game: San Diego vs. Tennessee
> > Check
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Posted on 12/6/2007 11:11:03 AM
NFL Betting Opinion 2007 - The Furious Seven, Week 14
By Tim Furious
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