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The New York Jets
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New York Jets
2007 Preview
(My
Sportsbook) - Soon after he was spotted
at a restaurant table chatting with New York Jets
coach Eric Mangini, things began to go awry for
one Tony Soprano. And not so long after it had
seemed that the fictional Soprano had the world
on a string.
The real-life Mangini, who currently finds himself
in the catbird's seat in terms of reputation,
is trying to keep his world from unraveling in
the same manner as the HBO character.
Mangini defied the skeptics in 2006, making
those that questioned his relative youth and
his team's shaky talent base eat their words
during a 10-6 playoff campaign. The Jets overachieved
in a major way, making those long-suffering fans
begin to feel that those dreams of their team's
first Super Bowl trip in nearly 40 years weren't
just pure fantasy.
But the heightened expectations could be difficult
for Mangini and his team to meet in 2007.
The schedule that did New York a lot of favors
down the stretch in '06 looks tougher, at least
on paper. For starters, the Jets open with the
Patriots and Ravens, a couple of teams earmarked
for double-digit wins this season.
And with the playoff berth in their back pocket,
there will be no one overlooking Mangini's club
as they might have a year ago. The element of
surprise, a major feature of the Jets' schemes
on both offense and defense a year ago, might
become easier for opponents to predict.
Doubts have crept in about the staying power
of a team that still has some holes in the two-deep
and still features a quarterback, Chad Pennington,
whose health will be a question mark for as long
as he puts on a jersey.
Mangini thrived in the role of underdog a year
ago. Will he again prove that he is the all-knowing,
all-seeing boss of this mob of Jets, delivering
his team back to the postseason for a second
straight season?
Or will his crew's hopes abruptly fade to black,
Soprano-like?
Stay tuned for the answer.
Below we take a capsule look at the 2007 edition
of the New York Jets, with a personnel evaluation
and prognosis included therein:
2006 RECORD: 10-6 (2nd, AFC East)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2006, lost to New England,
37-16, in AFC Wild Card Game
COACH (RECORD): Eric Mangini (10-6 in one season
with Jets, 10-6 overall)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 20th rushing, 17th passing,
18th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 24th rushing, 14th passing,
6th scoring
FIVE KEY GAMES: New England (9/9), at Buffalo
(9/30), at Cincinnati (10/21), Pittsburgh (11/18),
at Miami (12/2)
KEY ADDITIONS: QB Marques Tuiasosopo (from Raiders),
RB Thomas Jones (from Bears), RB Tony Hollings
(from Colts), FB Darian Barnes (from Dolphins),
DE Eric Hicks (from Chiefs), DE David Bowens
(from Dolphins), DE Andre Wadsworth (from Cardinals),
DE Michael Haynes (March 22), DE Kenyon Coleman
(from Cowboys), ILB David Harris (2nd Round,
Michigan), CB Darrelle Revis (1st Round, Pittsburgh)
KEY DEPARTURES: QB Patrick Ramsey (to Broncos),
RB Derrick Blaylock (to Redskins), RB Kevan Barlow
(to Steelers), RB Cedric Houston (left team),
FB B.J. Askew (to Buccaneers), OL Trey Teague
(released), DE Dave Ball (to Panthers)
QB: After beginning training camp enduring questions
about whether he'd even make the team, Pennington
not only won the starting job but lasted an entire
season without getting hurt. Pennington's numbers
weren't earth-shattering, and his arm strength
still left much to be desired, but his leadership
skills and decision-making were the best he had
ever displayed. The departure of Patrick Ramsey
means that 2006 second-round draft pick Kellen
Clemens moves into the No. 2 role. Given Pennington's
injury history, the Oregon product must be ready
to play if needed. Expected to hold the clipboard
this year will be ex-Raider Marques Tuiasosopo,
who remains something of a mystery after making
just two starts during six years in Oakland.
RB: Five different running backs received carries
for the Jets last year, and the fact that just
one of those players - Leon Washington (650 rushing
yards, 4 TD, 25 receptions) - remains on the
roster should tell you a lot about how that experiment
went. Washington indeed gave New York a spark,
but his 5- foot-8, 200-pound stature meant that
team had to find another player with every-down
potential. That player arrives in the form of
Thomas Jones (1210 rushing yards, 6 TD, 36 receptions),
who revitalized his career in two years in Chicago
and immediately becomes a focal point of the
Jets offense. Behind Washington and Jones there
isn't much to recommend, especially after Cedric
Houston went AWOL from the club in the early
stages of training camp, citing a lack of passion
for the game. The team brought in former Texan
Tony Hollings to get some camp carries, but you
can bet Jets brass will be scanning the waiver
wire for a better No. 3 option come September.
At fullback, former Cowboys and Dolphins starter
Darian Barnes is an upgrade over the departed
B.J. Askew.
WR/TE: Most pundits regard the Jets' receiving
corps as being nothing to write home about, but
with 173 catches and over 2,000 yards between
them a year ago, you can't fault the production
of starters Laveranues Coles (91 receptions,
6 TD) and Jerricho Cotchery (82 receptions, 6
TD). Coles re-established himself as one of the
most reliable possession receivers in the game
a year ago, and Cotchery delivered on the promise
that preceded him during a breakout season. The
problem really lies behind those two players
on the depth chart. Justin McCareins' (23 receptions,
1 TD) numbers have steadily declined since he
arrived in New York in 2004, and converted college
quarterback Brad Smith (9 receptions, 103 rushing
yards) provides an interesting matchup problem
for defenders but isn't ready for a significant
role as a pure wideout. The only meaningful wideout
addition in the offseason was seventh-round draft
pick Chansi Stuckey, who is intriguing but has
had injury problems. The team lacks a first-rate,
pass-catching tight end, though Chris Baker (31
receptions, 4 TD) is a solid pro. Behind Baker
on the depth chart are blocker Sean Ryan (6 receptions)
and 2006 fifth-round draft choice Jason Pociask,
who missed his rookie season with a shoulder
injury.
OL: This area of the
roster was the one that needed the most work
entering 2006, and for the most part, the Jets
staff did a terrific job getting it ready for
primetime. Rookie left tackle D'Brickashaw
Ferguson and center Nick Mangold weren't perfect,
but both justified their first-round selection
and will be staples of the o-line again. The
rest of the unit remains sketchy. Right guard
Brandon Moore and right tackle Anthony Clement
are adequate but won't need to make Pro Bowl
reservations any time soon. Left guard Pete Kendall
is 34 years old, fading, and reportedly in the
doghouse of team management and the coaching
staff for complaining about his contract and
being something of a "clubhouse lawyer." Don't
be surprised if Kendall is cut or traded before
the regular season begins. Adrien Clarke, a four-game
starter with the Eagles in 2005, could be in
line for a promotion if Kendall is deemed expendable.
Other line backups should include holdovers Wade
Smith, Adrian Jones, and Na'Shan Goddard.
DL: Mangini's move from a 4-3 to a 3-4 base
defense had negative ramifications for the line,
which struggled to hold up against the run during
the latter stages of the 2006 season. In response,
the team acquired free agents such as David Bowens
(20 tackles, 5 sacks with the Dolphins), Michael
Haynes, Eric Hicks (7 tackles with the Chiefs),
and especially Kenyon Coleman (30 tackles, 4
sacks with Dallas) to help stem the tide. Coleman,
the former Cowboy, should immediately step into
a starting role on the right side, relegating
Kimo von Oelhoffen (28 tackles, 1 sack) to a
backup job. Bowens projects as a backup on the
left side behind Shaun Ellis (58 tackles, 5 sacks),
and Hicks has a chance to make the club as a
nose tackle backing Dewayne Robertson (61 tackles,
2.5 sacks). The Jets would like to see 2005 third-round
pick Sione Pouha develop into a player, but Pouha
missed last season due to a knee injury and could
be battling Haynes and holdovers Bobby Hamilton
(30 tackles) and Rashad Moore (10 tackles) for
the last spot on the roster.
LB: The Jets' linebacking corps had its strengths
and weaknesses last season. Those are easy to
identify based on the offseason additions the
team made in that department. Inside linebacker
Jonathan Vilma (113 tackles, 1 INT) and outside
man Bryan Thomas (77 tackles, 8.5 sacks) both
adjusted reasonably well to the change in scheme,
and will keep their starting jobs in 2007. The
other two returnees - outside linebacker Victor
Hobson (100 tackles, 6 sacks, 1 INT) and inside
man Eric Barton (101 tackles, 4.5 sacks) - could
have a tougher time cracking the lineup. On the
outside, Hobson will be challenged by holdover
Matt Chatham (25 tackles) as well as former No.
3 overall pick Andre Wadsworth, who has been
praised for his play in camp after sitting out
with injuries for the past six (that's right,
six) seasons. On the inside, the team used a
second-round draft choice on David Harris, who
the team would like to get on the field sooner
rather than later. In the backup forces, 2006
third- round draft pick Anthony Schlegel figures
to make the squad, but holdovers Brad Kassell
(30 tackles) and Cody Spencer (13 tackles) could
be sweating out their spots late into camp.
DB: To disguise its flaws, New York did a great
deal of blitzing last season, a tactic that put
a wealth of pressure on an oft-maligned group
of cornerbacks. Justin Miller (52 tackles), Andre
Dyson (62 tackles, 4 INT), Hank Poteat (32 tackles),
Drew Coleman (26 tackles, 1 sack), and David
Barrett (33 tackles, 3 INT) all took their turns
in the starting lineup, with mixed results, prompting
the club to trade up to draft Darrelle Revis
in the first round of the April draft. If Revis
learns quickly (a situation not exactly aided
by Revis' holdout during the early stages of
training camp), he will press Poteat and Miller
for a starting assignment opposite Dyson. That
leaves Coleman and Barrett, one of whom will
probably get the axe when Mangini pares down
his roster. The safety spots are more secure
with Kerry Rhodes (98 tackles, 5 sacks, 4 INT)
back to man the strong side and Erik Coleman
(101 tackles, 1 INT) holding down the free safety
slot. Eric Smith (27 tackles, 2 INT), a third-round
pick last year, will make the team as a backup,
and Rashad Washington (33 tackles) will return
if the Jets opt to keep four safeties.
SPECIAL TEAMS: Most Jets fans disagreed with
his selection in the second round of the 2005
draft, but kicker Mike Nugent (24-27 FG) has
been more than capable during his two seasons
in the Meadowlands. He and punter Ben Graham
(44.2 avg.) will both be back in 2007, as will
long snapper James Dearth. Justin Miller (28.3
avg., 2 TD) made the Pro Bowl after a sensational
season as the team's kickoff returner a year
ago, and should remain in that spot. Revis could
give the Jets the punt return impact they have
lacked since Santana Moss filled that role during
the Herm Edwards regime.
PROGNOSIS: Even if you're one of those that
believes that the Jets are a team on the rise,
you'd have to be awfully delusional to argue
that Mangini's club has gotten closer to the
loaded New England Patriots. That leaves the
Jets on one of the two AFC Wild Card lines, with
clubs like the Bengals, Jaguars, and Broncos
scratching and clawing for the same piece of
real estate. The schedule, which is tough right
out of the box, doesn't leave New York with much
margin for error, although the Jets will get
to play the comparatively weak Dolphins and Bills
a couple of times each. Those factors aside,
are the Jets a better team as 2007 begins than
they were a season ago? With a year in Mangini's
system under their belt and some important personnel
additions on both sides of the football, the
answer is yes. This team should win between eight
and 11 games and be a part of the playoff picture
heading into the final weeks. In this year's
AFC, whether the Jets reach closer to the eight
or to the 11 will determine whether they make
a playoff return or not.
August 6, 2007, at 06:06 PM ET
WagerOnFootball.com - New York Jets Predictions
It's the second year
behind the headset for Eric Mangini as he attempts
to lead the Jets to the promised land in the AFC
East. Tough matchups are up again this season though
with the Patriots as always the favorites and an
up and coming Bills and Dolphins teams will battle
with the Jets for second in the division. The Jets
aren't quite there yet as they're lacking to many
weapons to be a force just yet, but if Pennington
clicks with his wideouts and the running game actually
gets going a 9-7 season is a possibility.
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