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The Houston Texans
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2007 HOUSTON TEXANS PREVIEW
(My
Sportsbook) - If you're Matt Schaub, it
has to be great to be a Houston Texan right
about now.
Schaub is finally a starter after caddying for
Michael Vick in Atlanta for three years, and
also has a six-year, $48 million contract in
his back pocket.
The fact that he was traded in the spring to
a team with an all-time record of 24-56 (.300)?
Who cares?
The fact that in its five-year existence, the
only thing Houston has done consistently is to
allow its quarterbacks to eat the Reliant Stadium
grass? Not a problem.
The fact that Schaub's supporting cast pales
in comparison to those that AFC South contemporaries
Peyton Manning and Byron Leftwich enjoy in Indianapolis
and Jacksonville, respectively? Won't lose sleep
over it.
Why should Schaub be so positive?
Consider the phrases "Michael Vick questions" and "PETA
protesters" and you'll realize why the stifling
heat of Houston must feel a little bit like paradise
to Schaub at this moment.
Below we take a capsule look at the 2007 edition
of the Houston Texans, with a personnel evaluation
and prognosis included therein:
2006 RECORD: 6-10 (4th, AFC South)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: None
COACH (RECORD): Gary Kubiak (6-10 in one year
with Texans, 6-10 overall)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 21st rushing, 27th passing,
28th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 20th rushing, 22nd passing,
t25th scoring
FIVE KEY GAMES: Kansas City (9/9), Indianapolis
(9/23), at Jacksonville (10/14), at Tennessee
(12/2), Denver (12/13)
KEY ADDITIONS: QB
Matt Schaub (from Falcons), RB Ahman Green
(from Packers), WR Bethel Johnson (from Eagles),
WR André Davis (from Bills),
WR Keenan McCardell (from Chargers), WR Jacoby
Jones (3rd Round, Lane), T Jordan Black (from
Chiefs), DT Amobi Akoye (1st Round, Louisville),
DT Jeff Zgonina (from Dolphins), LB Danny Clark
(from Saints), LB Shawn Barber (from Eagles),
CB Tyrone Poole (from Raiders), CB Jamar Fletcher
(from Lions)
KEY DEPARTURES: QB David Carr (to Panthers),
RB Domanick Williams (released), RB Chris Taylor
(out for season/injured), WR Eric Moulds (to
Titans), T Zach Wiegert (released), DE Antwan
Peek (to Browns), DT Seth Payne (to Jaguars),
DT Lional Dalton (not tendered), DT Cedric Killings
(not tendered), LB Kailee Wong (retired), LB
DaShon Polk (not tendered), LB Troy Evans (to
Saints), CB Lewis Sanders (to Falcons), CB Jason
Horton (out for season/injured), S Michael Stone
(to Giants), S Glenn Earl (out for season/injured)
QB: The David Carr era is over after five seasons
in Houston, with the 24 wins the team produced
during that timeframe not enough to keep the
former No. 1 overall pick in the mix. Enter Schaub
(208 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 INT with Atlanta),
who started just two games in three seasons while
stuck behind Michael Vick in Atlanta but who
showed enough in his few appearances to make
several teams covet his services. In the long
run, Schaub won't be much more successful than
Carr unless the team gets serious about addressing
its offensive line woes, but the Virginia product
will at least bring a fresh perspective to the
proceedings. Backup Sage Rosenfels (265 passing
yards, 3 TD, 1 INT), who has played well basically
every time he's been given an opportunity during
a six-year career, is one of the better backups
in the league. Rookie Jared Zabransky will be
kept around to hold the clipboard if Kubiak decides
to keep three QBs.
RB: The Texans were dealt a major blow just
prior to last season, when it was revealed that
the former Domanick Davis (now Williams) would
miss all of 2006 and possibly be done for his
career with a knee injury. Houston was forced
to make do with the likes of Ron Dayne (612 rushing
yards, 5 TD, 14 receptions), Wali Lundy (476
rushing yards, 4 TD, 33 receptions), and Samkon
Gado (217 rushing yards, 1 TD, 16 receptions)
in the backfield, meaning their NFL rank of 21st
in rushing was actually an achievement. All three
of those players are back, though none will be
the starter after the Texans picked up free agent
Ahman Green (1059 rushing yards, 46 receptions,
6 TD with Green Bay) in the offseason. Green
is 30 and has had injury problems, but Houston
still believes he can be a reliable every-down
back. The smart money is on Dayne and Lundy both
making the squad as backups, with Gado being
subject to the final cut. At fullback, Vonta
Leach (6 receptions, 1 TD) should make the team
over fellow holdover Jameel Cook (18 receptions)
and rookie Jon Abbate.
WR/TE: One season after disappearing during
the second half, Houston wideout Andre Johnson
rebounded by posting career-highs in catches
(103) and yards (1147) in '06. The performance
was all the more remarkable in that Johnson had
no real complement on the other side of the field,
a situation that doesn't look to have changed
much heading into 2007. Projected No. 2 Kevin
Walter (17 receptions) scares no one, which is
why dazzling third-round draft pick Jacoby Jones
(Lane) has a great chance to take his job in
the early stages of the season. Also pressing
for playing time will be Browns, Patriots, and
Bills castoff Andre' Davis (2 receptions with
Buffalo), who worked his way onto the team with
a strong preseason, holdover David Anderson (1
reception), and return specialist Jerome Mathis.
The club also picked up 37-year-old vet Keenan
McCardell (36 receptions with San Diego) in the
offseason, but it appeared that McCardell would
be cut as the end of the preseason neared. The
tight end rotation will consist of Owen Daniels
(34 receptions, 5 TD), who outperformed expectations
as a rookie; ex-Bronco Jeb Putzier (13 receptions),
who was a contributor last year; and veteran
blocking specialist Mark Bruener (9 receptions,
2 TD).
OL: It doesn't take more than a casual glance
at the Houston Texans to assess that offensive
line play has been this team's Achilles heel
throughout its existence. Yet for some reason,
Houston's brain trust insists on tinkering with
this group every year rather than simply blowing
it up, which might make more sense. The problems
start at left tackle, where would-be starter
Charles Spencer will begin the year on the PUP
list, meaning journeyman Ephraim Salaam is the
starter and Chiefs wash-out Jordan Black is his
backup. The guards, Chester Pitts (left side)
and Fred Weary (right side) are capable run blockers
but won't be seen waiting at the mailbox for
their Pro Bowl invitations. Veteran center Steve
McKinney has battled injury problems, and right
tackle Eric Winston is a second-year work in
progress. The team used second-day draft picks
on tackle Brandon Frye and guard Kasey Studdard,
both of whom should make the 53-man roster. With
center Mike Flanagan looking set to lose his
job to McKinney, the club could see fit to cut
the 11-year vet and allow holdover Drew Hodgdon
to be the top backup at center and guard.
DL: It had to be a difficult year for Texans
end Mario Williams (47 tackle,s 4 sacks), who
never stopped hearing about how he wasn't Vince
Young or Reggie Bush and wasn't fully healthy
for much of the campaign. If Williams fails to
approach double-digit sacks in his second season,
the taunts are going to get louder. With fellow
starting end Anthony Weaver (35 tackles, 1 sack,
1 INT) coming off knee surgery, converted linebacker
Shantee Orr (32 tackles, 2 sacks) stands to get
regular snaps opposite Williams, along with fellow
holdovers Jason Babin (26 tackles, 5 sacks) and
N.D. Kalu (21 tackles, 2 sacks). The newest face
up front will be tackle Amobi Akoye, the No.
10 overall pick in the draft who will join with
another former first-rounder, Travis Johnson
(11 tackles), to try to provide a presence up
front. The backups at tackle are both solid,
with 15-year-vet Jeff Zgonina (33 tackles with
Miami) boasting a wealth of experience and Anthony
Maddox (37 tackles, 2 sacks) seeking to make
more of an impact after endearing himself to
Kubiak with strong play last year.
LB: The Texans' best defensive player in 2006
was middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans, who burst
onto the scene as a rookie and stopped every
ball carrier in front of him. Ryans will be lining
up next to a new man on the strong side, as former
Raider and Saint Danny Clark (29 tackles with
New Orleans) won a starting job in training camp
after outplaying holdover Charlie Anderson (16
tackles). Weak side backer Morlon Greenwood (109
tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) hasn't quite lived up
to his previous billing in two seasons in Houston,
but remains the team's best option at that spot.
There is not a great deal of depth behind the
starters, with Anderson, almost-spent veteran
Shawn Barber (49 tackles with Philadelphia),
and seventh-round draft choice Zach Diles (Kansas
State) all one injury away from filling a starting
job.
DB: Apart from the offensive line, the Houston
secondary has consistently been the weakest part
of the Texans' roster. The unit lacks playmakers
and isn't especially competent in coverage, yet
most of the usual suspects will remain for the
2007 season. Cornerbacks Dunta Robinson (82 tackles,
2 INT) and Demarcus Faggins (29 tackles, 2 sacks,
1 INT) were both starters a year ago, and will
remain in the lineup despite combining for just
four picks a year ago. C.C. Brown (76 tackles,
1 sack, 1 INT) is back in his familiar free safety
spot, and fellow holdover Jason Simmons (47 tackles,
1 INT) has been earmarked for a starting job
on the strong side now that Glenn Earl is out
for the year with a foot problem. Jamar Fletcher
(37 tackles, 3 INT), who started a couple of
games in Detroit in 2006 after coming over from
San Diego, looks like the nickel back though
veteran Tyrone Poole (15 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT
with Oakland) will challenge him. Rookies Fred
Bennett (South Carolina) and Brandon Harrison
(Stanford) will make their initial contribution
on special teams, as will former Colts d-back
Von Hutchins (5 tackles). Holdover corners Dexter
McCleon (28 tackles, 1 INT) and Dexter Wynn (8
tackles) look like prime candidates for the chopping
block.
SPECIAL TEAMS: Kicker Kris Brown (19-25 FG)
is not considered one of the best in the league
at his position, but has been able to keep his
job by not missing many big kicks. Incumbent
punter Chad Stanley (41.6 avg.) is not likely
to be as lucky, as it appeared that former Ram,
Dolphin, Jet and Redskin Matt Turk (43.5 avg.
with St. Louis) would seize his job as the end
of the preseason neared. Long snapper Bryan Pittman's
spot on the team is safe. If Jerome Mathis and
rookie Jacoby Jones are both healthy, the Texans
could have one of the most dangerous return games
in the league. Mathis (27.4 kickoff return avg.)
appeared in just two contests last year due to
a foot problem, but had two kickoff returns for
touchdowns as a rookie in 2005. Jones made headlines
with two punt returns for touchdowns during the
2007 preseason.
PROGNOSIS: Matt Schaub should be an upgrade
over David Carr at the quarterback position,
though it is foolhardy to think that any player
in his first season as an NFL starter, learning
a brand new offense, will necessarily thrive.
Schaub doesn't have great weapons around him
apart from Andre Johnson, and the offensive line
remains a bottom-tier unit. Defensively, this
club is pretty average as well, with a couple
of good young playmakers in the front seven but
not a whole lot of help in the secondary. The
Texans will be generally well- coached and won't
represent an easy out for anyone on their schedule,
but this does not figure to be any better than
a .500 team earmarked for a spot somewhere behind
Indianapolis and Jacksonville in the AFC South.
WagerOnFootball.com - Houston Texans Predictions
I'm just going to come
right out and say it. The Texans are probably not
going to contend for a playoff spot this year.
I sure went out on a limb didn't I? I'll give it
to them though, the future is looking brighter
for this expansion franchise. To have a chance
in 2007 the Texans need to be competitive and will
hope that Matt Schaub does better behind center
than David Carr did. He needs to be as good as
advertised in his 2 starts. The D just has to keep
building, and there are some playmakers to lead
them. 7 wins is a stretch.
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