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2007 DENVER BRONCOS PREVIEW
(My
Sportsbook) - After an offseason littered with tragedy and
transition, the Denver Broncos believe they're
about to embark on a glorious new era.
When we last saw the Mile High City's favorite
sons, the Broncos had closed out the calendar
year 2006 with a disheartening overtime loss
to the upstart San Francisco 49ers. A second-half
collapse that become an all-too-familiar refrain
during the course of last season not only cost
Denver a victory in that season finale, but also
a spot in the AFC's postseason parade.
New Year's Eve 2006 may have been a bad night
for the organization, but New Year's Day 2007
turned out to be far worse. Just a few hours
after that painful defeat, starting cornerback
Darrent Williams was killed in a drive-by shooting
after leaving a downtown club.
The bad tidings didn't stop there. Less than
two months after Williams' murder, reserve running
back Damien Nash collapsed and died following
a charity basketball game. In April, Denver released
middle linebacker Al Wilson, the heart and soul
of the team's defense, because of salary and
injury concerns.
Despite all that turmoil, there's plenty of
reason for optimism for the new- look Broncos
in 2007. A bountiful offseason landed big-play
corner Dre' Bly in a trade with Detroit and two
other impact players, running back Travis Henry
and tight end Daniel Graham, via free agency.
That trio will be among a host of new faces for
a proud franchise that viewed last year's 9-7
finish as a major disappointment. As many as
11 players (six defensive, five offensive) considered
starters on last year's squad are either no longer
with the Broncos or have been relegated to reserve
status.
The most significant chance, however, took place
with five games to go in the 2006 regular season.
That's when head coach Mike Shanahan handed the
keys to the Denver offense to quarterback Jay
Cutler. While the rest of his team wilted during
the stretch run, the rifle-armed rookie displayed
skill and poise that Bronco fans hadn't seen
since the legendary John Elway walked off into
the sunset nearly a decade ago with the ultimate
retirement gift -- a Super Bowl victory.
Cutler's eyebrow-raising audition and immense
potential have re-energized a rabid fan base
that never completely bought into the Jake Plummer
era, but the grace period may be short for the
newly-anointed franchise savior. The Broncos
weren't that far away from returning to the league's
elite last year and enter 2007 with high expectations.
Below we take a capsule look at the 2007 edition
of the Denver Broncos, with a personnel evaluation
and prognosis included therein:
2006 RECORD: 9-7 (t2nd, AFC West)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2005, lost to Pittsburgh,
34-17 in AFC Championship
COACH (RECORD): Mike Shanahan (123-69 in 11
seasons with Broncos, 131-81 overall)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 8th rushing, 25th passing,
17th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 12th rushing, 21st passing,
t8th scoring
FIVE KEY GAMES: Jacksonville (9/23), San Diego
(10/7), at Detroit (11/4), at Kansas City (11/11),
at Oakland (12/2)
KEY ADDITIONS: QB Patrick Ramsey (from Jets),
RB Travis Henry (from Titans), FB Paul Smith
(from Rams), WR Brandon Stokley (from Colts),
TE Daniel Graham (from Patriots), G Montrae Holland
(from Saints), T Ryan Harris (3rd Round, Notre
Dame), DE Jarvis Moss (1st Round, Florida), DE
Tim Crowder (2nd Round, Texas), DT Jimmy Kennedy
(from Rams), DT Sam Adams (from Bengals), DT
Alvin McKinley (from Browns), DT John Browning
(from Chiefs), LB D.D. Lewis (from Seahawks),
CB Dr Bly (from Lions, March 2), P Todd Sauerbrun
(from Patriots)
KEY DEPARTURES: QB Jake Plummer (retired after
trade to Buccaneers), RB Tatum Bell (to Lions),
RB Cedric Cobbs (released), RB Damien Nash (deceased),
T George Foster (to Lions), G Tim Duckworth (to
Saints), G Cooper Carlisle (to Raiders), DE Ebenezer
Ekuban (out for season/injured), DE Kenard Lang
(released), DE Courtney Brown (released), DT
Michael Myers (to Bengals), DT Gerard Warren
(to Raiders), LB Al Wilson (released), LB Patrick
Chukwurah (to Buccaneers), LB Warrick Holdman
(out for season/injured), LB Keith Burns (not
tendered), CB Darrent Williams (deceased), P
Paul Ernster (released)
QB: Although Cutler had moments where he looked
like a raw rookie struggling to grasp the speed
and complexity of NFL defenses, there's no debating
the fact that the Denver offense was a more efficient
and effective operation with him at the controls
than when the mercurial Plummer was running things.
The Broncos averaged 24.8 points and 320.8 yards
in Cutler's five starts, compared to 17.7 points
and 304.3 yards under the command of Plummer,
who was shipped to Tampa Bay in March and subsequently
retired. One-time Redskins quarterback- of-the-future
Patrick Ramsey was signed in the offseason to
provide Cutler with a seasoned understudy. The
former first-round pick has started 24 career
games during his five-year career.
RB: The Broncos sent 1,000-yard rusher Tatum
Bell to Detroit as part of the trade which reeled
in Bly, then quickly filled that void by signing
Henry just days after the powerful back was cut
by Tennessee in a salary-related move. The six-year
pro rebounded strongly from two injury-plagued
seasons to rush for 1,211 yards with a career-best
4.5 yards-per-carry average last year, and should
thrive in Shanahan's zone-blocking scheme that
has made stars out of lesser players (see Olandis
Gary, Mike Anderson, Reuben Droughns) if he can
stay healthy. Mike Bell (677 rushing yards, 8
TD, 20 receptions) was a nice rookie find, as
the undrafted free agent showed good short-yardage
and receiving skills during his debut campaign,
and gives the Broncos a reliable backup. Denver's
depth at fullback, where both returning starter
Kyle Johnson and ex-Ram Paul Smith are capable
blockers and receivers, has enabled the team
to switch talented bruiser Cecil Sapp (80 rushing
yards, 8 receptions) to tailback and compete
with Mike Bell for No. 2 duties.
WR/TE: The receiving corps underwent a changing
of the guard in 2006, as Javon Walker supplanted
longtime stalwart Rod Smith as Denver's top target.
The former Packer delivered an excellent first
season with the Broncos, snaring 69 passes for
1,084 yards and eight touchdowns in spite of
the team's instability under center, and emphatically
proved that an ACL tear which cost him virtually
the entire 2005 campaign was no longer a concern.
Smith's 52 catches and 512 receiving yards last
season were his lowest totals since 1996, and
the 37-year-old figures to be further phased
out due to the emergence of gifted youngster
Brandon Marshall (20 receptions, 2 TD), the offseason
signing of veteran Brandon Stokley, plus a slow
recovery from spring hip surgery which will likely
cost the franchise icon at least the first six
weeks of the regular season. Stokley (8 receptions,
1 TD) also has injury issues, as an Achilles
tear limited him to just four games in '06, but
the 31-year-old can be a valuable presence in
the slot if he comes back 100 percent. Marshall
flourished when given an extended look late last
season, and the second-year wideout has the size
and speed to become a dangerous big-play threat
for years to come. Graham (21 receptions, 2 TD)
comes over from New England to provide an upgrade
over the workmanlike Stephen Alexander (18 receptions,
2 TD) and is expected to play a significant role
in the air attack. So is fellow tight end Tony
Scheffler (18 receptions, 4 TD), a speedy field-stretcher
who developed a good rapport with Cutler as a
rookie. Brian Clark and Domenik Hixon, the latter
of whom spent his entire debut season on injured
reserve, will supply depth and help out in the
return game.
OL: This media-shy group has long been a staple
of the Broncos' success under Shanahan, but the
unit underperformed as a whole last season. The
left side of tackle Matt Lepsis and guard Ben
Hamilton is very good, while five-time Pro Bowl
honoree Tom Nalen remains a master technician
as he enters his 14th NFL season at center. Last
year's right-side regulars, Cooper Carlisle and
George Foster, were both inconsistent, however,
and subsequently are now drawing paychecks from
other clubs. Undrafted free agent Erik Pears
started 10 games after Lepsis went down to a
season-ending knee injury in week six of last
season and has a slight edge on brittle vet Adam
Meadows in the battle for the starting nod at
right tackle. Free-agent acquisition Montrae
Holland (New Orleans) and second-year man Chris
Kuper are competing for snaps at right guard.
The reserve force, which should include interior
player Chris Myers, converted tight end Chad
Mustard and rookie tackle Ryan Harris, is promising
but unproven.
DL: This area has undergone a major facelift
under new defensive coordinator Jim Bates, who
has installed a scheme that relies on oversized
tackles clogging up the interior and quick ends
whose primary task is to pressure the quarterback,
something the Broncos have had trouble doing
in recent years. Denver will head into Week 1
with four new starters on the line, as Gerard
Warren and his cap-eating contract were exiled
to Oakland during preseason, fellow tackle Mike
Myers left via free-agency and sturdy end Ebenezer
Ekuban (63 tackles, 7 sacks) is out for the season
after he ruptured his Achilles in the second
preseason game. Kenard Lang, the incumbent left
end, was recently cut after losing his starting
job to John Engelberger (30 tackles, 1 sack).
The Broncos brought in four seasoned linemen
-- tackles Sam Adams (14 tackles, 2 sacks with
Cincinnati) and Jimmy Kennedy (39 tackles, 1
sack with St. Louis) and versatile ex-Brown Alvin
McKinley (45 tackles, 1 sack with Cleveland)
-- during the offseason and added three inexperienced
ones in 2007 draftees Jarvis Moss (1st round),
Tim Crowder (2nd) and Marcus Thomas (4th). Crowder
appears to have the inside track at taking over
Ekuban's spot, while Moss and second-year standout
Elvis Dumervil (17 tackles, 8.5 sacks) should
give Denver a pair of young explosive pass rushers.
Amon Gordon, a seldom-used third-year tackle
who spent last year on the practice squad, has
worked has way into a possible starting gig alongside
the beefy Adams, who's still an effective run
stuffer at age 34 but needs a limited workload.
Kennedy, the former first- round washout in St.
Louis, and Thomas will also be part of the inside
rotation.
LB: D.J. Williams (76 tackles, 1 sack), a mainstay
on the strong side since his rookie season of
2004, has been moved to the middle to fill the
sizeable void left by the departure of Wilson,
who went to five Pro Bowl's during his eight-year
tenure in Denver. Williams is faster and more
athletic than Wilson but will be hard-pressed
to match his predecessor's instincts and leadership
skills. Oft-injured veteran Nate Webster (11
tackles) is the probable new starter at the SAM
position and can also shift inside if Williams
struggles, with the speedy and steady Ian Gold
(90 tackles) back to man the weak side. Former
Seahawk D.D. Lewis (9 tackles, 1 sack) was signed
to serve as the primary backup, but depth has
been thinned due to a season-ending spinal cord
injury suffered by Warrick Holdman, a 16-game
starter for Washington last year, during training
camp. Louis Green (8 tackles) and journeyman
Wesly Mallard (12 tackles) are both quality special-teamers
who should fill out the roster.
DB: Easing the pain of Darrent Williams' loss,
at least from a football standpoint, is the addition
of Bly (59 tackles, 3 INT), a two-time Pro Bowl
participant who will team with the incomparable
Champ Bailey to give Denver arguably the best
cornerback tandem in the game. Bailey may have
had the most dominant year of any defensive player
in the NFL last season. Teams rarely threw his
way, yet the perennial All-Pro still tied for
the league lead with 10 interceptions along with
11 passes defended. Both corners are proficient
in man coverage, which should ease the burden
on aging safeties John Lynch (83 tackles) and
Nick Ferguson (35 tackles, 1 INT). Although free
safety Lynch's range has declined, the hard-hitting
36-year-old compensates with smarts and his patented
all-out mentality. Ferguson's knee problems which
forced the eight-year pro to IR last November
are a concern, but Curome Cox (27 tackles, 1
INT) and underrated nickel back Dominique Foxworth
(61 tackles, 1 INT) are both capable fill-ins.
Karl Paymah (26 tackles) will reprise his role
as the dime corner, while fellow Washington State
alum Hamza Abdullah (11 tackles) is considered
Lynch's possible heir apparent.
SPECIAL TEAMS: While Jason Elam's leg strength
isn't quite what it used to be, the 15th-year
kicker is still deadly accurate inside 50 yards
and is coming off a banner 2006 in which he made
a career-best 93 percent (27-of-29) of his field
goal attempts. Paul Ernster (41.7 avg.) was nothing
special on punts and kickoffs, however, and did
not survive the first round of cuts due to the
return of veteran Todd Sauerbrun, who averaged
nearly 44 yards a punt with the Broncos in 2005
but was cut loose after being hit with a four-game
suspension to begin last season. Quincy Morgan
(24.9 avg.) did a good job running back kickoffs
last year and Hixon, a terrific return man as
a collegian, is the favorite to take over Darrent
Williams' job of handling punts. The reliable
Mike Leach will be back for his sixth consecutive
season as Denver's long snapper.
PROGNOSIS: Last year's Denver squad couldn't
live up to the lofty standards set by the 2005
edition, which won 13 games and reached the AFC
title game, and that feeling of underachievement
was evident in the way the roster was overhauled
in the spring. It's unclear whether such a drastic
makeover was necessary, however, considering
the fact that the Broncos lost four games at
home in which they held second-half leads last
season. One of those stinging setbacks was dealt
by eventual Super Bowl champion Indianapolis,
and another came at the hands of powerhouse San
Diego. The pieces are in place for Denver to
present a serious challenge to the Chargers for
AFC West supremacy and for a deep playoff run
-- it's just not certain yet whether they will
fit. A remodeled defense will need time to jell
but has the potential to be quite good, while
the offense could border on unstoppable provided
the young skill players continue to make strides
and Henry can remain healthy. But the success
of the 2007 Broncos will ultimately be dictated
by how Cutler holds up under the grind of a first
full NFL season as a starter.
August 30, 2007, at 06:12 PM ET
WagerOnFootball.com - Denver Broncos Predictions
The Broncos finished
2006 with a sour taste in their mouths after narrowly
missed out on the playoffs, but a restocked lineup
and the arm of Jay Cutler could have them back
in the postseason mix in the fall. Shanahan brings
in Travis Henry at RB, and with a healthy year
in this offense Javon Walker should be an even
more explosive option. Add Graham at TE, and one
of the best O-lines in the business and you can
see easily why my money is on the Broncos to win
the AFC West with a 10 win season.
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