Free Week 15 NFL Expert Picks

By Jeff Wilson: Week 15 has four selections, plus another two that just missed the cut. There is a Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday night game this week. It looks like the NFL is going for world domination, or at least total network domination.

Editor’s Note: The selections in this column are purely the opinion of the writer, and are not being endorsed by any parties.

Games Considered But Not Picked

Miami (+1) at Buffalo:

Considered picking Buffalo: Miami is 6-7 and coming off a big win at home over New England. Running back Sammy Morris had a good game with 123 yards, and he will be asked to do it again with Ronnie Brown still out. If the running game falters, Joey Harrington will need to have two good games in a row, always a risky proposition.

Buffalo (6-7) got a good road win against the Jets last week, but they were also fortunate in the turnover department. The Bills have not been great at home this year (3-3), but anytime you play in December in Buffalo versus a warm weather team, the home field advantage gets bigger.

Denver (-2.5) at Arizona:

Considered picking Denver: Denver (7-6) seems like a strange favorite pick as they have lost four games in a row, and two straight since rookie, Jay Cutler took over at quarterback. Arizona (4-9) has an impressive rookie quarterback in Matt Leinart, and the team has won three of their last four games, including at home over Seattle last week.

Denver is favored because the coaching match-up of Mike Shanahan versus Dennis Green is heavily slanted in the Broncos’ favor. Denver needs this game to remain in the playoff hunt, and I think Shanahan figures out a way to get it done, even on the road with his inexperienced quarterback.

Week 15 Selections

Dallas (-3) at Atlanta:

Atlanta (7-6) has won two straight games over Washington and Tampa Bay, but they didn’t play real great in either of them. The Falcons are also hurting big-time at running back as Warrick Dunn and Jerious Norwood are both questionable at best to play in this game. Michael Vick is a great runner, but he can’t do it all himself.

Dallas (8-5) is coming off an embarrassing home loss to New Orleans. You can be sure that Coach Bill Parcells gave the entire team an earful, except for maybe the very sensitive Terrell Owens. Now, the Cowboys have to rebound in a tough spot on the road during a night game, but they will get it done.

NFL Free Expert Pick: Dallas

NY Jets (+3) at Minnesota:

Minnesota (6-7) stayed alive for an NFC Wild Card spot after beating Detroit, 30-20. Even after that win, I am surprised they are a three point favorite after being an underdog against the lowly Lions. Brad Johnson and the offense are not going to put up a lot of points in this game even if Chester Taylor is able to go.

The Jets are 7-6 after laying an egg against Buffalo. While it was a devastating loss, they are still just one game behind Cincinnati and Jacksonville for the Wild Card lead. New York is 4-2 on the road this year, and have won their last two at New England and Green Bay. I’ll take the points.

NFL Free Expert Pick: NY Jets

Jacksonville (-3.5) at Tennessee:

Jacksonville (8-5) has looked very good in their last two games against Miami and Indianapolis. Those wins have been fueled by a running game that is now second in the NFL. Still, the Jaguars’ road record is just 2-4, and they have not proved they can consistently win on the road.

Tennessee (6-7) is on fire right now having won four straight games, and they have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games. The only one they didn’t was a 37-7 blowout loss at Jacksonville. The Titans have a little extra motivation because of that game, and I say they keep this game very close.

NFL Free Expert Pick: Tennessee

Philadelphia (+5.5) at NY Giants:

Philadelphia has won two straight games with quarterback Jeff Garcia at the helm. Those were home to Carolina and at Washington. The Redskins game is a little misleading as the Eagles got killed in total yardage and gave up over 200 yards on the ground. They also lost the time of possession battle 37:46 to 22:14.

The Giants (7-6) are a dangerous team coming off their win at Carolina last week. New York should be able to run the ball effectively with Tiki Barber, and they don’t have to worry about wearing him out since he is retiring. Eli Manning has five touchdowns versus no picks in the last two weeks, a great sign for Sunday.

NFL Free Expert Pick: NY Giants

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