Divisional
Playoffs Weekend Betting Previews
Saturday, January 14,
2006, 4:30 p.m. ET
Washington Redskins (11-6)
at
Seattle Seahawks (13-3)
The Seahawks will be out to avenge
one of their two regular season losses when
they host the Redskins on Saturday. Washington
stole a victory back in week four when fill-in
kicker Nick Novack booted a 39-yard field goal
in overtime to give his squad a 20-17 win at
home. Unlike the previous meeting, Seattle will
be the rested team. The Redskins had a bye in
week three, but this time the Seahawks are fresh
off a bye in the first round of the playoffs.
When
the Redskins have the ball: Ideally,
the Redskins would like to give Clinton Portis
20-plus carries, just as he did when he took
25 carries for 90 yards back in week four. However,
the masked avenger missed playing time last
week while nursing dual shoulder injuries. Given
the way Mark Brunell has been playing lately,
the Redskins will need Portis and his backfield
mates to move the ball in order to win on the
road. One of Clinton's shoulders is still sore,
but he will start on Saturday. If he should
suffer a setback, it would mean more carries
for backup tailbacks Ladell Betts and Rock Cartwright.
As much as the Redskins want
to run the ball, they will have a hard time
doing so against Mike Holmgren's defense. The
Seahawks have held their last five opponents
to an average of 63 rushing yards. Even more
impressively, only one opposing running back
scored a rushing touchdown in Seattle all season.
Thus, fantasy owners should expect no more than
75 yards from Portis, and an end zone visit
is unlikely.
It's hard to get excited about
Brunell this week despite his previous success
(226 yards and two touchdowns) against the Seattle
defense. The last he passed for more than 200
yards in a game was way back in mid-November.
Granted, he's had a couple of decent performances
since then, but for the most part he's been
ineffective, which was certainly the case last
week against the Buccaneers.
To expect Brunell to top the
200-yard mark this weekend would be more foolish
than wasting three hours of your life watching
the People's Choice Awards. Sandra Bullock is
America's favorite actress? Next you're going
to tell us that "Hill Street Blues"
is America's favorite television drama. The
only real hope Brunell has of putting up big
numbers is if the Seahawks have more injury
issues in the secondary. Unfortunately for Mark,
cornerbacks Marcus Trufant and Andre Dyson have
been practicing this week and are slated to
start on Saturday.
Although we're not expecting
a great yardage performance from the Redskins
signal caller, it wouldn't surprise us if he
threw a pair of touchdown passes. As we mentioned,
the Seahawks have held all but one running back
out of the end zone on their home turf this
year, meaning Mark might get a chance to throw
inside the red zone. He tossed a one-yard touchdown
to Robert Royal, and a four-yard scoring strike
to Mike Sellers in the last meeting between
these teams, so don't be surprised if he shows
more love to the H-backs this week.
Another target could be tight
end Chris Cooley, who had four grabs for 61
yards back in week four. However, even Cooley
admits that opponents have focused on shutting
him down ever since he scored three touchdowns
against the Cowboys back in week 15. "I've
had a lot more attention since the Dallas game
as far as everything goes," Cooley told
the Washington Post this week.
Santana Moss put up a respectable
six grabs for 87 yards against the Seahawks
in week four. However, he disappeared when it
mattered most, as Brunell never threw his way
when the team was inside the 10-yard line. Moss
is always a deep-ball threat, but the longest
touchdown the Seahawks surrendered to a wide
receiver at home this year was an 18-yard scoring
strike. In other words, we do not expect Moss
to beat the secondary for a long score. As usual,
he is the only Washington wideout worth mentioning.
Kicker John Hall booted multiple
field goals only twice in 10 games this season,
so pencil him in for one trey at the most.
When
the Seahawks have the ball: Although
most eyes will be focused on Shaun Alexander,
we believe the player to watch will be Matt
Hasselbeck, who passed for a solid 26-of-38
for 242 yards and a touchdown back in week four.
Although the Bald Bomber is 0-2
in the playoffs, he has turned in a pair of
impressive performances. He passed for 305 yards
against the Packers in 2003, and 341 yards and
two scores against the Rams last year. So even
though the Seahawks lost both contests, it wasn't
due to poor play on Hasselbeck's part. Granted,
Packers cornerback Al Harris picked off a pass
and returned it for a touchdown in overtime,
but it was one of only two picks Elizabeth's
brother-in-law was tagged for in the two playoff
games.
Matt will have his work cut out
for him this week when he faces a defense that
ceded multiple touchdown passes only twice all
season. That being said, defensive coordinator
Gregg Williams' squad has given up an average
of 222 passing yards in their last five games.
As such, fantasy owners should expect roughly
225 yards and at least one score from Hasselbeck
on Saturday.
Alexander wasn't so great against
the Redskins in the last meeting. Granted, he
took 20 carries for 98 yards and a score, but
those or mere mortal numbers via Shaun's lofty
standards. Expect similar numbers this week
when he faces a defense that has not allowed
an opposing running back to reach paydirt in
six straight games. The Redskins have ceded
an average of 82 rushing yards during those
same contests. This is Alexander we're talking
about, so he should at least flirt with the
century mark again and find the end zone once.
The last game Darrell Jackson
played in prior to undergoing knee surgery was
the week four tilt against Washington. Although
team officials believe he played the game with
torn meniscus in his right knee, he still had
seven grabs for 55 yards and a score. Given
that he found the end zone on a bad knee, we
have a feeling that he'll do so again this week.
Yes, his knee is still tender, but he will be
lining up across from former teammate Shawn
Springs, the Redskins cornerback who sat out
last week with a groin injury.
We're also expecting a solid
outing from Bobby Engram, who dropped a potential
game-tying touchdown pass during the closing
seconds of the playoff game against the Rams
last year. Engram will do his best to make up
for that drop when he faces a defense that let
him catch nine balls for 106 yards back in week
four. Engram set season-high marks for receptions
and yards during that game. He hasn't come close
to matching that production since then, so don't
be surprised if he fails to top the 100-yard
mark this time around.
Joe Jurevicius remains a scoring
threat as the team's No. 3 receiver. However,
the Skins held him to one catch for 17 yards
the last time around. Big Joe has scored in
three of his last four games, making him a potential
target if Hasselbeck throws more than one touchdown
pass.
Although Jerramy Stevens is having
a breakout season, the Redskins surrendered
only two tight end scores all season. Buccaneers
tight ends Alex Smith and Anthony Becht combined
for 40 yards last week, so don't expect much
more than that out of Stevens, who might be
asked to stay home and block more given the
pressure Washington has been known to throw
at opposing quarterbacks.
The Redskins have allowed multiple
field goals in two of their last three games,
which would seem to indicate that Josh Brown
will convert more than one trey on Saturday.
However, Brown logged only nine treys in eight
home games this season, so history suggests
he'll be held to a single three-pointer.
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