Fantasy
Football from BodogFantasy.com
January 24, 2006 4:00 PM
ET
When it comes to tight ends,
there's Antonio Gates… and then there's
a chasm the size of the Grand Canyon…
and then there's everybody else.
Just as quickly as Gates arrived
on the scene last year, he left former position
kingpin Tony Gonzalez in his wake in 2005. He's
unquestionably the best fantasy tight end in
football, and no one else is even close. There's
already talk that Gates may creep into the early
second round or—gasp!—late first
round of some fantasy drafts next year. Yes,
he's that good.
In fact, Gates is so good that
some productive efforts that, in other seasons,
might have been lauded are barely blips on the
radar.
The good news for fantasy fans
is that there are enough up-and-coming tight
ends to make missing out on Gates bearable.
Here's a glance back at the ups
and downs of the 2005 season, as well as a peek
at what might be in store for 2006:
What
Went Right in 2005
Antonio Gates picked up right where he left
off—after sitting out a club-mandated
one-game suspension at the start of the season
that quite possibly cost San Diego a playoff
spot—with 10 touchdowns and 1,101 yards
to pace all tight ends. Moreover, he has 23
touchdowns in his last 27 games—a pace
most wide receivers would kill for and one you'd
probably even accept from your running backs.
He has to be defended like a wide receiver,
and until clubs figure out how to contain him
he's pure fantasy gold.
While nit-picking commissioners
debated whether an H-back is technically a running
back or a tight end, Chris Cooley followed up
what many assumed was a flukish six touchdowns
in 2004 with seven touchdowns in 2005. He also
nearly doubled his catches, more than doubled
his yardage, and quite possibly single-handedly
altered fantasy fates with his three-touchdown
explosion in week 15.
A pair of tight ends long on
potential but for the most part lacking on delivery
heading into the season finally lived up to
the hype. Despite missing the final game of
the season, Jeremy Shockey posted a career-best
seven touchdowns and came within three yards
of matching his personal high of 894 yards,
set during his rookie season. Todd Heap was
similarly successful despite the tag team of
Anthony Wright and Kyle Boller at quarterback,
and he too notched career highs in yardage (855)
and scores (seven).
What
Went Somewhat Right in 2005
Yardage-wise, it was business as usual for Tony
Gonzalez, who topped 900 yards for the fifth
time in six years. Unfortunately, he was an
afterthought in the red zone and scored just
two touchdowns—a seven-year low for the
former positional kingpin.
Alge Crumpler remained Michael
Vick's favorite target. Unfortunately, while
that meant a career-high 877 yards it also meant
just five touchdowns—none in the final
five games of the season.
Rookies Heath Miller and Alex
Smith started with a bang, scoring thrice during
kickoff weekend. Miller would score five more
times over the next five weeks before being
shut out for the final nine weeks of the season.
At least he got back to the end zone; Smith
failed to score another touchdown all season.
Collectively, Titans tight ends
caught 149 balls for 1,359 yards and eight touchdowns;
unfortunately, those digits were spread amongst
four players. Co-leaders Erron Kinney and Ben
Troupe each recorded 55 catches but also took
turns getting hurt or giving up stats to the
other guy—or to third tight end Bo Scaife.
What
Went Wrong in 2005
Over the past four seasons, Bubba Franks had
been a red zone security blanket for Brett Favre,
scoring an average of seven touchdowns per year.
Injuries limited Franks to just 10 games in
2005, but that can't be the only explanation
for him reaching paydirt just once all season
long.
L.J. Smith was supposed to emerge
as the alternate target to Terrell Owens. Then,
when T.O. went crazy, Smith should have become
the go-to guy. Unfortunately, he just plain
disappeared, failing to score after Halloween
and posting almost half as many touchdowns as
last year despite almost twice as many catches.
When the Jets gave up a first-round
draft pick to acquire Doug Jolley from the Raiders,
one had to assume that Jets offensive coordinator
Mike Heimerdinger was about to turn Jolley into
the next Frank Wycheck. Instead, Jolley was
missing in action for the first three months
of the season before recording a third of his
catches and yardage—and his lone touchdown—in
one game in mid-December.
Jermaine Wiggins led the Vikings
in receiving in 2004 and should have been a
perfect match with quarterback Brad Johnson's
short-arm attack. Instead, Wiggy caught two
fewer passes in two more games, shaved almost
150 yards off his total, and scored just one
touchdown.
Looking
Ahead to 2006
The future doesn't appear to hold much change
at the tight end position. Gates is still far
and away the most significant fantasy player,
and he'll be followed by the usual assortment
of guys whose ceiling is in the 900-yard, eight-to-10
touchdown area. There are no big-name free agents
at the position, unless you include Brandon
Manumaleuna, but the draft could yield an intriguing
candidate or two. Kellen Winslow may finally
be ready to play some football in Cleveland,
but aside from his potential presence the list
will be largely unchanged from what we saw in
2005.
1. Antonio Gates, Chargers:
Such a difference-maker at his position that
he could conceivably creep into the bottom of
the first round.
2. Jeremy Shockey, Giants: Assuming Eli Manning
continues to develop, Shockey could easily turn
into the Giants' red-zone go-to guy.
3. Todd Heap, Ravens: Will the addition of legitimate
wide receivers in Derrick Mason and Mark Clayton
help or hurt?
4. Alge Crumpler, Falcons: Still the best pass-catcher
on Atlanta's roster.
5. Chris Cooley, Redskins: Will Al Saunders
turn him into the next Gonzo?
6. Heath Miller, Steelers: If Jerome Bettis
retires, he could become the Steelers' top red-zone
option.
7. Tony Gonzalez, Chiefs: Herm Edwards didn't
exactly overwork his tight ends in New York,
and Gonzo appears to be trending downward in
a run-first offense.
8. Ben Troupe, Titans: It's time for him to
step to the fore and produce on a consistent
basis.
9. Dallas Clark, Colts: Another candidate for
more red-zone love if his team loses their touchdown-scoring
running back.
10. L.J. Smith, Eagles: He'll benefit from having
Donavan McNabb throwing him the ball instead
of Mike McMahon.
11. Jason Witten, Cowboys: We can still see
Patrick Crayton stealing Witten's thunder and
hear Bill Parcells saying it doesn't matter
who catches the ball.
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12. Ben Watson, Patriots: He's
simply too talented to remain in Daniel Graham's
shadow much longer.
13. Jerramy Stevens, Seahawks: Finished strong
(three touchdowns in his last four games, another
one in the NFC title game) and appears to have
put the off-field stuff behind him (knock on
wood).
14. Jermaine Wiggins, Vikings: The West Coast
offense usually means good things for the tight
end.
15. Randy McMichael, Dolphins: Just three of
his 15 career touchdowns have come after Halloween.
Bust:
Marcus Pollard, Lions: The decision to take
the $6 million and close out his career catching
balls from Joey Harrington instead of Peyton
Manning isn't really panning out.
Sleeper
(1): Kellen Winslow, Browns: If Steve
Heiden and Aaron Shea can combine for 61 catches,
554 yards, and four touchdowns, one has to like
the chances of a presumably healthy (and contractually
motivated) Winslow putting up very nice numbers.
Sleeper
(2): Wesley Duke, Broncos: Denver may
have found "the next Antonio Gates"
in Duke, who played college hoops at Mercer
and is still learning the game of football.
The Broncos could use a playmaker in the passing
game; why not the Duke?
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