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consider the numbers he is teasing, while professional
bettors understand the concept of moving the spread
around key numbers.
Bookmakers will gladly write action all day long
from bettors who fail to understand the basic
principals of teaser betting. In truth, they are
teasing an unsophisticated bettor by allowing
him to move a pointspread in his favor with the
premonition that he is getting the better of the
number.
A teaser bet is simple to make, but very few
understand how to make one the right way. When
considering an NFL teaser, there are two rules
that need to be followed each and every time.
First, one needs to recognize key numbers in the
NFL because of the scoring patterns, certain numbers
occur more than others. When considering a teaser
play, the most value lies when you can cross as
many key numbers as possible. The key numbers
in the NFL are 3, 4, 6, 7, and 10. Of those five
numbers, 3 and 7 are the most relevant and games
land on each more frequently than any other number
in the NFL. Obviously, the most productive and
profitable way to bet a teaser involves all games
when one can cross both the 3 and 7.
The second rule is the way we can apply the numbers
to a teaser and structure the bet accurately.
There are two ways in which we can manipulate
the numbers in our favor and bet our teaser correctly.
Teasing a favorite greater than 7 and no more
than 8 1/2, we cross 7, 6, 4, and 3. Next, by
teasing an underdog in the spread range of 1 1/2,
2, and 2 1/2, we again cross the key numbers of
3, 4, 6, and 7. By utilizing teasers in these
parameters, we have enhanced our positive expectancy
and made the wager correctly.
If one combines these structural advantages
with some sound handicapping, the profits will
add up and the teaser bet will be a permanent
fixture in a successful betting portfolio.
The above is based on using two-team, six point
NFL teasers. These bets are almost obsolete in
Las Vegas because bookmakers realize that sharp
players who utilize the strategy will continue
to beat them year after year. The standard used
to be +100 (even) money on 2-team teasers, but
now most sportsbooks understand their liability
and have gone to -110 pricing.
Keep in mind that the above example is for football
only and does not apply to basketball. The unique
scoring nature of football allows for key numbers
which is not the case in basketball and is why
teasers should not be played in any other sport.
STEVE MERRIL is a professional sports handicapper
and a documented member of The Professional Handicappers
League.
Steve Merril is a documented member of The Professional
Handicappers League.
Read more of his articles and get his premium
plays here.
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