October 13, 2005 3:00
PM ET
Early this week, my Inbox has
been flooded with proposals, rejections, controversy,
and outrage.
No, my colleagues and I have
not been discussing the most recent episode
of "The OC". Yes, it's the height
of fantasy football's trade season.
With five weeks in the books,
fantasy owners not only have a pretty clear
picture of their roster's composition, but in
addition, they also have a fairly good idea
about where they stand in the playoff race.
In standard leagues in which the playoffs begin
in week 14, the halfway point of the regular
season is quickly approaching.
Combine that with major injuries
to key players, and bye weeks that many owners
frankly do not consider carefully enough, and
you've got yourself a scorching hot stove.
In virtually every league, there
is a seemingly unbeatable team sitting pretty
at 5-0. Likewise, there's a hard-luck loser
looking up from the cellar at 0-5 (and almost
assuredly complaining about how unfair it is
that they face the highest-scoring team every
week). And while both owners have very different
priorities, they and all the other owners in
your league should be busy scouring rosters
to better their lot for week six and beyond.
If you're a clear contender,
you don't have many immediate needs. You likely
have scored both because of early-round success
(LaDainian Tomlinson, Terrell Owens) and late-round
sleepers (Carson Palmer). At 5-0 or 4-1, you
are well on your way to a playoff berth, and
assuming there are no byes in your playoff brackets,
it doesn't matter a whole lot what seed you
earn.
But that doesn't mean that you
can rest on your laurels. If you're a forward-thinking
future champion, you should be looking at your
matchups in those critical postseason weeks
and assessing your chances. For example, do
you own Corey Dillon? You're probably pretty
happy about his five touchdowns and your stellar
record, but do you realize that in weeks 13-16
he will face four top-10 scoring defenses (the
Jets twice, the Bills, and the Bucs)?
My hunch is that you could easily
swap him for Brian Westbrook (along with perhaps
a receiver for depth). B-Rabbit may not be the
workhorse back that Dillon is, but he does have
four scores and faces the Seahawks, Giants,
Rams, and Cardinals in weeks 13-16. It doesn't
get much more attractive than that, and those
are the exchanges you sure-fire contenders should
be looking at in the coming weeks.
On the flip side, those of you
at 0-5 or 1-4 in non-keeper leagues must treat
week six like your Fantasy Bowl. It's must win,
baby, and you can't afford to go to battle without
exhausting all possibilities for putting the
best possible team on the field. For those of
you in this situation who have studs like Donovan
McNabb and Larry Fitzgerald on the bye collecting
dust, I'm sorry to say that you have very little
choice but to move your precious commodities.
Hey, the truth hurts, but what good will six
weeks of Donnie Mac do when you're mathematically
eliminated and can't hold onto him after the
season?
Target a fellow owner with depth
at quarterback or an undefeated team that can
afford to take a gamble this week. Make him
an offer he can't refuse. Turn McNabb into two
position players who can help you win this week
and can serve as trade commodities going forward.
Is someone sitting on both Jake Delhomme and
Matt Hasselbeck? Swap McNabb for Delhomme and
a buy-low candidate like LaMont Jordan. One
thing is certain: Delhomme and Jordan will out-produce
McNabb this Sunday. Unfortunately, that's all
that matters in your situation.
We've discussed the two extremes,
but that doesn't give the rest of you a pass.
Fantasy owners everywhere underestimate how
devastating bye weeks can be. Did you build
your receiving corps around vacationing receivers
Owens and Anquan Boldin? Ouch. If you're staring
1-5 in the face and trail several teams in the
playoff race, strongly consider moving Boldin
to one of those contenders, even if it means
you accept a slightly less valuable receiver
(Jimmy Smith) and a high-upside guy for your
bench (Chester Taylor).
Not necessarily hurting from
injuries, bye weeks, or a horrible start? That
doesn't mean you can't take advantage of others'
misfortunes. In one league, I've collected quite
a bit of running back depth with guys like Willie
Parker, Ronnie Brown, Tatum Bell, and T.J. Duckett
backing up Dom Davis and Cadillac Williams.
One of my competitors appears to have lost Thomas
Jones from what was already an exceptionally
thin backfield.
I've suggested a trade
in which I send him Fitzgerald and Brown for
Owens. For a slight (yet still significant)
downgrade at receiver, he gets a guy he can
plug into his backfield immediately. And for
my No. 2 wide receiver and one of several backs
I've been cultivating on my bench, I get the
best receiver in fantasy football. It's a win-win
situation, and just the sort of thing that is
burning up that stove this time of year.
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