Week
Eight Fantasy Football Observations & Tips
October 27, 2005 11:00
PM ET
There hasn't been an official
mid-point of the football season since the NFL
extended the schedule 17 weeks. And maybe we
could have waited until all teams played eight
games before we started our midseason review
of keeper league quarterbacks, but we're just
not that patient. Besides, we're half-way through
the regular season in fantasy football, so that's
close enough. Join us in getting a jump start
on the midseason talk as we examine the value
of starting quarterbacks who have been in the
league no more than five seasons. We've broken
down the list into three sections in order to
help keeper league owners assess the value of
these young signal callers.
Quarterback Fantasy Grades
- The A-List
Carson Palmer, Bengals: The
former Trojan is lighting up the league with
13 touchdown passes and just four interceptions
this season. Keeper league owners who took a
flier on Palmer in his rookie year in 2003 or
grabbed him last season should be thrilled with
his progress, as he is arguably the best young
quarterback in the game. He has great weapons
to work with and should be good for years to
come. The only thing left to debate when it
comes to Palmer is whether current Trojans quarterback
Matt Lineart will be a better pro quarterback.
Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers:
Palmer might have a better arm, but
no one has a better regular season record than
Big Ben. This second-year gun slinger has already
tossed nine touchdown passes and just one interception
so far this year. Roethlisberger is no longer
the caretaker quarterback he was during his
rookie season. He may have lost Plaxico Burress,
but he's no longer leery of throwing to Hines
Ward, and he's also getting a lot out of rookie
tight end Heath Miller. Some skeptics still
mistakenly think of Roethlisberger as a caretaker,
so now is the time for keeper league owners
to buy relatively low on a sophomore signal
caller who is on pace to throw 27 touchdown
passes in 2005.
Eli Manning, Giants:
Some keeper league owners would put
Young Eli at the very top of this list based
solely on his family tree. We're not ready to
go that far, but we are impressed by his multiple
touchdown passes in four of six games this season.
However, we must also note that his early schedule
has included matchups with the Cardinals, Saints,
Chargers, and Rams - four teams that aren't
exactly famous for having great secondaries.
His two-score performance against the Broncos
last weekend was impressive, but keeper league
owners shouldn't make the mistake of investing
too heavily in Eli based on his recent success
against bad defenses. As good as Manning has
been this season, we wouldn't shy away from
shopping him around in hopes that a rival owner
puts too much stock Eli's last name.
Marc Bulger, Rams:
The fourth-year quarterback was starting to
put it all together before he made the mistake
of taking on a blocker after he threw an interception
two weeks ago. Bulger is most valuable in yardage-heavy
leagues because while he's flirted with the
4,000-yard passing mark in each of the last
two seasons, he's never thrown more than 22
touchdown passes in a single season. His latest
shoulder injury is considered minor and he should
return after the team's bye in week nine. What
really concerns us is that front office shakeup
that could result in pass-happy head coach Mike
Martz losing his job at the end of the season.
In other words, keeper league owners shouldn't
put too much stock in Bulger until the office
drama plays out.
Quarterback Fantasy Grades
- Middle of the Road
Josh McCown, Cardinals: We'll
be the first to admit that McCown's placement
in this section is based almost entirely on
his recent performances against the 49ers and
Panthers. For all we know, he'll stink this
week and lose his job to Kurt Warner once and
for all, but we just can't get past Josh's upside.
In addition to playing in a Dennis Green offense,
he has two of the best young wide receivers
in the game at his disposal in Larry Fitzgerald
and Anquan Boldin. Keeper league owners must
note that McCown will be a free agent at the
end of the season. It doesn't matter how well
he plays the rest of this season, McCown's stock
will drop if he leaves Arizona during the offseason.
Michael Vick, Falcons:
We're almost as shocked as anyone that we're
listing Vick in this section. However, the Falcons
invested a pair of first-round picks in wide
receivers Michael Jenkins and Roddy White over
the last two years, so Vick will have good weapons
to work with once his young wideouts develop.
Of course, he still has some issues of his own
to work on, namely throwing the ball accurately.
Michael also has a coaching staff that believes
in him and an offensive coordinator in Greg
Knapp who is willing to tweak his offense to
fit Vick's strengths. That being said, there
is usually an overzealous Vick fan in every
league. Find him and fleece him.
Alex Smith, 49ers:
It's simply too soon to say whether Smith is
going to live up to the expectations that come
with being the first overall pick in the draft.
Obviously, it hasn't been pretty so far, but
there have been countless quarterbacks who struggled
as rookies and went on to become elite quarterbacks.
|
Quarterback
Fantasy Grades - Bottom of the Barrel David
Carr, Texans: Some fantasy followers
predicted a big 2005 campaign from Carr
based on the fact that he threw 16 touchdown
passes last season. Granted, that was a
seven-score jump from the nine scoring strikes
he had in each of the two previous seasons,
but it's not like 16 is such a sweet touchdown
total. |
Carr takes routine beatings because
his front office is obsessed with using draft
picks to acquire defensive players rather than
offensive linemen, and his star wide receiver
is triple-teamed at times because the same front
office staff has refused to add a legitimate
No. 2 receiver to take some of the pressure
off Andre Johnson. Plus, there is no gurantee
the Texans will bring him back after this season
Rex Grossman, Bears:
Injuries limited Grossman to three
games in each of the last two seasons. This
year, he didn't even get through the preseason
without suffering a major injury. He's still
rehabbing a broken fibula, but he hopes to return
in late November. Until he plays in at least
four consecutive games, keeper league owners
should treat Grossman like the injury-riddled
stiff he's been so far.
Patrick Ramsey, Redskins:
Ramsey lost his starting job to Mark
Brunell earlier this season and he won't get
it back unless the veteran gets hurt. The Skins
selected quarterback Jason Campbell on draft
day, so Ramsey's days in D.C. are numbered.
There's no telling where he'll play next year
and there's no reason to believe he'll be a
starter wherever he ends up, so Patrick has
no keeper league value.
J.P. Losman, Bills:
The shaggy-haired signal caller flopped in his
attempt to replace Drew Bledsoe as the starter
in Buffalo. Losman is only in his second season
and could still bounce back, but first he'll
have to wrestle the starting gig away from Kelly
Holcomb, who is throwing a pair of touchdowns
per game. Until then, there's no point in wasting
a roster spot on someone as unproven as Losman.
Joey Harrington, Lions:
Where do we begin? Joey's never thrown 20 touchdowns
in a single season. He's only topped the 3,000-yard
mark once in three seasons. And now he's lost
the starting job to Jeff Garcia. There are a
million reasons for keeper league owners to
give up on Harrington, but the fact that he's
finally played himself out of a starting gig
in Motown should be more than enough to make
keeper league owners sour on him once and for
all.
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