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Wednesday December 29th, 2004 Page updated at 9:40am

NFL Week 17 Feature
By: Ray Monohan
NFL Football Betting Columnist\Analyst For WagerOnFootball.com


I've got a TON to say so let's get at it

I’d just like to weigh in on this whole benching your star players in the final weeks of the NFL season. I’m not completely down with it unless my team is involved. But if my team is depending on an 11-1 team benching its players to sneak in the back door of the big dance then I’m not sure I want to be there either. Listen, these teams have to bench these starts if they already have a playoff spot wrapped up. It makes total sense neither you nor I have to agree with it but the last couple weeks of the NFL season will always remind you of preseason unless your team has something to fight for. That’s just the way it is so get used to it.

Here’s what I am talking about. Ben Roethlisberger's ribs are only bruised, but Pittsburgh Steelers coach Bill Cowher listed the rookie quarterback as questionable for Sunday's regular-season finale at Buffalo.
The game is meaningless for the Steelers, who have won a franchise-record 13 straight games and clinched home-field advantage for the playoffs in the AFC.
The Bills are riding a six-game win streak that has put them in position to earn a playoff berth after an 0-4 start. Buffalo needs to beat the Steelers and have either the New York Jets or Denver Broncos lose in order to clinch a spot in the playoffs.
Cowher said his plans for the game would not change even if another playoff berth were not dependent on the outcome.

"This is not about what we owe anybody," he said. "It's what we owe ourselves. This is how you play the game."
Roethlisberger was hurt Sunday against the Baltimore Ravens when he was driven into the turf by Terrell Suggs just after throwing a third-quarter touchdown pass to Jerame Tuman.
Cornerback Deshea Townsend has been ruled out of the Buffalo game with broken bones in his hand.

Listed as doubtful for Sunday are running back Jerome Bettis (ankle) and outside linebacker Clark Haggans (groin). Running back Duce Staley (hamstring) and inside linebacker Kendrell Bell (groin) are questionable.
Cowher hopes Staley can start and allow Bettis to rest, even though Bettis is just 59 yards shy of what would be his ninth 1,000-yard season. Make sense to you? Didn’t think so. Let the bus run for his 1000.

Monday Night Football

As for what we are seeing in primetime on our beloved Sunday Night and Monday Night football telecasts well this is a shame. ABC and ESPN surely didn’t plan on a sleeper in St. Louis or two 11-3 teams….ooops… 3-11 teams playing on Sunday Night Lights. Or was it dark in Miami I can’t remember, oh that’s right. I didn’t even watch a minute of that game. BORING!!!!

Ratings for "Monday Night Football" fell 4 percent to the lowest in 35 seasons for one of ABC's showcase programs.
The 17 weekly telecasts were watched in an average of 11 percent of the 109.6 million U.S. homes with television sets, according to Nielsen Media Research Inc. Last year's average rating was 11.5, up from the previous low of 11.4 in 2002. The high rating for the series was 21.7 in 1981.

"Monday Night Football" has been among the top 10 prime- time shows for 15 years. It was seventh this season entering this week's game, a 20-7 victory by St. Louis over Philadelphia that drew a 10.6 rating -- the highest for any show Monday night in all demographics and age groups, Nielsen said.
ABC has lost about $150 million a year on its $550 million average annual rights fee for MNF in a deal that expires after the 2005 season. A new rights contract will be negotiated next year. While ABC officials have had preliminary conversations with the NFL, it remains unclear whether the network will retain the show.

Notes

Dallas Cowboys S Darren Woodson will retire at the end of the season, The Dallas Morning News reported. Also, the Cowboys put RB Richie Anderson on injured reserve with a pinched nerve in his neck and released OL Matt Lehr.

Tennessee Titans QB Steve McNair underwent surgery to strengthen his bruised chest, which has plagued him most of the season. The surgery involved taking a piece of bone from McNair's right hip and inserting it into an area of cartilage that exists in the sternum.

Doctors said they believe the insertion of bone will promote bone growth to replace the cartilage. McNair is expected to be out at least six weeks before being allowed to lift weights as part of a strengthening and conditioning program.

The Broncos placed RB Garrison Hearst on IR with a broken left hand.

Advertisements during the 2005 Super Bowl, Feb. 6 on Fox, will cost an average of $2.4 million, 6.7 percent more than last season.

More Rambling

Some teams steamroll into the NFL playoffs, some back in and some stumble in as if they'd finally found their way home after wandering around dizzy and lost.
Take the Seattle Seahawks. Please.

At 8-7, they are mediocrity personified - yet they've already clinched a playoff spot as the NFC West leader. This is a team that offsets inspiring runs with fumbles, bounces between defensive stands and inexplicable breakdowns. It is not for lack of effort that they struggle. It takes work to be so determinedly self-destructive just when they seem ready to win.

Or take their NFC brethren in ordinariness: Green Bay, which has clinched the North division with a 9-6 record; and the four teams still alive for the two remaining playoff spots. The woeful Rams (7-8) have a chance, as do Minnesota (8-7), Carolina (7-8) and New Orleans (7-8).

That means at least one NFC playoff team will boast a .500 record.
Aside from Philadelphia, now without injured Terrell Owens, and Atlanta, an average team with an above-average record, the NFC stinks this year.
Blame it on the cycles of the game. Next year it could be the AFC's turn
In other football news, Philadelphia didn't even try to win on Monday Night Football. Will the team try to win its season finale against Cincinnati? After that, the Nesharim have a bye week. If they don't go all-out to beat the Bengals, it will be almost month -- from Dec. 19 to Jan. 15 or 16 -- between games that matter for Philadelphia. That is not good karma.

Teams that have locked up their best possible finish, as Philadelphia had before Week 16, always face a dilemma in how to handle the end of the regular season. I say play to win. Recall that going into its regular-season finale last year, Denver had locked up its best finish; the Broncos made a half-hearted effort and got blown out 31-3 at Green Bay. A week later in the playoffs, the Broncos got blown out 41-10 at Indianapolis. Not trying to win disrupted Denver's karma. In Week 17, Indianapolis goes to Denver with the Colts having already locked their best finish. Learn from what you witnessed last season, Colts -- play to win!

And in still more football news, millions of fans must have spent the week fingering their worry beads because the NFL is now less likely to hurtle toward the disaster of a losing team in the postseason. But it still may not be pretty. The likelihood is there will be at least one 8-8 team that makes the playoffs while three teams with winning records do not. Also, there is a strong chance a 10-6 team will be kept out while one or more 8-8 teams are in. Last week, yours truly proposed a way to change the NFL playoff system to prevent this from happening again.

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Stats of the Week #1

Buffalo and Carolina opened a combined 1-11 and since have gone a combined 15-3.

Stats of the Week No. 2
The Dolphins staged a 12-play, 6:51 drive that ended in a punt.

Stats of the Week No. 3
After gaining 1,068 yards in its previous two games, Tennessee gained 153 yards at home.

Stats of the Week No. 4
Green Bay has four field-goal victories this season -- twice by a final of 34-31 and twice by a final of 16-13.

Stats of the Week No. 5
Jerry Rice and Emmitt Smith, who had a combined 44,972 career yards from scrimmage going into their Cardinals at Seahawks meeting, added another 65 yards.

Stats of the Week No. 6
In its last six outings, Buffalo has scored 228 points -- more than Indianapolis scored in its last six outings, and just 15 points fewer than the Bills scored in all of 2003.

Stats of the Week No. 7
The last time Washington won at Dallas, Heath Shuler was the Redskins quarterback.

Stats of the Week No. 8
In the Cleveland Browns (Beta Version) at Dolphins game, there were two fumbles and an interception on the same play. See the gamebook at 10:32 of the third quarter.

Stats of the Week No. 9
If every pass a quarterback throws clangs to the ground incomplete, his rating is 39.6 under the NFL's cryptic system. In Week 16, San Francisco starting quarterback Ken Dorsey finished with a 26.7 passer rating and was lifted for Cody Pickett, who finished with an 18.8 rating.

Stats of the Week No. 10
Minnesota had possession of the ball for 52 seconds in the second quarter and scored three offensive touchdowns.

Stats of the Week No. 11
Dominic Rhodes of Indianapolis had more kickoff return yards (236) than the yardage of the entire San Francisco offense (189) or the entire Tennessee offense (153) or the entire Jacksonville offense (126).

Stats of the Week No. 12
In the first half against Philadelphia, the Rams rushed more times than they had in either of their two previous entire games.

Idiot Move of the Week - Why Are You Punting???????

Trailing Buffalo 20-0 in the middle of the third quarter, San Francisco faced fourth-and-3 on its 45. In trotted the punting unit. Emboldened by the home team's mincing fraidy-cat play, the visitors took the punt and drove for touchdown that had the Niners' faithful filing out of Monster Park in search of microbrews. You're trailing by 20 points at home, you're 2-12, it's fourth-and-3 at midfield, what do you have to lose? And now you are 2-13. One of our readers Geoff L. of New York City pointed out the play, adding, "This stuff practically writes itself." Geoff, don't tell them that -- it's a trade secret!

Enjoy Week 17 Folks – Now Get Back To Work……….

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Week 16 STUD

I'll say this for Reuben Droughns: Give the guy some damn carries already. You see what this warrior does? Gets a little push from the rookie and comes out and explodes for 3td's. Great Week Reu. Not only did you surprise the hell out of me, but, you were on my Fantasy Bench as well. Thanks Meathead.

Wager On Football Writer Ray Monohan is an NFL analyst with 10+ years of experience covering the NFL. He provides a great perspective on the NFL with player and team insight unmatched in the NFL football betting industry.

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