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NFL Features - NFL Wagering

NFL Bet - Sports Book Review - NFL Wagering - NFL Football Betting - NFL Lines


Wednesday November 2nd, 2004 Page updated at 9:40am

NFL Week 9 Feature

By:
Ray Monohan
NFL Football Betting Columnist\Analyst For WagerOnFootball.com


I've got a TON to say so let's get at it

As everyone has heard all week, in every presidential election since 1936, if the Washington Redskins win their final home game before the Tuesday voting, the party in power keeps the White House; if the Redskins lose, the party out of power retakes the White House. In recent years, both political parties have become increasingly sophisticated about manipulating events -- polls, turnout, media coverage, "surprise" scandals and etc. Why are we so naive as to think both parties did not attempt to manipulate the Packers-Redskins outcome?

Joey Galloway (groin) has started to practice again. It is unclear if he will return in Week 9, but he's still a good pickup if your team is thin at receiver.

In the near future, it's become apparent you can't depend on Randy Moss. It's clear that the only thing that will help him heal is some rest. And if he chooses to play, he's going to be ineffective. Don't count on using Moss for another week or two unless his health takes a dramatic, positive turn.

Thomas Jones suffered a sprained left foot on Sunday night, and his status is unclear as of now. The Bears still don't know how serious the injury is.

Keep a watch on Patriots RB Cedric Cobbs. He has been taken off the PUP list, and he could prove to be a quality injury replacement for Corey Dillon in the future.

Brett Favre aggravated a right wrist and thumb injury on Sunday, but with a bye approaching, he'll have some time to heal. Don't be surprised, however, if the Packers stick more to the run to protect Favre when their schedule resumes.

Eye on Week 9

Expect Duce Staley to have a big day, as he takes on his ex-teammates from Philly.

Michael Pittman could have another solid outing, as the Buccaneers look to play ball control against the Chiefs.

Two punchless offenses could get a temporary upgrade when Oakland faces Carolina. Look for good numbers form Keary Colbert and Jerry Porter.

The Cowboys should have another successful offensive week, as Keyshawn Johnson and Jason Witten stand out against Cincinnati.

Lock Drew Brees into your lineup again. He faces the defenseless Saints.

The Vikings will rebound against the Colts, even if Randy Moss is useless again. It will be a good week to start Marcus Robinson and Nate Burleson.


Stats of the Week

Kansas City has scored 101 points in its last two games.

Stats of the Week No. 2

Denver and Indianapolis both exceeded 500 yards of offense, and lost.

Stats of the Week No. 3

New England gave up its first turnover-return touchdown since the Patriots' winning streak began in 2003.

Stats of the Week No. 4

Daunte Culpepper is on pace to break Dan Marino's single-season record for passing yards, while Peyton Manning is on pace to break Marino's single-season record for touchdown passes.

Stats of the Week No. 5

Counting sacks, New England coaches called passes on 29 consecutive plays. Counting downs nullified by penalty, Denver coaches called passes on 18 consecutive plays. Both teams lost.

Stats of the Week No. 6

Since taking the field for their Super Bowl appearances, Carolina and Oakland are a combined 7-26.

Stats of the Week No. 7

Kansas City recorded 590 yards of offense, 33 first downs and 233 return yards.

Stats of the Week No. 8

Buffalo scored 38 points despite just 209 yards of offense.

Stats of the Week No. 9

The Tony Dungy-coached Colts are now last in defense, surrendering an average 419 yards per game.

Stats of the Week No. 10

When Indianapolis and Kansas City played in January, Kansas City scored 31 points and lost. When Indianapolis and Kansas City played Sunday, Indianapolis scored 35 points and lost.

Stats of the Week No. 11

Atlanta is third in the league in rushing, and its top rusher is -- Michael-Mike Vick.

Stats of the Week No. 12

The teams with the three top-ranked defenses -- Washington, Buffalo and Tampa Bay -- are a combined 6-15.

Stats of the Week No. 13

The teams with the three top-ranked offenses -- Minnesota, Indianapolis and Kansas City -- are a combined 12-9.

Stats of the Week No. 14

San Diego, the 2003 last-place finisher, is currently the highest-scoring team in the league.

Sweet Play of the Week

In losses to Houston and Jacksonville, Kansas City faced a late third down and, had it converted, could have held the ball for the win or to force overtime; both times the Chiefs failed and ended up losing the game. Leading Indianapolis 38-35 with 2:18 remaining, the Chiefs faced third-and-5 on the Colts' 14. Kansas City play-faked, Tony Gonzalez ran the zed-in, touchdown -- finally a successful late-game third-down conversion.

Sweet Play of the Week No. 2

Leading 6-3, Tennessee faced fourth-and-goal on the Cincinnati 1 with two seconds remaining in the first half. Yours truly would have taken the field goal. The Flaming Thumbtacks play-faked then rolled right, touchdown pass from Billy Volek to who-dat tight end Shad Meier. The play-fake numbered among the sweetest TMQ has seen.

Sour Play of the Week

Trailing 31-10, New England reached first-and-goal on the Pittsburgh 7. To that point, Flying Elvii coaches had called 20 consecutive passing plays. Nevertheless, on first down, New England ran a play fake, incompletion. On second down, New England ran a play fake, incompletion. On third down, New England ran a play fake, incompletion, field goal on fourth down. Who's going to fall for play fakes when you've thrown 20 consecutive times?

More Dribble

Until recently, it was generally know that Hines Ward was simply a player you couldn't afford to bench in a fantasy league. While Ward was indeed underrated, savvy fantasy players knew he would deliver very good numbers every week.
But that doesn't seem to be the case anymore, as a new trend has developed in Pittsburgh. Suddenly, Ward is producing mediocre numbers, and Plaxico Burress, who was a forgotten man during the preseason, has re-emerged as the focal point of the Steelers' passing game.

Defenses have started to pay extra attention to Ward, which has resulted in more single coverages for Burress, and rookie QB Ben Roethlisberger is clearly more willing and able to get the ball downfield to Burress more often than Tommy Maddox did. Ward is a superb possession receiver, yet the Steelers truly needed someone with a major-league arm to get Burress the ball in the spots he needed them. Roethlisberger has the cannon and creativity needed to take advantage of Burress' height and leaping ability.

Best Blocks

Once again, the Kansas City offensive line played so well this item is reserved for it alone. Representative down: Chiefs leading 21-14 in the second quarter, Kansas City called a screen pass on first-and-10. Guards Will Shields and Brian Waters blocked perfectly in front of the screen receiver, Priest Holmes, who rumbled 52 yards. On the next play, Kansas City scored to make it 28-14, and Indianapolis was in a hole. The Kansas City offensive line is playing so much better than any other offensive line that it's almost spooky.

Note: If I was going to mention any other offensive line, which I am not, the Blue Men Group had perfect "down" blocking when Shaun Alexander simply went off-tackle left and ran 44 yards, setting up the fourth-quarter touchdown that iced the Carolina-Seattle game. It's pretty fun to run for 44 yards when everyone in front of you has already been knocked to the ground. I am also not going to mention that San Diego is getting surprisingly good offensive line play from a group of gentlemen whom you have never heard of.

What a glorious mess

Go ahead. Take a stab. It's midseason, and the playoff picture is about as uniform as a plate of spaghetti. Just when you think things are finding order, something like the past weekend comes along. The great shakeup saw seven of last week's top 12 teams lose, including those uNFLappable Patriots. Parity? Outside of the Eagles, Steelers, Patriots and Jets, there isn't a single NFL team you can count on from week to week.

Now get back to work...

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Wager On Football Writer Ray Monohan is an NFL analyst with 10+ years of experience covering the NFL. He provides a great perspective on the NFL with player and team insight unmatched in the NFL football betting industry.

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