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NFL Features - NFL Wagering

NFL Bet - Sports Book Review - NFL Wagering - NFL Football Betting - NFL Lines


Wednesday October 26th , 2004 Page updated at 9:40am

NFL Week 8 Feature

By:
Ray Monohan
NFL Football Betting Columnist\Analyst For WagerOnFootball.com


I've got a TON to say so let's get at it

Stats of the Week

Since taking the field for their Super Bowl appearances, Carolina and Oakland are a combined 7-24.

Stats of the Week No. 2

Baltimore was held to 160 yards of offense, yet won easily.

Stats of the Week No. 3

Kansas City recorded 27 more first downs than Atlanta.

Stats of the Week No. 4

Since entering Week 5 with the league's No. 1 rated defense, Seattle has given up 88 points.

Stats of the Week No. 5

For the second consecutive week, a Green Bay tailback threw a touchdown pass.

Stats of the Week No. 6

Matt Hasselbeck and Drew Bledsoe threw as many interceptions as the Bears, Bengals, Bucs, Browns, Cardinals, Chargers, Chiefs, Colts, Cowboys, Dolphins, Eagles, Giants, Jaguars, Jets, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Patriots, Ravens and Vikings combined.

Stats of the Week No. 7

Baltimore had more return yards (203) than offensive yards (160).

Stats of the Week No. 8

Kansas City's record-setting eight touchdown runs in a single game is eight more than Buffalo has on the entire season.

Stats of the Week No. 9

New England's defense has allowed just 72 yards on 72 red-zone plays this season, an average of 36 inches per red-zone play, while gaining four takeaways. Stat from FootballOutsiders.

Stats of the Week No. 10

The top five defensive teams -- Washington, Denver, Tampa, Miami and Buffalo -- have a combined record of 10-22.

Stats of the Week No. 11

The top five offensive teams -- Minnesota, Green Bay, Indianapolis, Philadelphia and Kansas City -- have a combined record of 20-11.

Sour Play of the Week

Leading 14-7 in the third, Miami faced fourth-and-inches on its own 40. In trotted the punting unit. TMQ attends a lot of high-school football games, and whenever there is punt formation on fourth-and-short, coaches scream to their charges "It's going to be a fake!" They expect the fake because so little ground needs be gained for the first down. The St. Louis Rams could use a good high-school coach: Direct-snap to the Dolphins' up man who ran six yards for the first, with Les Mouflons looking shocked that it was a fake.

Best Play by a Quarterback Who Actually Wants to Be in San Diego

While Eli Manning watched Kurt Warner throw into coverage and high-priced holdout Philip Rivers was nailed to the Chargers pine, Drew Brees hit a perfect 23-yard strike to Keenan McCardell on San Diego's go-ahead drive. Carolina leading 6-0 in the third, the Bolts faced first-and-10 on their 49. Brees faked the toss-sweep left, then rolled right and drilled the ball to McCardell; three snaps later, LaDainian Tomlinson went in from the 8, and San Diego never looked back. I don't wish to alarm you, but Brees is currently the sixth-rated passer in the league.

Why Certain Teams Are 1-5

Trailing 17-6 in the fourth quarter, Buffalo faced third-and-goal at the Ravens 5. The pass was intercepted by safety Chad Williams, who took off with Buffalo's very highly paid Willis McGahee in pursuit. McGahee chased Williams to about midfield and then, though only slightly behind the Ravens runner, simply gave up and watched as Williams continued toward the Buffalo end zone. Eventually Williams was tripped up at the Buffalo 6; a field goal followed, as did defeat. When very highly paid gentlemen like McGahee simply give up on plays and stand around watching, it's a sign of a team that deserves to lose.

What stands out from Monday’s game?

The Bengals played as well as they have all season on both sides of the ball. Carson Palmer didn’t look comfortable against the Broncos’ blitz, but he didn’t repeat critical mistakes and got the ball in the hands of Chad Johnson, despite coverage from CB Champ Bailey.

On the other side of the ball, the Broncos’ offense appeared inept at times. Droughns displayed his first signs of running out of gas. He has carried the ball almost 100 times in the last three games, a task his body hasn’t been conditioned to handle. Entering this season, Droughns had 40 career carries. The Broncos’ offensive line has always been enigmatic in this sense — they dominate smaller, quicker teams and struggle against powerful teams who have a throw-the-first-punch mentality. Expect the Broncos to blend rookie RB Tatum Bell into the mix, perhaps in multiple-WR sets, to keep Droughns from pulling up lame down the stretch.

The Bengals, who started 1-4 last season and finished 8-8, must build on their momentum to get back in the AFC North race. It appears they’ll face Tennessee without Steve McNair on Sunday before hosting Philadelphia.

Lefty

Most NFL scribes figured the Jaguars would be division-title contenders come 2005. But the future is now for Jacksonville, and it has everything to do with Leftwich, who has thrown for at least 298 yards in each of his last four games.

Leftwich will need to continue to keep racking up those 300-yard games if he wants to move up the MVP meter, which is topped again by Vikings QB Daunte Culpepper. Culpepper was No. 1 on every ballot save one — and on that ballot, he was second. Talk about your firm grips on a lead.

Here is this week’s MVP meter, with last week’s rankings in parentheses:

1. Vikings QB Daunte Culpepper (1)
2. Eagles QB Donovan McNabb (2)
3. Patriots QB Tom Brady (4)
4. Colts QB Peyton Manning (3)
5. Eagles WR Terrell Owens (7)
6. Jaguars QB Byron Leftwich (10)
7. Vikings WR Randy Moss (T5)
8. Giants RB Tiki Barber (T5)

Dropping out this week: Rams QB Marc Bulger (9), Jets RB Curtis Martin (8)

What’s this?

For the first time in five years, there was some potentially significant wheeling and dealing before the Oct. 19 trading deadline.

And here’s the interesting catch: It all involved receivers thirsting for a change in scenery.

Future Hall of Famer Jerry Rice, who had become a nonfactor with the Raiders, couldn’t wait to pack his bags for Seattle, where he has been reunited with Mike Holmgren, who was an assistant coach with the 49ers for six of Rice’s first seven NFL seasons.

WR Keenan McCardell, who had been holding out for a new contract in Tampa Bay, packed just as quickly for San Diego, where he was expected to fill a major role right away.

WR Antonio Bryant, who showed his disdain for Dallas by throwing a sweaty towel in the face of Cowboys head coach Bill Parcells during a June workout, figures to be a much happier camper in Cleveland, where he was dealt in a straight-up exchange for WR Quincy Morgan.

Random Thoughts

Well, if next week is any indication, Mewelde Moore will continue to be the main man for the Vikings, who don't appear to be ready to mess with success. Moore will make his fourth consecutive start next week, even though Michael Bennett has returned and could be in even better playing shape by Week 8. Bennett carried just one time in Week 7.

Moore might be the most versatile and effective back the Vikings have right now, and whispers out of Minnesota have indicated they are thrilled with Moore's play and don't intend to send him back to the bench on a full-time basis anytime soon. Yes, Moe Williams might steal some of his goal-line carries, but Moore runs well inside or outside, and catches passes as well as any RB on the Vikings' roster.

Bennett has the pedigree of being a first-round pick, but he can't seem to stay healthy or run as well inside as consistently as Moore. Onterrio Smith has one game remaining on his four-game suspension, and he doesn't stack up rushing yards as consistently as Moore. Both Bennett and Smith can break the big play, but Moore is steadier and is in an apparent groove that Minnesota shouldn't try to tamper with.

Why did Torry Holt catch only one pass for four yards in Week 7? And why can't Fantasy owners depend on him anymore? Just when it seemed Holt was coming back to life, with a 124-yard outing in Week 6, he delivered a performance that killed the victory hopes of many fantasy teams.
It is clear now that Isaac Bruce is the top target for Marc Bulger, and the fact that the St. Louis QB also spreads the ball to his third and fourth receivers isn't helping Holt, either. Many defenses still regard Holt as the Rams' most explosive threat, and would rather let Bruce catch the ball, because he can do less damage after the catch. Opposing defenses will double-cover Holt and hopefully reduce big passing plays by paying more attention to him.

It's up to Bulger to deliver more big strikes to his other receivers to ease pressure on Holt. Until then, Holt can no longer be considered a must-start receiver. He still has the ability to excel every week, but it's apparent that opponents would rather have St. Louis' other receivers try to beat them. Expect more erratic numbers and up-and-down performances from Holt.

Reggie Wayne, WR, Indianapolis: 2 receptions, 28 yards, 0 TD
Wayne was not a factor in an offense that sputtered at times, and his frustration rose to the surface when he shoved QB Peyton Manning during an apparently "tense" exchange between the two. Marvin Harrison re-emerged as a major target in the passing game as Wayne was shut down. Opposing defenses are now starting to pay more attention to Wayne, and he will start to have a few disappointing outings. Don't expect consistency from him. Yet you can still count on some standout performances against weaker defenses, while keeping in mind that against the better teams, Harrison will still get the ball first, even if he's tightly covered in many situations.


Bad News -- Good News

The wife of Green Bay Packers quarterback Brett Favre was diagnosed with breast cancer, yet more bad news in a year full of heartache for the family.

Deanna Favre was recently released from Sloan Kettering Cancer Center in New York after undergoing a lumpectomy, Bonita Favre, the quarterback's mother, told The Sun Herald on Monday.

Deanna Farve will undergo chemotherapy treatments which could last up to five months and is expected to make a full recovery, Bonita Favre said.

All of us here at Wager On Football Sportsbook Review Wish The Favre's nothing but health and happiness on her road to recovery. Cheers Everyone!!!

Now get back to work...

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Wager On Football Writer Ray Monohan is an NFL analyst with 10+ years of experience covering the NFL. He provides a great perspective on the NFL with player and team insight unmatched in the NFL football betting industry.

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