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NFL Features - NFL Wagering

NFL Bet - Sports Book Review - NFL Wagering - NFL Football Betting - NFL Lines


Wednesday October Oct 19th, 2004 Page updated at 9:40am

NFL Week 7 Feature

By:
Ray Monohan
NFL Football Betting Columnist\Analyst For WagerOnFootball.com


I've got a TON to say so let's get at it

He Said What??

Vikings head coach Mike Tice on the ability of WR Randy Moss, who left Sunday’s game with a strained hamstring that Tice described as “more than mild,” on the possibility of Moss playing next week: “He’s a freak and he heals really quick.”

49ers head coach Dennis Erickson on the idea that someone can adjust to losing: “Nobody gets used to anything like this. It’s hard for everyone involved. Nobody does these things on purpose. Nobody fumbles on purpose. Nobody misses tackles on purpose. When you play hard and prepare like we all do and lose close games, it becomes hard.”

Saints head coach Jim Haslett on his team’s performance in a 38-31 loss to the Vikings in which his defense gave up 605 yards of total offense: “If you want to use the word we stunk on defense and we played probably good enough on offense but we still had opportunities to score more points. But we left them on the field.”

Falcons offensive coordinator Greg Knapp on watching QB Michael Vick at work: “I have been surprised with his running ability and also with his release, how quick he gets the ball off. To see the video is one thing. But when you see it in person — wow!”

Jaguars RB Fred Taylor on his team’s ability to pull out close games this season: “A lot of people try to overstate it, saying we’re doing this and we’re doing that. But realistically, we’ve just been fortunate. It’s just at the end of the game we’re getting the win and the other team is getting the loss.”

Broncos head coach Mike Shanahan warning against his team getting too confident after winning its last four games: “If you start thinking you’re good in the NFL, and you don’t prepare, you can get embarrassed. Every team can beat you easily if mentally you’re not ready to play.”

Dolphins DE David Bowens predicting that his team will win its final 10 games instead of going 0-16: “I honestly believe that. Look at New England — those guys aren’t blowing people out. They’re getting the turnovers, they’re not having penalties and they’re playing together. If they can win that many games, why can’t we win 10?”

Saints CB Ashley Ambrose, part of a secondary torched by Vikings QB Daunte Culpepper for 425 yards and five touchdowns on Sunday night, has seen a lot in his 13-year NFL career. So when he wants to bring a historical perspective to an issue, we’ll listen.

How well, then, is Culpepper playing right now? “In all my time in the NFL, I've never seen a quarterback this hot," Ambrose told The Associated Press.

Stats

Stat #1 Since winning the Super Bowl, the Buccaneers are 8-14.

Stats of the Week No. 2

Daunte Culpepper has 18 touchdown passes, more than the total touchdowns of all teams except Indianapolis and San Diego.

Stats of the Week No. 3

Since entering Week 5 with the league's No. 1 rated defense, Seattle has given up 63 points.

Stats of the Week No. 4

Reuben Droughns is on pace to rush for an all-time single-season record 2,583 yards.

Stats of the Week No. 5

Detroit totaled 125 yards of offense at home, while Oakland totaled 145 yards of offense at home..

Stats of the Week No. 6

Miami quarterbacks have thrown four interceptions returned for touchdowns.

Stats of the Week No. 7

Buffalo held the ball for all but four plays in the fourth quarter.

Stats of the Week No. 8

The top five defensive teams -- Denver, Washington, Miami, Tampa and Pittsburgh -- have a combined record of 13-17.

Stats of the Week No. 9

The top five offensive teams -- Minnesota, Indianapolis, Green Bay, St. Louis and Denver -- have a combined record of 19-9.

Stats of the Week No. 10

New England and Philadelphia, both undefeated, have not attempted a fourth-down conversion this season. Stat submitted by reader Mike Paulson of Alexandria, Va.

Stats of the Week No. 11

Minnesota is averaging one-fifth more offense than the next-best team in the NFL -- 477 yards per game versus 389 for Indianapolis.

Stats of the Week No. 12

Stretching back to last season, Atlanta is 2-10 when Michael-Mike Vick does not play and 8-2 when he does.

Great Plays

Great Play of the Week No. 1

The Browns leading 24-17 early in the fourth quarter, Cleveland faced third-and-3 on its 41. Running back Lee Suggs went into the right flat for what seemed like a dinky flare pass -- then cut upfield along the sidelines. Jeff Garcia hit Suggs in stride, and he outran the linebacker chasing him to the end zone. TMQ has always liked the tailback "up." Usually it's against linebacker coverage, and usually the linebacker is stunned when the pattern is not for a dinky short gain. Why don't teams send their tailbacks up the field more often?

Great Play of the Week No. 2

Trent Green "crouch faked" the handoff to Priest Holmes, then threw a 52-yard strike to Johnnie Morton to set up Kansas City's first score. Few teams coach quarterbacks to "crouch" fake -- hunch over the ball on a play-action pass. Yet the crouch fake is consistently effective, making it nearly impossible for the defensive front seven to see if the quarterback has kept the rock. Why doesn't every team use the crouch fake?

Great Play of the Week No. 3

Leading 23-20 with 2:45 remaining, New England faced the decisive down of the contest -- third-and-7 on its 40. Seattle seemed to assume it would be some dinky short-pass attempt. Tom Brady rolled left and had plenty of time; Bethel Johnson went deep against defenders expecting him to pull up short, and made a diving, running-full-speed catch at the Seattle 12-yard line; TMQ wrote the words "game over" in his notebook. Set aside that this is the kind of once-engaging, now-infuriating play that has characterized New England's winning streak -- an incredibly difficult clutch catch on a pass that most good receivers would have dropped. Just consider how sweet the New England strategy was, going for the game-icing big gain when everyone expected something rinky-dinky.

Horrible Plays

Horrible Play of the Week No. 1

Trailing 15-14 in the fourth quarter at Jersey/B, the Squared Sevens faced second-and-7 on the Jets' 27. The call was an end-around to Arnaz Battle; fumbled exchange, loss of 8. Suddenly San Francisco is out of field-goal range on the Jets' 35. A third-down pass clangs incomplete, and San Francisco launches a Preposterous Punt -- which booms into the end zone, Jets ball on their 20, net field-position gain for San Francisco of 15 yards. San Francisco punted from the opponents' 35 when trailing in the fourth quarter. The football gods winced.

Horrible Play of the Week No. 2

Near the goal line, New England likes to throw the snap hitch -- quarterback takes the snap, straightens up and throws instantly -- to any wide receiver who is single-covered. David Givens scored from the Indianapolis 7 on the snap hitch in the AFC Championship Game last year, for example. Leading 10-0, the Flying Elvii had second-and-3 on the Blue Men Group 6. David Patten lined up wide left, exactly where Givens had been, and was single-covered, the safety shading toward the center. Male model-esque Tom Brady audibled to a snap hitch; Patten stiff-armed the cornerback and scored; suddenly the visitors are in a 17-0 hole to the defending champions. The Seahawks seemed surprised by the call. Where was Seattle's film study?

Eye on Week 7

Look for the Browns to quickly come back to earth next week against the Eagles. Jeff Garcia and William Green will not play nearly as well as they did in Week 6.


Michael Vick should have another good week. He'll get the opportunities to make a lot of plays at Kansas City. You should expect at least one rushing score.


Curtis Martin and the Jets face the ultimate task of trying to beat the Patriots next week. You can't sit Martin as he faces his former team in a big game, but Chad Pennington might have trouble finding his receivers very often.


Dallas' passing game should continue to flourish. Terry Glenn could have another big game, as he faces the Packers, his former team, in Green Bay.


Even against the weak New Orleans defense, there might be no hope for the Oakland passing game. Yet you should expect Aaron Brooks and Joe Horn to hook up often against a secondary that does not play as well as advertised.


The Bengals play on Monday Night Football, and will show they don't belong there against Denver. Another disappointing week for Chad Johnson, as he is shut down by Champ Bailey.

Now get back to work...

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Wager On Football Writer Ray Monohan is an NFL analyst with 10+ years of experience covering the NFL. He provides a great perspective on the NFL with player and team insight unmatched in the NFL football betting industry.

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